Pacific, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
SB: $18.43 (184.3 bb)
BB: $13.30 (133 bb)
UTG+1: $13.09 (130.9 bb)
UTG+2: $5.54 (55.4 bb)
Hero (MP1): $10 (100 bb)
MP2: $5 (50 bb)
MP3: $9.50 (95 bb) VPIP: 44, PFR: 23, 3B: 0, AF: 2.4, Hands: 82
CO: $10 (100 bb)
BTN: $11.18 (111.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9
9
UTG+1 calls $0.10, UTG+2 calls $0.10,
Hero raises to $0.43,
MP2 folds, MP3 calls $0.43,
6 folds
Flop: ($1.21) 2
7
2
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.21, MP3 calls $1.21
Turn: ($3.63) T
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.81, MP3 calls $1.81
River: ($7.25) 8
(2 players)
Hero?
The villain is a confirmed fish and slightly steaming after recently getting stacked.
He is aggressive on the river and will likely shove if we check.
I think we beat as many combos of smaller pairs and 7x as lose to combos of sets, 2 pairs flushes and overpairs. Its clearly marginal to me.
So I'm thinking 2/5th pot size on the river folding to a raise.
Any comments on sizing flop/turn/river?