Sun Tzu's Art of War Applied to Poker

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Commentary

The good fighter is able to secure himself against defeat, but cannot make certain of defeating the enemy.

One may KNOW how to conquer without being able to DO it.

Variance at the poker table makes ensured victory impossible no matter how much more proficient one player is over the others. While victory should be all but assured in your mind for playing like you've won will make you win more often, there is never a way to guarantee a win! Anything can happen at the poker table.

There is a fine line between knowing what to do and being able to do what needs to be done. Probably 90% of players who take the game seriously know how to conquer the game but only a very small percentage of them are actually successful in doing so. Preparation on and off the table, knowing thyself, and knowing thine opponents, these are the keys to implementing a winning strategy!
 
Excerpt #30

Security against defeat implies defensive tactics; ability to defeat the enemy means taking the offensive.

Standing on the defensive indicates insufficient strength; attacking, a superabundance of strength.
 
Commentary

Security against defeat implies defensive tactics; ability to defeat the enemy means taking the offensive.

We must distinguish between playing to defend and playing to attack. When we wish to defend our chipstack we will be more conservative in the hands we play and we will only snap out huge bets against blind steal attempts: these are defensive tactics with an aim at survival as opposed to chip accumulation. However, even the most robust defensive tactics will not win a tournament. To win, you MUST BE offensive: you must actively pursue your opponents' chips.

Standing on the defensive indicates insufficient strength; attacking, a superabundance of strength.


When your opponents see you playing conservatively, they will interpret this as weakness: when they see you playing aggressively, they will interpret this as strength
 
Excerpt #31

The general who is skilled in defense hides in the most secret recesses of the earth;

he who is skilled in attack flashes forth from the topmost heights of heaven.

Thus on the one hand we have ability to protect
ourselves; on the other, a victory that is complete.
 
Commentary

The general who is skilled in defense hides in the most secret recesses of the earth;

No one at the table will know what you are up to if you are truly skilled in defense. Utmost secrecy and concealment of your strategy is essential to a strong defense.

he who is skilled in attack flashes forth from the topmost heights of heaven.

One who is skilled in attack will hit his opponent like a bolt of lightning: too fast to defend against and too powerful to recover from. When you strike it will be as if from out of nowhere: you will leave your opponents confused trying to figure out "what just happened?"

Thus on the one hand we have ability to protect ourselves; on the other, a victory that is complete.

Complete victory comes only with superb offense and defense.
 
Excerpt #32

To see victory only when it is within the ken of the common herd is not the acme of excellence.

Neither is it the acme of excellence if you fight and conquer and the whole Empire says, "Well done!"

To lift an autumn hair is no sign of great strength;

to see the sun and moon is no sign of sharp sight; to hear the noise of thunder is no sign of a quick ear.

What the ancients called a clever fighter is one who not only wins, but excels in winning with ease.

His victories bring him neither reputation for wisdom nor credit for courage.

He wins his battles by making no mistakes.


Making no mistakes is what establishes the certainty of victory, for it means conquering an enemy that is already defeated.

the skillful fighter puts himself into a position which makes defeat impossible, and does not miss the moment for defeating the enemy.

Thus it is that in war the victorious strategist only seeks battle after the victory has been won, whereas he who is destined to defeat first fights and afterwards looks for victory.
 
Commentary

To see victory only when it is within the ken of the common herd is not the acme of excellence.

You must see yourself winning a tournament before it is clearly obvious to everyone else that you will win the tournament. To only see yourself winning when you are deepstacked is a mistake. Better is to have a strategy planned out beforehand on how you will navigate through the field and conquer each opponent one by one. See the victory before it can be discerned by everyone else: know you will win because your plans of attack and defense are impenetrable! This said, such plans can not be static and methodical (i.e. the same plan used for different tourneys or the same plan unchanging in a single tournament. Your strategy must be malleable and dynamic: it must change as the field changes, as your chipstack changes, as tournament conditions change.

Neither is it the acme of excellence if you fight and conquer and the whole Empire says, "Well done!"

Better it is to win the war without shedding a single drop of blood. Aim to defeat your opponents before the battle has even begun rather than fight tooth and nail and take a tournament by brute force. To win before the battle begins is to gain the respect of your opponents: when they fear your bets, are alwasy confused about what they believe you are up to, and thus aim to steer clear of you, you have paved a path to victory!

To lift an autumn hair is no sign of great strength;

Taking money that opponents give to you freely is not a sign of great strength. Yet it is the sign of a great poker player (and of a skillful fighter). If opponents continuously give their money to you freely, you will win the tournament with ease and little effort. It takes skill to accomplish this. When you are at a point where opponents expect to lose to you, you have essentially achieved this.

to see the sun and moon is no sign of sharp sight; to hear the noise of thunder is no sign of a quick ear.

When you are running well (cardwise) and take down a tournament because of this, there is no justification for haughtiness; you simply accepted what the universe gave you freely.

What the ancients called a clever fighter is one who not only wins, but excels in winning with ease.

To the masses a clever poker player seems to win with ease. At the poker table, he who sees only what is obvious can only win his battles with difficulty; he who looks below the surface of things, will win with ease.

His victories bring him neither reputation for wisdom nor credit for courage.

When you play in a certain way against a certain player you may not get credit for playing well because you are operating on information only you yourself has about that player. So when you prevail over such opponents you win no reputation for wisdom because only you know what flaw in your opponent you were exploiting; since no one else sees this, you get the victory but no pats on the back from fellow players. Your move could have been ingenious and only you will ever know it!

He wins his battles by making no mistakes.

When you aim to win a tournament by brute force (i.e. attack attack attack) you put yourself at risk of being busted out. No matter how strong or clever of a player you are, you are on occasion liable to be vanquished. Patience is a virtue in poker: the way to not make mistakes is to always proceed cautiously in every decision you make. No unecessary betting calling or folding; make sure every decision has a willful purpose with an aim toward your complete domination of the tournament (i.e. 1st place).

Making no mistakes is what establishes the certainty of victory, for it means conquering an enemy that is already defeated.


If you can know all of your opponents' flaws, peculiarities, and proclivities before a tournament has begun, you can map your way to successful domination of it! You will have essentially already won the tournament in your mind because you have a plan for how to skillfully exploit the field of players, one by one. On top of this, if your opponents respect you and acknowledge that you are more skillful than they are then you will have already won the tournament in the minds of your opponetns as well!

the skillful fighter puts himself into a position which makes defeat impossible, and does not miss the moment for defeating the enemy.


You must be always aware of opportunities to take down your opponents. You must be able to sense weakness and exploit it at every turn. You want to be in a situation where you simply can not lose: such situations avail themselves when you can judge, within 99% accuracy, that your particular hand dominates your opponents' hands. In these cases, pounce on your opponent: do not miss the opportunity to take him out!

Thus it is that in war the victorious strategist only seeks battle after the victory has been won, whereas he who is destined to defeat first fights and afterwards looks for victory.

The truly great poker player will already have in his mind a plan of attack and defence before starting a tournament. In his mind, he knows exactly what he will do when he is up against each particular opponent and so he is now going to battle after already having won in his mind (i.e. after having already worked out how he will play against each particular opponent). A losing poker player looks to fight first and then hopes for victory. YOU MUST go into every tournament with a plan of attack and defence. To do otherwise is to play like a losing player
 
Excerpt #33

The consummate leader cultivates the moral law, and strictly adheres to method and discipline; thus it is in his power to control success.
 
Commentary

The consummate leader cultivates the moral law, and strictly adheres to method and discipline; thus it is in his power to control success.


You must stick to your gameplan and let nothing perturb your determination in executing it. The gameplan can change in fact it must as tournament conditions change; but let not matters that are in no way related to the game sway your adherence to the plan (for example, family matters, desire for revenge, or the fluffing up of one's ego).

Stick with a viable plan of attack and defense and you truly can, with the preponderance of skill over variance, control success!
 
Wow.. this is some deep thesis...It will take a while to read this but I will.
 
Excerpt #34

In respect of military method, we have, firstly, Measurement; secondly, Estimation of quantity; thirdly, Calculation; fourthly, Balancing of chances; fifthly, Victory.

Measurement owes its existence to Earth; Estimation of quantity to Measurement; Calculation to Estimation of quantity; Balancing of chances to Calculation; and Victory to Balancing of chances.
 
Commentary

In respect of military method, we have, firstly, Measurement; secondly, Estimation of quantity; thirdly, Calculation; fourthly, Balancing of chances; fifthly, Victory.

Measurement owes its existence to Earth; Estimation of quantity to Measurement; Calculation to Estimation of quantity; Balancing of chances to Calculation; and Victory to Balancing of chances.

Earth here represents the aspects of the poker tournament which can be known with certainty: the number of players, how fast blind levels will rise, whether there are antes, are there rebuys/addons/re-entries, how many places pay, who are your opponents. At a particular table earth can represent the number of players at your table and your opponents' particular styles of play (if you know the players well) and their positions relative to you. Knowing all of these things with certainty (aside from player styles which can change) can help you determine what kind of edge your opponents may have over you or what kind of edge you may have over your opponents'. With this knowledge, you can have an idea of where you stand relative to your opponents in the area of strength and determine the likelihood of prevailing in the tournament. After making this vague calculation, you can then determine the role cunning will play in your strategy. If you have determined you are weak relative to most other players, you will have to compensate for that weakness by bluffing less and playing more straight up poker. If you have determined you are strong relative to most other players then you will want to bluff more and focus on stealing blinds. A stronger player will know your style after you have played a few hands against him; therefore, attempts at bluffing him will probably fail most of the time. Victory will owe its existence to the amount of cunning you will implement as part of your strategy; too much cunning will result in a quick bust out too little will lead to a slow bleed of your chipstack!
 
Even though I don't post here often, I just want to say that I read these every day, and I think through the concepts frequently.

Thanks for continuing to post these, Gregory.
 
BearPlay said:
Even though I don't post here often, I just want to say that I read these every day, and I think through the concepts frequently.

Thanks for continuing to post these, Gregory.

Sure thing Bear. I don't post every single day but every so often now. I intend on getting through the entire book...I am about a third of the way there at the moment.

Thanks for reading them I appreciate it.
 
Excerpt #35

A victorious army opposed to a routed one, is as a
pound's weight placed in the scale against a single
grain.


The onrush of a conquering force is like the bursting
of pent-up waters into a chasm a thousand fathoms
deep.
 
Commentary

A victorious army opposed to a routed one, is as a
pound's weight placed in the scale against a single
grain.


If you have the attitude of a winner, one who is accustomed to victory to such an extent that he expects victory; the attitude of one who consistently dominates opponents then you will become the type of player that consistently wins and dominates opponents. If you have the attitude of a loser, a player who is used to getting second place to such an extent that you always expect to lose; the attitude of a player already defeated before the game has even begun, then you will become the type of player that is always defeated! Change your attitude and you will change your life!

The onrush of a conquering force is like the bursting
of pent-up waters into a chasm a thousand fathoms
deep.


A conquering force is one that has presence at the table, the one through whom all action seems to flow, the one who people would rather not go up against. A conquering force will win no matter what cards are dealt; a bad run simply means more aggressive tactics are called for. A conquering force will win like a god and die fighting until the very end like a warrior. A conqering force never feels defeated even in the face of defeat.
 
Excerpt#36

The control of a large force is the same principle as the control of a few men: it is merely a question of dividing up their numbers.
 
Commentary

The control of a large force is the same principle as the control of a few men: it is merely a question of dividing up their numbers.

One should play a $1 buy-in tournament just as seriously as one would play a $500 buy-in tournament. Conquering one is essentially the same as conquering the other; we must not allow our minds to fool us on this front.

In the same vein, managing a $500 bankroll is essentially the same as managing a $50,000 or $500,000 bankroll. The only difference is that the greater the bankroll, the greater the sense of responsibility. What you are able to do with $500 you will be able to do on a greater scale with $50,000.
 
BearPlay said:
Great to see you back in this, buddy!
I intend on getting through the entire book but not post as often as I was before.

These financial markets are too turbulent for me to be playing poker. People are bottom picking this market not realizing that the recent rally is probably due to Obama administration attempts at propping up the market before the election (to garner more seats for democratic candidates). A very weak stock market yet people are buying. Not even government can "sway" a weak market to become strong; the best htey can do is make a weak market look strong which is precisely what they are doing and will do. Too much opportunity out there to be messing around with poker the way I was before.
 
Excerpt #37

Fighting with a large army under your command is nowise different from fighting with a small one: it is merely a question of instituting signs and signals.

To ensure that your whole host may withstand the brunt of the enemy's attack and remain unshaken - this is effected by maneuvers direct and indirect.

That the impact of your army may be like a grindstone dashed against an egg - this is effected by the science of weak points and strong.

In all fighting, the direct method may be used for joining battle, but indirect methods will be needed in order to secure victory.
 
Commentary

Fighting with a large army under your command is nowise different from fighting with a small one: it is merely a question of instituting signs and signals.

Poker is Poker. Every player at the table is given two cards per round; everyone starts out on the same level playing field. Whether you are playing $1 buy-ins or $10,000 buy-ins, the nature of the game remains the same. As you progress from small buy-ins to large buy-ins, you must get better at interpreting the signs and signals that present themselves at the table. The closer you get to omnipotent-like awareness at the table (i.e. becoming so perceptive that you can practically predict what opponents have based on their betting patterns) the closer you will come to consistent victory! How you perform at small buy-in levels can be replicated at the higher buy-in levels as you refine your skills of perception.

To ensure that your whole host may withstand the brunt of the enemy's attack and remain unshaken - this is effected by maneuvers direct and indirect.

That the impact of your army may be like a grindstone dashed against an egg - this is effected by the science of weak points and strong.

In all fighting, the direct method may be used for joining battle, but indirect methods will be needed in order to secure victory.

You can not be methodical in poker and expect to be consistently victorious. You must mix up your play with direct play (i.e. obvious moves) and indirect play (i.e. moves which your opponents do not see coming). The key is to appear to be playing methodically when in fact you are switching it up. Your opponents should think they have your style of play fully understood: they should believe they know you and how you play so well that they can predict what you will do. This house of perception which they believe is built with bricks should really, unbeknownst to them, be built with cards. When they think they know you, switch up your play and you will take their chips! When you are directly attacking them, make them think you are attempting to employ a secret tactic; when you are employing a secret tactic, make them think it is a direct attack. Your secret tactics must look like direct attacks, your direct attacks must look like secret tactics. The only way to be consistently victorious over any kind of long run is to switch up your play and become unpredictable: better though to hide such unpredictability under a cloak of predictability: this is to say, play unpredictably without letting your opponents know you are playing unpredictably! Make them think you win mostly off of suckouts so that they at the end of the game will think to themselves "that's one lucky player" rather than think "that's one strong player" We don't play poker for accolades or reputation: we play to win! To win is to keep your opponents guessing at all times; to keep them on edge; to keep them thinking you play a certain way so that you can surprise them later when you deviate from that misguided perception of your style. Your goal is to be underestimated; opponents should believe they have you all figured out despite the fact that you somehow always seem to get the better of them.
 
punctual said:
I intend on getting through the entire book but not post as often as I was before.

These financial markets are too turbulent for me to be playing poker. People are bottom picking this market not realizing that the recent rally is probably due to Obama administration attempts at propping up the market before the election (to garner more seats for democratic candidates). A very weak stock market yet people are buying. Not even government can "sway" a weak market to become strong; the best htey can do is make a weak market look strong which is precisely what they are doing and will do. Too much opportunity out there to be messing around with poker the way I was before.


For sure. One day, I'd love to pick your brain on Forex. I've dabbled in it over the years, but I've been wanting to give it another go for awhile.

I just received in the mail a book which Lark recommended, "No-Limit Life", which I'm going to follow your lead and post excerpts from.

Paws up, buddy, and continued good fortunes to you on and off the tables.
 
Excerpt #38

Indirect tactics, efficiently applied, are inexhaustible as Heaven and Earth, unending as the flow of rivers and streams; like the sun and moon, they end but to begin anew; like the four seasons, they pass away to return once more.

There are not more than five musical notes, yet the combinations of these five give rise to more melodies than can ever be heard.

There are not more than five primary colors (blue, yellow, red, white, and black), yet in combination they produce more hues than can ever been seen.

There are not more than five cardinal tastes (sour, acrid, salt, sweet, bitter), yet combinations of them yield more flavors than can ever be tasted.

In battle, there are not more than two methods of attack - the direct and the indirect; yet these two in combination give rise to an endless series of maneuvers.

The direct and the indirect lead on to each other in turn. It is like moving in a circle - you never come to an end. Who can exhaust the possibilities of their combination?
 
Commentary

Indirect tactics, efficiently applied, are inexhaustible as Heaven and Earth, unending as the flow of rivers and streams; like the sun and moon, they end but to begin anew; like the four seasons, they pass away to return once more.

There are not more than five musical notes, yet the combinations of these five give rise to more melodies than can ever be heard.

There are not more than five primary colors (blue, yellow, red, white, and black), yet in combination they produce more hues than can ever been seen.

There are not more than five cardinal tastes (sour, acrid, salt, sweet, bitter), yet combinations of them yield more flavors than can ever be tasted.

In battle, there are not more than two methods of attack - the direct and the indirect; yet these two in combination give rise to an endless series of maneuvers.

The direct and the indirect lead on to each other in turn. It is like moving in a circle - you never come to an end. Who can exhaust the possibilities of their combination?


As a poker player, you have two possible plans of attack: the direct method and the indirect method. Yet, as limited as your choice of direction may seem it is through those two methods that you can create an infinity of possibilities in your play. It should be stressed here that if you play poker utilizing just one of these methods you are essentially engaging as a 1-dimensional player: people will always be able to figure you out and you will be very easy to beat: either you are always playing the cards you are dealt or you are always bluffing.

It is therefore essential for every poker player to incorporate direct and indirect methods in their play. Poker is more like actual warfare than chess is because in chess all information is known to all players at all times: the only secrets in chess are the move combinations an opponent plans on employing (something that is in large part predictable). In poker, the additional element of surprise comes with the fact that there is information that is hidden from all players. You don't know what hands your opponents have in poker. And so while direct methods of play may be preferable in chess (i.e. memorizing openings and standard plays), in poker it is ABSOLUTELY ESSENTIAL that one employs a recipe of interwoven DIRECT and INDIRECT stratagem. Do not fall into the trap of being a one dimensional player (i.e. sticking to one or the other of DIRECT or INDIRECT play). You will not survive in a multi-dimensional arena by sticking to 1-dimensional play! In poker, you must use all the tools available to you to increase your edge; a 1-dimensional player simply has no edge and will therefore fail in the long run!
 
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