Probability of Poker Hands.

luckymedellin

luckymedellin

Rising Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Nov 19, 2022
Total posts
6
CA
Poker Chips
9
Casino Coins
0
  • #1
I heard its a 1 in 221 chance of getting Pocket Aces.

A couple weeks ago I got Pocket Aces 3 times out of 4 hands. Not in a row but AA - AA - another hand - AA

Is this the element of luck in Poker I suppose?

Anyone else notice any really cool lucky streaks like this?

I wonder how much Luck comes into play with big tournament wins & how common it is for some players to just be considerably more lucky then others.
 
  • Like
Reactions: jonaselloco
0546474

0546474

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Apr 4, 2016
Total posts
2,623
Awards
14
UA
Poker Chips
190
Casino Coins
0
  • #2
Getting a pair of aces in 3 out of 4 hands is really incredible luck, but it's just a small segment of your game, which, apparently, cannot affect the game or even a single tournament in any way!!! Personally, I do not remember that I had pocket aces three times in a row, but I have already seen this in the game !!!
 
P

plusia

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Dec 13, 2022
Total posts
125
Awards
1
GR
Poker Chips
35
Casino Coins
0
  • #3
As poker is a game where luck is involved, strange things will often happen.
 
COMIRRR

COMIRRR

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jan 25, 2019
Total posts
1,778
Awards
2
RO
Poker Chips
169
Casino Coins
0
  • #4
What you described is very rare, I think so! On the other hand, I think you didn't do anything with those strong hands if the others at the table were only given weak hands and they didn't move on
 
fullclock

fullclock

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Sep 29, 2016
Total posts
1,023
Awards
4
Poker Chips
84
Casino Coins
0
  • #5
I have played several times with poker of aces and also another poker. I think it is not that difficult to see such cards on the tables of this beautiful game.
 
fryderyk

fryderyk

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Jan 4, 2020
Total posts
424
Awards
1
PL
Poker Chips
279
Casino Coins
0
  • #6
I once played a tournament where luck was really on my side, in two hours of play I won 35 hands. Every card I came in with was a win. So I'm not surprised by a good card repeated several times in a row.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Andyreas and WellAA
Gritz18

Gritz18

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
Jan 18, 2022
Total posts
6,563
Awards
3
BR
Poker Chips
1,491
Casino Coins
0
  • #7
luckymedellin said:
Anyone else notice any really cool lucky streaks like this?
These days ago I was playing in an autumn league tournament on Replay Poker, and I received AK four times, three times in a row and I didn't win the hand, and in the last hand I received AK I left the tournament.

In my case I would say that I was not very lucky.:unsure::ROFLMAO:
 
  • Like
  • Haha
Reactions: jonaselloco and WellAA
P

PointedTip

Rock Star
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 23, 2019
Total posts
150
Poker Chips
0
Casino Coins
0
  • #8
You can get aces or kings or whatever times in a row, but if no one plays with you they are useless....
 
PokerEdge

PokerEdge

Enthusiast
Silver Level
Joined
Nov 17, 2022
Total posts
82
HU
Poker Chips
11
Casino Coins
0
  • #9
luckymedellin said:
I heard its a 1 in 221 chance of getting Pocket Aces.

A couple weeks ago I got Pocket Aces 3 times out of 4 hands. Not in a row but AA - AA - another hand - AA

Is this the element of luck in Poker I suppose?

Anyone else notice any really cool lucky streaks like this?

I wonder how much Luck comes into play with big tournament wins & how common it is for some players to just be considerably more lucky then others.
And did you win all three hands?
 
  • Like
Reactions: WellAA
W

WellAA

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
May 12, 2012
Total posts
1,006
Awards
2
BR
Poker Chips
494
Casino Coins
0
  • #10
fryderyk said:
I once played a tournament where luck was really on my side, in two hours of play I won 35 hands. Every card I came in with was a win. So I'm not surprised by a good card repeated several times in a row.
About 3 weeks ago, I played our beautiful CC tournament, I won every hand I got involved through the FT, some I just tied. after FT I won 1 hand and left 7th place.:ROFLMAO:
 
W

WellAA

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
May 12, 2012
Total posts
1,006
Awards
2
BR
Poker Chips
494
Casino Coins
0
  • #11
Gritz18 said:
These days ago I was playing in an autumn league tournament on Replay Poker, and I received AK four times, three times in a row and I didn't win the hand, and in the last hand I received AK I left the tournament.

In my case I would say that I was not very lucky.:unsure::ROFLMAO:
Maybe you're overestimating AK, isn't it?;)
 
W

WellAA

Legend
Platinum Level
Joined
May 12, 2012
Total posts
1,006
Awards
2
BR
Poker Chips
494
Casino Coins
0
  • #12
PointedTip said:
You can get aces or kings or whatever times in a row, but if no one plays with you they are useless....
At least You stole the blinds, better than lose for 23 off suited on the BB, when the flop comes 222, and you starting bet value your aces.:ROFLMAO:
 
Gallarado777

Gallarado777

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Jun 19, 2022
Total posts
5,546
Awards
3
KZ
Poker Chips
304
Casino Coins
0
  • #13
I can say if a strong player is given such a hand 3 times, he will turn this advantage into X10 times, and if you give the same hand 3 times to the average player, he will still lose everything he was given for luck, especially this does not mean that the player with this card will win a large amount of chips, it still needs to be played correctly but this combination is very difficult to get since the chances are generally small personally I did not collect such a hand 3 times but I saw this hand 2 times in a row and myself I ran into this hand and lost, it was very painful to see this 2 times:LOL: screenshots are on the forum
 
nerobs9

nerobs9

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Apr 27, 2022
Total posts
1,143
Awards
2
KZ
Poker Chips
219
Casino Coins
0
  • #14
I watched this hand about 10 minutes ago. I think the comments do not make sense) I just do not believe in such a miracle.

I0ALtRvr
 
DiegoRamos

DiegoRamos

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
May 21, 2015
Total posts
1,952
Awards
5
BR
Poker Chips
217
Casino Coins
0
  • #15
luckymedellin said:
I have said that I am a chance of 1 me 221 to get Pocket Aces.

Há algumas semanas, recebi o Pocket Aces três vezes em quatro mãos. Não em linha, mas AA - AA - outra mão - AA

É este o elemento de sorte no Poker, suponho?

Alguém mais notou alguma série de sorte muito legal como essa?

Eu me pergunto o quanto a sorte entra em jogo com grandes vitórias em torneios e como é como é que some jogadores tenham uma sorte consideravelmente maior que outros.
I got it 3 times in a row. I managed to extract in 2 of these 3.
 
Poker Orifice

Poker Orifice

And Still...
Platinum Level
Joined
Jan 19, 2008
Total posts
28,632
Awards
6
CA
Poker Chips
1,038
Casino Coins
10
  • #16
luckymedellin said:
I heard its a 1 in 221 chance of getting Pocket Aces.

A couple weeks ago I got Pocket Aces 3 times out of 4 hands. Not in a row but AA - AA - another hand - AA

Is this the element of luck in Poker I suppose?

Anyone else notice any really cool lucky streaks like this?

I wonder how much Luck comes into play with big tournament wins & how common it is for some players to just be considerably more lucky then others.
Luck will balance out in the long run. It's best just to focus on the moment... & making the right decisions. The rest is out of our control and no sense in wasting much thought on it. (imo)
 
ElScorcho008

ElScorcho008

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Mar 11, 2023
Total posts
192
Awards
1
CA
Poker Chips
87
Casino Coins
0
  • #17
Wow that is extremely lucky. That is something that will never happen for people that play poker their entire life
 
istbno

istbno

Visionary
Platinum Level
Joined
Jan 14, 2015
Total posts
516
Awards
2
UA
Poker Chips
245
Casino Coins
0
  • #18
The luck factor in a poker tournament with 1K+ players can be significant due to the large field size and the inherent variance in the game. Luck plays a role in individual hands, the distribution of cards, and the timing of key confrontations with opponents. However, it's important to note that skill also plays a crucial role in the long run.

In the early stages of the tournament, luck tends to have a more pronounced impact as players are deep-stacked and have more room for maneuvering. A few unlucky hands can significantly impact a player's chip stack and put them at a disadvantage.

As the tournament progresses and the field size decreases, skill becomes increasingly important. Skilled players are more likely to make correct decisions, apply effective strategies, and exploit their opponents' weaknesses. They can navigate through tricky situations, manage their chip stack effectively, and make profitable moves.

While luck can influence the outcome of individual hands or even short-term results, skillful play and consistent decision-making over the course of the tournament are more likely to determine long-term success. Skilled players are better equipped to capitalize on favorable situations and mitigate the impact of unlucky moments.

Ultimately, poker is a game that combines luck and skill. While luck can certainly affect short-term results and individual hands, skilled players have a higher probability of achieving success over the long run by consistently making optimal decisions and utilizing their knowledge and experience to their advantage.
 
  • Like
Reactions: jonaselloco
jonaselloco

jonaselloco

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Aug 4, 2022
Total posts
1,576
Awards
1
AR
Poker Chips
243
Casino Coins
0
  • #19
I recently had AA twice in a row.
in the 1st hand they all folded. In the 2nd hand I was lucky to find someone with KK and the showdown favored me.
Greetings:):):)
 
takinitSLEAZEE

takinitSLEAZEE

Legend
Bronze Level
Joined
Apr 2, 2011
Total posts
1,476
Awards
2
US
Poker Chips
206
Casino Coins
0
  • #20
luckymedellin said:
A couple weeks ago I got Pocket Aces 3 times out of 4 hands. Not in a row but AA - AA - another hand - AA

Is this the element of luck in Poker I suppose?
Yes. I love it when I get little sprints of premium starting hands. I think my personal record for consecutive aces is 4. I think I was given KK 3 times in a row, then AK, and then KK again. It's been a while back since that happened.
 
Luvepoker

Luvepoker

Lost in the twilight zone
Loyaler
Joined
Feb 21, 2018
Total posts
5,894
Awards
23
US
Poker Chips
1,078
Casino Coins
0
  • #21
In a 3 week span I had Aces back to back hand twice in our local casino. The 1st time I was called by the same player both times and he had AQo both times. It is funny how these things happen.
 
lifecoach22

lifecoach22

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Mar 21, 2021
Total posts
167
Awards
1
UA
Poker Chips
53
Casino Coins
0
  • #22
I once got AK 3 times in a row. this is also a rarity for poker
 
dannystanks

dannystanks

Legend
Silver Level
Joined
Jan 25, 2023
Total posts
1,175
US
Poker Chips
965
Casino Coins
0
  • #23
AA’s 3 out of 4 hands? Wow that must have been fun to play!! I hope you took down some stacks!
 
jose_saleh

jose_saleh

Rock Star
Bronze Level
Joined
Sep 5, 2014
Total posts
268
Awards
3
PE
Poker Chips
369
Casino Coins
0
  • #24
Don't believe thats luck, it's probabilities, and since all odds tend to normalize, expect compensation after those big "lucky" hits, try not to loose much money when it happens, because it will happen.
 
Starting Hands - Poker Hand Nicknames Rankings - Poker Hands
Top