BelgoSuisse said:
With all these caveats, playing your last $22 in a single SNG means playing with scared money, and that is -EV in essence. So the main mistake occured when clicking the "Register" button. Later mistakes are quite irrelevant in comparison.
dj11 said:
In this case this player decided he was in a gamblin mood when he committed his last $22 to a single event, and now wants to consider folding out of his dream scenario?
Well put, BS & DJ -- this just about sums it up in a nutshell!
ButtonDog said:
That many people in the hand I would fold in an instant. The chances are pretty good that the other two aces are being held by other players, which means I am drawing dead. I came to play poker not keno.
Based on that comment, you might want to stick with Keno, actually . . . basically, what you're saying here is that the only way you're going to win a hand with AA is by making a set???? You got it competely wrong! In fact, the reason why the big pairs (AA, KK, QQ) are such incredibly strong starting
hands is that they will often win a pot unimproved, while small/med pairs, connectors, etc. usually will need at least some (if not lots of) help from the board to take down a pot, especially in an AIPF situation where a showdown is guaranteed. So, while you might be correct in your assumption that there might not be any more aces in the deck here, your thinking is completely backwards -- this is an advantage for you, not vice versa. And even if the aces are still in the deck and you're up against 4 other (smaller) pocket pairs, 75% of the time you still won't need to make a set to win the hand. (I might be slightly off on this number, but all your opponents combined will at best have eight outs COMBINED, so my hand-over-fist math here seems about right.)
sliver101 said:
i spose he could wait for a better hand????
ROFL . . . or, just wait for one of these to come around: :elefant: