Yeah, you’re right, variance and behavior play a big role. But let’s be honest: the early adrenaline rush is what really messes things up. A quick win makes you feel like the game is ‘hot’, and that’s exactly when you start betting bigger. That’s why I keep saying the beginning is the most dangerous moment.Das991992 said:I’ve definitely experienced the early-win effect, but I think it’s mostly variance and our own behavior. Winning early can make us overconfident and lead to bigger bets, which is often where things go wrong.