What are the odds?

ShelbeeD · Mar 13, 2010

Can anybody tell me what the odds of catching quads on the flop is? Not with 3 of the same card coming out, but with a pocket pair and then the other two coming out? Thank you. Just curious.

bhood1776 · Mar 13, 2010

http://www.tworags.com/index.php?ACTION=charts&todo=view&ID=78

This chart says 0.2% chance or every 407.2 to 1. So on average every 407 times you have a PP you will flop quads.

I would have thought the odds would be longer, but I'll trust these guys with the math.

swingro · Mar 13, 2010

bhood1776 said:
http://www.tworags.com/index.php?ACTION=charts&todo=view&ID=78

This chart says 0.2% chance or every 407.2 to 1. So on average every 407 times you have a PP you will flop quads.

I would have thought the odds would be longer, but I'll trust these guys with the math.

407.2 to 1 pairs played i think .
If u play pairs 407 times u have a chance of flopping quads.

bhood1776 · Mar 13, 2010

swingro said:
407.2 to 1 pairs played i think .
If u play pairs 407 times u have a chance of flopping quads.

I thougt that was what I said.

ckingriches · Mar 13, 2010

Probability of Getting Quads on Flop with Pocket Pair:

You need both to appear on the flop, but they can come in any order (hence the "x 3" below).

2/50 x 1/49 x 3 = .04 x 0.02040816 x 3 = 0.00244898, or 0.245%

slicky · Mar 13, 2010

on pokerstars its 50/50

jernest · Mar 13, 2010

slicky said:
on pokerstars its 50/50

not even worth commenting on - but I do a lot of things I should not comment on.
On PS I have caught quads with a PP at least 7 times... however I have held a PP at 4000+ times... saying flopping quads with a PP is a coinflip is the most unhelpful thing you can say ITT.

Sorry if this is harshly said.... but really!

naruto_miu · Mar 13, 2010

slicky said:
on pokerstars its 50/50

Now that's a good answer

slicky · Mar 13, 2010

lol everyone knows im kidding man

but still there are alot of quads on pokerstars. i even seen a 5 of a kind

naruto_miu · Mar 13, 2010

slicky said:
lol everyone knows im kidding man

but still there are alot of quads on pokerstars. i even seen a 5 of a kind

Lol, really 5 of a kind? That's got to be higher then a Royal correc?

Marginal · Mar 13, 2010

It is always 50/50 either you do or you dont.

woody19 · Mar 13, 2010

a long shot lol havent flopped quads in like 2 years

ShelbeeD · Mar 13, 2010

Thanks guys. I was just wondering because I caught it twice in one hour last night. And when I tried looking it up I really didn't know exactly what to look for. I have only ever gotten quads once before and that was on the flop also but never twice in an hour.

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What are the odds?

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