pantin007
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- #26
^ 100 hands IS NOT A BIG ENOUGH SAMPLE FOR A TEST
maybe 100,000 but 100 is too small
maybe 100,000 but 100 is too small
Lemlywinks said:So you're just here to stir up controversy on something you have no proof of?
pantin007 said:^ 100 HANDS IS NOT A BIG ENOUGH SAMPLE FOR A TEST
maybe 100,000 but 100 is too small
pantin007 said:100,000 hands
how do u not get this
TheseNutsWin said:listen... a sample of 1000 hands in pokerstars and live game should have close results, you dont need a sample of 100,000 ...
dsvw56 said:Lol you CLEARLY have no idea how much variance is involved in poker if you think this is the case. Not that you had much, but all remaining credibility . . . . POOF . . . . gone.
switch0723 said:your live game sounds rigged as to not produce any action hands
lock thread now plzkthx
TheseNutsWin said:oh and you do mr einstein please teach me..
dsvw56 said:Well I may not be Einstein, but I do have a pretty good understanding of the variance in poker. Or at least enough to know that a 1000 hand sample is very statistically insignificant.
pantin007 said:^ its you bashing everybody imo
TheseNutsWin said:your idiot comment proves you dont even play any live games...
just a few of ur comments and u do make some rude posts that i didnt quote hereTheseNutsWin said:oh and you do mr einstein please teach me..
pantin007 said:just a few of ur comments and u do make some rude posts that i didnt quote here
dj11 said:Consider Statistical Sampling. This is the way polling companies predict winners from a very small number of interviews. It is also the way TV programming is determined. Remember Neilson?
OK, the problem with Neilson in the early years, was that they had a known group of samplers, who decided that they controlled the moral fabric of TV. Never mind that they were a small group of folks who could afford a color TV, and where of the ilk Neilson wanted. This ended up being a horrendous misuse of statistics.
Neilson changed, but not that much. They added a few minorities to the sampling group.
Enter the political polls. The truly independent political pols often run by big New organizations with no ax to grind, or news to make are probably the closest thing to pure stats for most of the 20th Century. They did pretty damn well at predicting voting outcomes, still do.
Enter the 21st century and we are privy to be part of the largest statistical test ever. Poker Hand distributions. These distributions were predicted and verified hundreds of times before this type testing could ever even happen.
The big picture shows little to no variance from predictions. Any one sample (session) or group of sessions (samples) will USUALLY be spread spectrum beneath the bell curve of possibilities. But a significant number will show abnormalities by having an unusual amount of hands that would be in the extremes under that bell curve. And with the enormous (gazillions) number of hands, and players and sessions, it would be rigged if any of those groups continually showed an even distribution. They must show deviation from the norm. That's normal!
All the hands you personally will ever play are not enough to prove an uneven distribution. But before long you will approach theoretically correct proportionality.
So there!![]()
Potatoes are a known quanitity that we naturally accept as fact. If John instead told us that he went to the store and the potatoes had sprouted arms and lips and were animatedly conversing amongst themselves, it's likely we'd want to see for ourselves.TheseNutsWin said:I guess everytime you are having a conversation with somebody you require them to prove their stories.. ex..
John i went to the store yesterday and i bought 1 pound of potatoes for $1.. you go... OH NO!! REALLY? show me the receipt!! or i wont believe it...