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Poker Discussion
General Poker
How Much of Poker is Skill & How Much is Luck?
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[QUOTE="Alizona, post: 6019663, member: 444115"] In the short run, luck governs over skill. But over the long run, statistically speaking, the "luck factor" converges to zero. Over the long run, skill not only governs over luck, but luck goes to zero and is entirely removed from the equation. Leaving only the respective skill levels between players to separate them and explain each players profit or loss in their bankrolls. All tournaments take place in the short run. All cash games occur in the short run. In fact, all poker is played in the short run where luck governs over skill. However, we don't measure our bankrolls in the short run. The bankroll is the best measure of long term skill in each of our games. If we are skilled at playing the game of poker, our bankroll will go up and we will profit slowly but surely over time. If we are playing in difficult games where our skill level is less than our opponent's skill level, we will be a losing player over the long run. Luck plays zero role in the long run in poker!!!! This explains why "game selection" is so important, because relative skill levels between player is critically important over the long run. Having said that... the long run is VERY long indeed, for statistical purposes the luck factor will never quite reach zero. It will only approach it closer and closer the more hands of poker you play in your long life. Life is just one long never-ending poker session. Good luck. :D [/QUOTE]
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How Much of Poker is Skill & How Much is Luck?
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