Do you have a mental formula for calculating your EV in Cash Game?

cassimiro

cassimiro

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  • #1
I'm trying to get into online cash games, but I'm still having a lot of trouble maintaining results. I've had some very good wins at NL5, but overall, I'm still in the red. I'd like to know if you have any tips that you consider essential or any mental formulas that make it easier to calculate EV during hands.
 
nabmom

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  • #2
Hi @cassimiro,

I'm not sure why you didn't get any responses to this question (it's a good one). I suggest that you ask again in this thread: Ask Gripsed Anything About Cash Games and you'll probably get some feedback.

I'm no pro in cash games, but I would say that it's important to know how many total hands you have played because an understandable pattern of results takes many hands (there is so much variance in poker). I'm also not totally sure what you mean by EV during hands. Are you talking about calculating pot odds? Or something else.
 
Noobgila

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  • #3
I used to freeze staring at the pot like “Is this +EV or am I just kidding myself?”

I’m no pro, but I’ve started using this dumb-easy checklist in my head instead of panicking:
  1. “If he shoves, how often do I need to be right for this call to at least break even?”
  2. “Based on how he’s played so far, what hands could he actually have here?”
  3. How likely is it that they will call me with worse
Three quick thoughts, no calculator needed. It’s helped me stop overthinking so much. Give it a try next time you’re sweating you might feel a little less like a total fish. We’re all learning!
 
B

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  • #4
When I was learning online cash games, I had a very similar situation: I had some good winning sessions, but overall I was still losing in the long run. Over time, I realized that the main thing is not to look for a “secret formula,” but to build a simple and stable system.
First, I try not to focus only on the result of one session. In cash games, the long run is what matters. You can play perfectly and still lose, or make mistakes and still win. I evaluate the quality of my decisions, not just the money result.
Second, I always ask myself a simple question: “What worse hands can call me here, and what better hands can fold?” This helps me understand whether this is a value bet spot or if I should play more carefully.
For a quick EV estimate, I use a simple idea: if I will be ahead in this situation more often than behind, then the decision is usually profitable. I do not need perfect calculations at the table — it is more important to quickly compare the risk and the possible reward.
Discipline also helps a lot: not playing on tilt, not trying to win everything back immediately, and regularly reviewing my biggest pots after each session. Very often, the most expensive mistakes come not from strategy, but from emotions.
For me, the biggest progress came when I stopped trying to win every single session and started focusing on making the best possible decisions over the long run.
 
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