Betting Tips & Predictions

ADRI7HO

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  • #11,926
Sunday

NFL:

Las Vegas - Pittsburgh (Under 44.5 (Score 44.5) 1.72)

There is little chance for lot's of points in this Sunday night game, perhaps, because the Pittsburgh defense is strong, but the Pittsburgh offensive line has been a bit wobbly so far.

🏈
 
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BillyR23

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  • #11,927
john_entony said:
I understand that you like to bet on odds more than "2.00". Because you heard somewhere that betting on odds over "2.00" pays off. But you don't know why they say that. The answer: because everything is based on the valuability odds, and finding a high valuability odds is easier if the odds on a sporting event are higher. But you absolutely don't realize that the higher the odds on a sporting event, the higher the valuability odds must be.

For example, for your bet Miami Dolphins vs Denver Broncos: Dolphins -6 @1.95 the valuability odds should be at least "9.50". Are you sure your bet is that attractive? The answer is no, of course. You are just flipping a coin in the hope that you will win. There are not enough head-to-head games between these teams, and among those that have been, your bet has won only 2 matches out of 5. The valuability odds are "- 1.10". In the last 10 home games Miami has won only 4 times by more than 6 points. Valuability odds are "- 2.20". Denver Broncos have lost by more than 6 points only 4 times from their last 10 away games. Valuability odds "- 2.20". On the distance your bet will only lose. Congrats!

In my case, valuability odds of Mets (+ 3.5) is "10.47"! For your understanding, the odds of "1.29" is bad in that cases when the valuability odds is below "0". That is, this valuability odds determines your success at a distance if you bet only to head-to-head same teams games. In this case, for odds "1.29", playable in my understanding is a valuability odds at least "2.90". But in our case, the valuability odds is "10.47"! Do you understand what is the probability of winning this bet? This is a gift of bookies. It is no doubt! Since the adequate odds on the Mets (+ 3.5 runs) should be not higher than "1.05". Only in this case, the valuability odds will be "0.15". ;)
WoW - that's a really nice and easy to understand explanation... I'm betting for 10+ years(with good results) and I'm also someone that tries to go for bets that have value, still tbh I've learned quite a bit from this post (y) also, it doesn't matter if the bet will be Won or Lost as the value it's still there and in the long run you'll 'print money' from this kind of events $$$
 
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BillyR23

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  • #11,928
BillyR23 said:
İstanbul Başakşehir - Galatasaray A.Ş. Galata AH(-0.25)@ 1.57 on Unibet
The visitors were the better team and won 2-1* it was 2-0 for Galata, so not much 'sweat' in winning this bet :cool:

For today I'll go for a bet from Ligue 1 and back PSG as it seems like the issues between Mbappe and PSG are slowly getting resolved(the team even added Mbappe's younger brother to the team and made him the captain of the team again- who knows, he might just end up signing a new contract with the team* especially if the team will have good results in UCL...):

Paris SG - Marseille 1@ 1.55 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday!
 
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Bnobob

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  • #11,929
Final Cup Brazil


win São Paulo $2.20
São Paulo FC x Flamengo
 
john_entony

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  • #11,930
BillyR23 said:
WoW - that's a really nice and easy to understand explanation... I'm betting for 10+ years(with good results) and I'm also someone that tries to go for bets that have value, still tbh I've learned quite a bit from this post (y) also, it doesn't matter if the bet will be Won or Lost as the value it's still there and in the long run you'll 'print money' from this kind of events $$$
That's right, bro! That's exactly what I'm saying. There are some bets that have more value than others. And in no way you can say that, for example, odds below 1.50 are a minus rate. We're talking about our main goal: to beat the bookmaker! And we should look for those tools that can help us to achieve this goal. Yes, I am not hiding it, and it can be seen in my predictions - it's statistics first of all. And it works. I understand baseball as much as I understand watching figure skating. My sport is just on its come up - the NBA, where I know all the players of all the teams, their abilities, personality, even the manner of shooting. But even in baseball, I'm not a minus player. And it is statistics and deep analysis of factors that helps me a lot: injuries, tournament objectives, current winning streaks, but the basis is always only one - it is the statistics of head-to-head meetings and valuability odds! :cool:;)
 
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Risto234

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  • #11,931
Later tonight

Atletico vs Real

Real @2.65
 
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Risto234

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  • #11,932
Risto234 said:
Some more F1 bets (for Japan GP) ...

1st practice TOP3 - L. Norris @3.25, O. Piastri @4.5
Fastest Qualifier - L. Norris @10
TOP3 - yes - L. Norris @2.4
Looks like Norris did his job (almost) perfectly. And this NFL bet is also going in right direction (atleast for now) therefore me guess its actually kinda worth to follow "Bettor X" who keeps track on bets in excel and has like 74% win rate ...
 
reeseflamees

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  • #11,933
NFL
Miami
bills
Dallas
All to win by Handicap
Miami -6
Bills -6
Dallas -13
 
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  • #11,934
England. Championship Coventry City - Huddersfield #handicap 1(0)#&&&&. Indonesia. League 1. Borneo - PSM Makassar # win 1 #
 
Risto234

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  • #11,935
mondays very early bet from japanese baseball (game starting next full hour) ...

Chunichi Dragons vs Hanshin Tigers

Over 5 runs @1.85
 
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  • #11,936
ATP - SINGLES
Chengdu (China), hard, Zverev will win against Dimitrov.
 
john_entony

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  • #11,937
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels: Grand total (> 7.5) /// 1.50

While Risto234 is trying to win money on non-working bets, I'll talk about my previous baseball bet. Yes, the bet won. If you bet a large amount of money, as I strongly advised to win back my 3 failed predictions, then I think you are happy with yourself and me. At least I am pleased with myself, as I have fully back all the money that I lost on the previous three predictions. The total score of my baseball bets is 21-13 in favor of the winning ones. And now I have a new bet: grand total (Over 7.5 runs) in the game between the Angels and the Rangers! Again the bookies are offering us money. Let me explain. In the last 12 matches with 15 between these teams, this bet has won. In the last 12 home games with 15 on the field of Angels, this bet has won. In the last 12 games with 15 away matches of Rangers this bet also won. And we are offered such a juicy 1.50 odds for this statistic? And considering both teams are MLB offensive teams, I'm pretty sure this bet will win. Because valueability odds is "9.00". Shall we bet? Absolutely.
 
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ADRI7HO

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  • #11,938
ADRI7HO said:
Sunday

NFL:

Las Vegas - Pittsburgh (Under 44.5 (Score 44.5) 1.72)

There is little chance for lot's of points in this Sunday night game, perhaps, because the Pittsburgh defense is strong, but the Pittsburgh offensive line has been a bit wobbly so far.

🏈
41 total points, goal accomplished.

...

Monday

Monday Night Football:

Tampa Bay - Philadelphia (Over 19.5 (Home - Score 19.5) 1.73)

I'm still trying an NFL tip.
 
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Risto234

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  • #11,939
Tuesday in some spanish island

Mallorca vs Barcelona

Barca @1.57
 
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BillyR23

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  • #11,940
BillyR23 said:
Paris SG - Marseille 1@ 1.55 on Unibet
Easy win for PSG here* 4-0 :cool:

A bet from Liga Portugal for today:

Sporting CP - Rio Ave Sporting Ah(-1.5)@ 1.50 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
 
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Bnobob said:
Final Cup Brazil


win São Paulo $2.20
São Paulo FC x Flamengo
How much did you bet? I´ve bet in it to spfc to win or no bet.
 
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  • #11,943
Clermont Foot 63-Paris Saint-Germain
Over 3 1.99
 
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  • #11,944
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  • #11,945
Boca Juniors-Palmeiras
over cards 5.5
 
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  • #11,946
Jordan. Cup. Sphab - Al Buka # win 1#&&&&. Northern Ireland. Premier League. Cliftonville - Coleraine # handicap 1(0)#
 
ADRI7HO

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  • #11,947
Tuesday

LaLiga:

Mallorca - Barcelona (Yes and Over 2.5 (Both Teams to Score + Number of Goals 2.5) 2.47)

Recently, Barcelona tends to suffer in Mallorca, but they tend to win, if there are no more goals in the game, the final result will be 0:1 again. 🤣
But I would expect more goals. :unsure:
 
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  • #11,948
Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Angels: Grand total (> 7.5) /// 1.50

The last bet lost, but something terrible happened: 5 solo home runs for the game and not even a double. So the bet just magically didn't win, given such an active Texas offense. But what can I do, losing is also part of our road to success! The total score of my baseball bets is 21-14. New bet: lets play the total of more than 7.5 runs in the second game of the series. What can I add? What didn't work out in the first game will definitely work in the second game. We'll see some really great offensive baseball in game two between Angels and Rangers. Let's bet! :cool:;)
 
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  • #11,949
BillyR23 said:
Sporting CP - Rio Ave Sporting Ah(-1.5)@ 1.50 on Unibet
Early 2-0 lead for Sporting and after that the hosts just did enough to maintain the lead* FT 2-0 :cool:

I had a busy day and I didn't have time to analyze today's offer, but we'll have plenty of events in the next few days and for sure I'll be back with some tips here too- hopefully we'll continue the winning run... GLGL all with your bets $$$
 
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reeseflamees

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  • #11,950
Mallorca vs Barcelona
Barcelona / Tie
Juventus vs Lecce
Juventus / Tie
Preussen vs Bayer Munich
Bayer 2.5 goals +

PARLAY
2.00 +
 
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