Do You Trust Your Instincts More Than the Odds?

Das991992

Das991992

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Sometimes a bet just feels right even when the odds say otherwise lol. Have you ever followed your gut on a bet and won?
 
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zvmbk88001 said:
Yeah, I've had moments where a bet just felt right, and sometimes it worked out! 😄 But I think it's important to remember the wins and losses equally. A gut feeling can be fun, but I wouldn't rely on it over the odds every time. For me, the best approach is to trust the numbers first and treat instinct as a bonus, not a strategy.
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Yeah, keeping track of the losses too makes sense. Otherwise, it’s easy to remember the lucky calls and forget all the times your gut was wrong.
 
Sometimes there are such days where you get really lucky and everything goes well, and of course there are opposite days where you have really good odds but still lose.
 
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You can and should rely on your guts sometimes but only where the risk is low.
For example having a bigstack and collecting shortstacks.
 
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G0930 said:
You can and should rely on your guts sometimes but only where the risk is low.
For example having a bigstack and collecting shortstacks.
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Using your gut when you’ve got a big stack makes more sense, since you can afford to take those smaller risks.
armoko said:
Sometimes there are such days where you get really lucky and everything goes well, and of course there are opposite days where you have really good odds but still lose.
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So true, having good odds doesn’t guarantee a win, and those unlucky days can be frustrating lol.
 
wavefunction said:
Tough one ,instinct excels for one particular hand but for infinite sample size real world value has to converge with expected value
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That makes sense, one hand can go either way, but over time the math should tell the real story.
 
Math is not an enemy I want, because he always wins in the long term.

Its much easier to make math your friend.
 
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TeUnit said:
Math is not an enemy I want, because he always wins in the long term.

Its much easier to make math your friend.
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Haha, true, math always catches up in the long run. Better to work with the odds than fight them.
 
Das991992 said:
Sometimes a bet just feels right even when the odds say otherwise lol. Have you ever followed your gut on a bet and won?
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Yes, it has happened to me before! 😂 Sometimes your gut feeling is right, but I still think it's important to understand the odds and not rely on luck alone.
 
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Shooter74 said:
60% Odds and 40% Instinct, after all, Poker is 60% skill and 40% luck...
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That’s an interesting way to split it, though I’d say poker skill matters more over the long run than instinct.
 
Sure, sometimes you get lucky, but following your feelings can also make you lose money pretty fast lol. I'd rather stick to the odds than bet just because I have a good feeling about it 😅
 
More often than not I go with the odds, but sometimes depending on the player and the pot and situation, I’ll go with my gut.
 
No I don't. And it's actually a dangerous recept that's could lead to big losses if we trust our feeling more than the odds.
 
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Sunz of Beaches said:
No I don't. And it's actually a dangerous recept that's could lead to big losses if we trust our feeling more than the odds.
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That’s true, a feeling can seem convincing in the moment, but it can get expensive if you keep ignoring the odds.
 
I am forced to trust morey instinct in comparison to odds in poker , because I have no very good knowledge of poker pot odds and strategies . So I use my instinct to take instant decisions ehere I am not sure , and [hat happens a lot . In casino games I use purely or only instinct , not taking odds so much in consideration , I try my luck .
 
These decisions are best made when we know our opponent's profile and their technical knowledge or skills.
 
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RALF_AK said:
These decisions are best made when we know our opponent's profile and their technical knowledge or skills.
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That makes sense, knowing your opponent’s style can help a lot. Instinct is useful, but having a read on the player gives it more meaning.
 
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For me, intuition is one of the factors that influence my decisions, but I combine my intuition with my skills and experience.
 
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Lena M said:
For me, intuition is one of the factors that influence my decisions, but I combine my intuition with my skills and experience.
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That makes sense, experience gives your intuition something to work with. I think balancing both is better than relying on gut feelings alone.
 
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