I wonder what the odds were on this happening?

My opponent had gone all in every hand so I decided I'd try and catch him out because he was doing it with a lot of weak hands. I went in with 10 K both diamonds. Unfortunately for me he had A 9 both spades. The flop came out 7 J 9 all diamonds, and I was thinking this is great he hasn't a hope. The turn came and it was a 9 of clubs and I was thinking to myself there was no way he'd hit an ace but on the river he hit the A of clubs for a full house A A 9 9 9 to my flush. (By the way I know it was bad play to go all in here, it was just a free tourney and a bit of fun, just was interested to find out what the odds of flopping a flush like that then losing to a full house are)

Odds of flopping a flush: (11/50)*(10/49)*(9/48) = ~0.84%

On the flop, villain had a ~2.83% chance of beating your flush (with runner-runner full house), so the chances of you flopping a flush and him beating you are 0.84 * 2.83 = ~2.4%

(someone correct me if I'm wrong)

SYWTWAF said:

Odds of flopping a flush: (11/50)*(10/49)*(9/48) = ~0.84%

On the flop, villain had a ~2.83% chance of beating your flush (with runner-runner full house), so the chances of you flopping a flush and him beating you are 0.84 * 2.83 = ~2.4%

(someone correct me if I'm wrong)

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Yeah man you are wrong. Its .0084*.0283 = 0.00023772= .0237%.

This is assuming your numbers are right for flopping or beating the flush.

rssurfer54 said:

Yeah man you are wrong. Its .0084*.0283 = 0.00023772= .0237%.

This is assuming your numbers are right for flopping or beating the flush.

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Yeah, I just looked this over, and realized how I was stupidly multiplying %'s. What you said should be right.

Odds of this happening? idk... probably once or twice a night

Poker Orifice said:

Odds of this happening? idk... probably once or twice a night

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lol only if you play on Stars though

haha thanks for the replies, glad to know i'm not the only one it happens to a few times a night