Figaroo2 said:
Interesting that there are lots of hands with big shoves being posted around the forums and they are all turning out to be value shoves. I think its right to default think value at anything under 10nl.
I always used to fold pretty much automatically to these big over shoves but now I have a better understanding of ranges I find im talking myself into calling much more often. This is costing me too much and having withdrawn a large chunk of my bankroll to pay the bills I now find im not properly rolled for 25nl and have dropped back down to 10nl.
Add to this some tilt issues my Volume is down by 50% this month, my confidence is low. Attempts to raise aggression levels are often backfiring as I keep just running into the nuts. People are calling big 3bets with 33 66 and hitting sets and stacking me. I'm trying to fight my way through this horrible phase. One of my major irks is that you work really hard on your game and things just seem to get worse.
And yes the whale had 75 sigh just typical of my current running.
So keep in mind a few things:
1) Most people are posting hands in forums where they called and lost. You're not seeing many ones where they called and won. People tend to be very results oriented by nature.
2) It's true that at these stakes, when players are aggressive or shove, they often have big hands more than bluffs. We've talked about this a ton. That doesn't mean they will never
bluff, so you have to consider hand ranges, but in general you need to weight the nutted hands much stronger at micro stakes.
3) You're in that learning limbo spot. I've told you this before. You're learning and understanding the game better, and you need to learn how to balance that learning and know how to apply it against the types of players you're facing. Players at 200nl+ will talk about ranges in a very similar way to a 25nl player today, but the weight and balance of those ranges are much different between stakes.
4) You made lots of mistakes in that hand. Some of that could have avoided you getting stacked.
You should be betting near to slightly above pot against someone like this on the flop. If you bet .25+ maybe he just folds his 7 high. But in general, you don't want him folding of course, but his continuing range on that board will be so wide you want to take advantage of it.
You bet too small on the turn.
You should have check raised the river. This is a prime spot that the standard line should be CR. All the draws miss basically on the river, and a scare card comes against an aggressive player. The only hand he's calling if you bet that he might check behind is Jx. He's betting everything else and his missed draws (and he's aggressive). So the weight of those hands he's betting versus calling is much much higher.
You're putting good work in, but there's still lots more to learn. Just take a small break, and don't play poker for a day or so. No study or anything. Just get your mind clear. You're making great progress and you're hitting a learning hole that you'll climb out of soon enough.