Folding KK Preflop

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why would you fold the second best hand to a random Ax hand. now if you tell me villian is only known to shove AA the fold.
 
The only reasonable time to fold KK is in a large tournament near-bubble situation against a larger stack. The nature of the bubble matters. If this is a tournament with roughly even or chop potential (i.e. Final 30 places qualify for equal or relatively equal prize or entry into some larger tournament).
In all other situations, you are playing to win 1st place and you should call with KK. The risk of your kings being cracked by a weaker hand is actually greater than the chance that you'll run into AA. If you do run into AA, you still have a 15% chance to win 😀 .
 
The only way I'm folding this is if I have a shorter stack on the bubble in any big event.
 
I actually considered it last night - for about a second and a half. Final table - 4 left - pays 5

$64,000 in play at the table.

One shove for $13,000
One shove for $13,500

I have $28,000 and am chip leader with KK

A beautiful set up to get down to 3 players, but also a set up if I call to go heads up holding a 5-1 chip lead. Like I said - I tried for about a second and a half to consider folding but it was a ludicrous option. I did think someone could have AA and just before calling said this is gonna be a bitch if it's a cooler. We flip them over - no cooler - QQ vs TT vs KK. TT rivers an inside straight for the win. I'll do the exact same thing every time in that situation.
 
Jack Daniels said:
I'd expect everyone to say not fold. You're not folding KK preflop here. If his range is any A or any pair then you're around 2.5 to 1 favorite. And you're in the middle of the game presumably blinds are climbing...shove.

Kenzie 96 said:
Ol #7 sighting, cool.
.
I just noticed that now (I'm getting slow)
MediaBLITZ said:
I actually considered it last night - for about a second and a half. Final table - 4 left - pays 5

$64,000 in play at the table.

One shove for $13,000
One shove for $13,500

I have $28,000 and am chip leader with KK

A beautiful set up to get down to 3 players, but also a set up if I call to go heads up holding a 5-1 chip lead. Like I said - I tried for about a second and a half to consider folding but it was a ludicrous option. I did think someone could have AA and just before calling said this is gonna be a bitch if it's a cooler. We flip them over - no cooler - QQ vs TT vs KK. TT rivers an inside straight for the win. I'll do the exact same thing every time in that situation.
My chips would be in the middle faster than guy before me here.
andrewsz1991 said:
I don't think I'd ever fold pocket kings heads up. But that's just me.
same (obv.)
OP, pretty sure you might want to consider playing around with some odds calculators to see how hands match up vs. one another. (there are plenty of them out there.. google search is your friend)
 
Great answer. Love noting the odds. which all come into play.
The only thing I saw missing was taking into concideration if the player is a donk. Dang bunch of em out there.😛


Scourrge said:
I think the most important point here is correcting what you said about any pocket pair being equivalent to KK. Let's assume Villain is shoving AT, AJ, AQ, AK, AA. This is his shoving range. For completeness, let's look at the odds of him having any of these hands.

Combinations:
AA - 6 combos
AK - 8 combos (you have 2 of the kings)
AQ - 16 combos
AJ - 16 combos
AT - 16 combos

Total: 62 combos. Which means he only has AA about 10% of the times he shoves. And this is assuming we know his shoving range is this tight (in HU it might not be). So with KK, you are dominating his range 90% of the time, since as you said, he pretty much has to hit an A when he doesn't have two of them already.

Now let's consider 99 against the same range. Now, he's still dominating you the 10% of the time he has AA, but what's happening the other 90%? It's basically a flip. Against each hand in his range (aside from AA), you are winning about 55% of the time, and he is winning about 45% of the time. Because he doesn't have to hit an ace to beat you. If the kicker to his ace is 10 or higher and you have 99, he can just pair the kicker to be ahead. With AT he can hit an ace OR a 10, with AJ he can hit an ace OR a jack, etc etc.

I think some of the useful posts by Big_Rudy and MediaBLITZ are getting lost amidst the "LOLZ WHY WOULD YOU FOLD KK PRE?!??!" Make sure you understand why this is never a correct fold, not just the fact that it isn't.
 
zarrmonster said:
Great answer. Love noting the odds. which all come into play.
The only thing I saw missing was taking into concideration if the player is a donk. Dang bunch of em out there.😛

That's true, but it can be hard to know this for sure without a decent sample in your HUD. And in HU play it's anybody's guess what the idiot could be shoving... 😀
 
zarrmonster said:
Great answer. Love noting the odds. which all come into play.
The only thing I saw missing was taking into concideration if the player is a donk. Dang bunch of em out there.😛

Scourrge said:
That's true, but it can be hard to know this for sure without a decent sample in your HUD. And in HU play it's anybody's guess what the idiot could be shoving... 😀
How does it even matter?😕 😕 😕 😕 😕 (I'm tryin' hard not to be a negative dikwad)
 
Poker Orifice said:
How does it even matter?😕 😕 😕 😕 😕 (I'm tryin' hard not to be a negative dikwad)

Cause then he's shoving even wider? Idk.

Tryin' and failin'? 😉
 
I would never EVVVVVVVVEEEEEEERRRRRRRR fold pocket kings in a heads up match. Not even if i was 99.9% sure he had aces. It could be I'm to big of a donk but couldn't fold. I think i've only folded them one time pre flop in my entire poker career come to think of it.
 
No way I can fold KK unless I saw his pocket AA. Only a 12 in 2450 chance of that happening (or .5%)
 
You can't ever really fold KK in this spot. It's much better than weak pairs for lots of the reasons listed previously (he could pair his kicker, for example, which would give him twice as many outs to beating a low pair over your king.)

KK dominates any hand except for AA.. Chances you run into AA are minimal.

Only time I'd consider folding this is on the bubble if there was someone very short stacked (e.g. 2-3BB left) close to busting, and I had a big stack, and a fellow big stack who had me covered slightly pushed all-in against me.

At that point you probably gain more $EV by folding than calling.

The other obvious case is if you have a big stack, there's short stacks and you're on the bubble of a satellite tournament. At that point you fold everything into a big stack's all-in push, even aces.

edit: if you want to know more about when you can fold KK in a SNG, I suggest either reading: [ame="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Kill-Everyone-Strategies-Tournaments-Sit-n-Gos/dp/1935396307"]Kill Everyone[/ame] or checking out this ebook: [ame="http://www.plentypoker.com/sit-and-go-strategy-guide/"]Sit-N-Go Strategy Guide[/ame] it covers some of the concepts in the "Kill Everyone" book, and applies them to various stages of an SNG (and it's free). I had a flick through it a couple days ago when they released it, and it seems pretty solid. If you're really serious about your game, then take a look through the eBook and buy Kill Everyone, too.
 
Last edited:
hmmm

Just read this thread. Then went and played a SNG.
 

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