Jack Daniels said:I'd expect everyone to say not fold. You're not folding KK preflop here. If his range is any A or any pair then you're around 2.5 to 1 favorite. And you're in the middle of the game presumably blinds are climbing...shove.
I just noticed that now (I'm getting slow)Kenzie 96 said:Ol #7 sighting, cool.
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My chips would be in the middle faster than guy before me here.MediaBLITZ said:I actually considered it last night - for about a second and a half. Final table - 4 left - pays 5
$64,000 in play at the table.
One shove for $13,000
One shove for $13,500
I have $28,000 and am chip leader with KK
A beautiful set up to get down to 3 players, but also a set up if I call to go heads up holding a 5-1 chip lead. Like I said - I tried for about a second and a half to consider folding but it was a ludicrous option. I did think someone could have AA and just before calling said this is gonna be a bitch if it's a cooler. We flip them over - no cooler - QQ vs TT vs KK. TT rivers an inside straight for the win. I'll do the exact same thing every time in that situation.
same (obv.)andrewsz1991 said:I don't think I'd ever fold pocket kings heads up. But that's just me.
Scourrge said:I think the most important point here is correcting what you said about any pocket pair being equivalent to KK. Let's assume Villain is shoving AT, AJ, AQ, AK, AA. This is his shoving range. For completeness, let's look at the odds of him having any of these hands.
Combinations:
AA - 6 combos
AK - 8 combos (you have 2 of the kings)
AQ - 16 combos
AJ - 16 combos
AT - 16 combos
Total: 62 combos. Which means he only has AA about 10% of the times he shoves. And this is assuming we know his shoving range is this tight (in HU it might not be). So with KK, you are dominating his range 90% of the time, since as you said, he pretty much has to hit an A when he doesn't have two of them already.
Now let's consider 99 against the same range. Now, he's still dominating you the 10% of the time he has AA, but what's happening the other 90%? It's basically a flip. Against each hand in his range (aside from AA), you are winning about 55% of the time, and he is winning about 45% of the time. Because he doesn't have to hit an ace to beat you. If the kicker to his ace is 10 or higher and you have 99, he can just pair the kicker to be ahead. With AT he can hit an ace OR a 10, with AJ he can hit an ace OR a jack, etc etc.
I think some of the useful posts by Big_Rudy and MediaBLITZ are getting lost amidst the "LOLZ WHY WOULD YOU FOLD KK PRE?!??!" Make sure you understand why this is never a correct fold, not just the fact that it isn't.
zarrmonster said:Great answer. Love noting the odds. which all come into play.
The only thing I saw missing was taking into concideration if the player is a donk. Dang bunch of em out there.😛
zarrmonster said:Great answer. Love noting the odds. which all come into play.
The only thing I saw missing was taking into concideration if the player is a donk. Dang bunch of em out there.😛
How does it even matter?😕 😕 😕 😕 😕 (I'm tryin' hard not to be a negative dikwad)Scourrge said:That's true, but it can be hard to know this for sure without a decent sample in your HUD. And in HU play it's anybody's guess what the idiot could be shoving... 😀
I'm in agreement with this train of thought...Poker Orifice said:How does it even matter?😕 😕 😕 😕 😕 ...
Poker Orifice said:How does it even matter?😕 😕 😕 😕 😕 (I'm tryin' hard not to be a negative dikwad)