Reply to thread

Message: [QUOTE="SPANKYSN, post: 7087646, member: 25718"] Crippler may have something...you remember the times when you get that gut feeling, call with nothing and flop the nuts...what you may be forgetting is the 95% of the time you call with nothing and end up with nothing. It is very similar to when I told my son that I ALWAYS LOSE with pocket Kings...he suggested that I write down on paper every KK hand I get and record the results. Over the next few months, I recorded over 50 KK hands and found that I won 75% of them...now, here's the problem, which caused my perception. Many of the hands I won were nothing pots, often just the blinds...but when I lost, I lost big after raises and reraises. In effect, I lost more money in the 25% losses than I won in the 75% wins...my point being that the perception of this special intuition or gut feeling may be skewed to the positive, when the actual stats may tell a different story. [/QUOTE]