Simple math question regarding winrate.

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dcarico

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  • #1
I'm retarded when it comes to math, maybe someone can help me. I'm trying to figure out the formula to find out your required winrate to reach a certain amount over a specified sample of hands.

Say theoretically you plan to play 1/2 for 40 hours per week for 51 weeks per year and your yearly nut is $15,000. Assuming you are dealt, on average, 30 hands per hour that equates to 61,200 hands in one year's time. What is the required winrate needed to reach your nut of $15,000? In hourly and bb/100 please.

So, in short..

How do I find the required winrate to reach $15,000 at 1/2 over a sample of 61,200 hands for this specific example?

These are just rando numbers, I'm looking for the forumla to find the winrate in bb/100 and hourly.

Thanks
 
thunder1276

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  • #2
40 hours/week * 51 weeks = 2040 hours. 15,000/2040= $7.35 per hour.
The best way to do this is to find out your BB/hour and figure it out from there. say you had 3 BB/hour at 1/2. 6*40 hours = 240 240* 51= 12240
I hope this helps
 
WVHillbilly

WVHillbilly

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  • #3
(Needed/bb)/(number of hands/100)=bb needed to meet requirement

So in your example: (15000/2)/(61200/100) or 7500/612 or 12.25bb/100

To check 12.25bb/100 = $24.50 per 100 hands at $1/$2 or .245 per hand

$0.245 * 61200 = $14,994 (rounding error)
 
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