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General Poker
Implied tilt odds
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[QUOTE="Stu_Ungar, post: 1444534, member: 39779"] I'm never really a fan of these types of strategies. They basically assume that your opponent will over-adjust to your stratagy in a predictable manner and that you will correctly anticipate his adjustment and pre-emptively adopt the correct counter strategy. Against decent players this is possible because whatever adjustment they make will be within the realms of a winning strategy so it can be correctly anticipated and countered. Against bad players this isnt really the case, they dont necessarily make any logical adjustment to your strategy, they may simply shift from one losing strategy to another and that adjustment may not be predictable. In essence they arent trying to counter you they are simply doing something different to what they were doing before. Id rather keep a bad player playing his usual bad style than prompt him to make unpredictable adjustments. People dont seem to realise that bad players are difficult to predict simply because they are not playing in a profitable manor, this means they are highly erratic. Good players are far less erratic because they have far fewer options available to them, because the fact that they are winning players means that the do not adopt -ev statagies as often as their bad counterparts. I think you can certainly profit from someone who has over-adjusted or has simply gone on tilt, but I dont see as you gain all that much by actively trying to push them in this direction because its difficult to tell how they will actually react to what you are doing. [/QUOTE]
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