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Poker Discussion
General Poker
Are you automatic all-in when your hand is better than a 50% favorite?
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[QUOTE="WVHillbilly, post: 1673558, member: 29447"] This sentence is VERY wrong. You never need more than 50% equity to make a CALL. To make a bet you need a couple different things to be true. Either you need to think you have the best hand AND your opponent can call with worse (value betting) or you need to think your hand is probably not good but that if you bet your opponent can fold better (bluffing). Here is an example where we have great equity against an opponent's entire range but we still shouldn't be betting. Let's say you get to the river with a pot sized bet behind with KK on a board of AKQ3J rainbow. Your opponent is very loose and passive. His range for getting to the river is any 2pair,QQ,AT. That's combos 33 we beat and only 12 combos that beat us so we have 73% equity. We should bet right? Well maybe if we we think he'll call with that entire range. But now let's assume he checks the river with his entire range but he'll only call any river bet with QQ/AT. This means we should NOT bet because when he calls we only have 33% equity. So what you really need is >50% equity against the villian's CALLING range to make a bet. [/QUOTE]
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Are you automatic all-in when your hand is better than a 50% favorite?
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