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General Poker
Are you automatic all-in when your hand is better than a 50% favorite?
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[QUOTE="PurgatoryD, post: 1673367, member: 43498"] Wow! I have to admit that I'm a little surprised by the responses so far. It makes me glad that I asked the question. That's what I love about CC... it's a rare opportunity to see into other players' minds. That is being a nit! :) But that's OK, I have to fight nit-like tendencies all the time! So let me get this straight... you'd rather be a 46% favorite with the made hand instead of a 54% favorite with the drawing hand? Granted, you're probably never going to put someone on a straight and flush draw, but if you knew... I've got to go with the better probability. Good question. I don't know. Personally, I guess that's where I like my fold equity because I don't really have a winner, I just have a 54% favorite. And here's the problem I see with just betting: there's a 68% chance that I don't hit on the turn. Then that leaves me in a bit of a tougher spot as then I'm only a 33% favorite. I guess as long as the pot odds are at least 2:1 on the next bet, then I'm still OK. But if not, I should be bailing at that point. It just seems as though I'm taking a 68% chance that I'm going to lose control of the hand. But, in all fairness, I'm still a bit rusty with my pot odds work and I do REALLY LIKE fold equity. ;) Thinking about it some more, it looks like the draw has the power over the pair before the turn and the pair has the power over the draw after the turn (assuming the draw didn't hit). So whichever hand you have, play from a position of power when you have it. LOL! You're killing me! :) -Dave [/QUOTE]
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Are you automatic all-in when your hand is better than a 50% favorite?
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