W$SD - Normal Figure?

Pascal-lf · May 5, 2010

My Won $ at Showdown is currently at around 59.5%...

I've been told it should be at 52% (+/- 1%) and therefore I'm running hot?

I play 2NL 6-max if limits make any difference!

F Paulsson · May 5, 2010

Possibly running hot. Possibly folding too often on the river. What's your Went To Showdown?

Effexor · May 5, 2010

F Paulsson said:
Possibly folding too often on the river.

Just to clarify, it doesn't matter if the fold is on the river although thats typically where the leak is since the bet sizes are larger there.

Pascal-lf · May 5, 2010

Went to Showdown is 28%, folding to bets is 65/55/55 on flop/turn/river respectively, and flop to 46/40/30 of raises but there's only 200 raises in total over all 3 streets

F Paulsson · May 5, 2010

Effexor said:
Just to clarify, it doesn't matter if the fold is on the river although thats typically where the leak is since the bet sizes are larger there.

Yeah, I meant what you said. Overall point being that, counter-intuitive as it may seem, a higher W$SD percentage isn't necessarily better.

OP, with a WTSD of 28%, I'd say you're running hot.

Wes747 · May 5, 2010

Well it looks like you are playing ultra-tight preflop, so you're probably losing a lot from the blinds. WTSD of 28% is pretty normal I believe, but 59% is unlikely over a reasonable sample of hands. How big is the sample size?

Pascal-lf · May 6, 2010

Sample size is 20k.

I play 17/10 because there are so many calling stations at 2NL 6-max that there is no point trying to bluff with a weak hand, they'll quite happily chase their draws and catch a high pair on the end

F Paulsson · May 6, 2010

There's also the possibility that you're simply not betting often enough postflop. That should have the same effect on your W$SD.

Pascal-lf · May 6, 2010

I've got an Af of 2.05 but I seem to be checking 50% of hands and betting just over 20%...

I'd be very appreciative if I could send the stats to someone who knew what they meant and they could identify a couple of leaks in my game

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W$SD - Normal Figure?

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