2014 NFL Football Betting Thread

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Surely NO@Chi is the definition of a "don't bet this game, literally anything could happen" game...
 
OzExorcist said:
Surely NO@Chi is the definition of a "don't bet this game, literally anything could happen" game...
I like the Bears with the spot at home. Bears have had 11 days to rest up & prepare. You can get them at +3.5 if you shop around. MP has them as a play, and DVOA suggests this should be a play.
 
twiztidwolff said:
I think most lost this week with that green bay game, man that stunk.

ugh being a packer fan + having them screw up your 6 team spread parlay for $165 hurts. But... 🙄
 
Colt Vs Cowboys?? - I am a cowboys fan, but I think will be a close thing as the Colts +3.5 suggests, however I think Cowboys need to win this more than the Colts so therefore I suggest you take Cowboys@ -3.5 and count your money - It could pay for Xmas. By the way no chocking this year for Romo............gl all..............😀😀😀
 
debating a parlay (2nd shot at one)

Jacksonville -3.5 over Tennessee
Philadelphia -8 over Washington
Green Bay -10.5 over Tampa Bay
New England -10 over New York Jets
Pittsburgh -3 over Kansas City
Denver -3 over Cincinnati

Those are the games I believe will certainly cover I just don't know which I want to play, I may just keep my money in poker this week idk.
 
8 Team parlay.

Chargers +1
Eagles -7.5
Dolphins
Packers
Lions
Falcons +6
Patriots
Steelers

😀
 
This week I like:

Den -3 - Den matches up well against Cin. Teams that beat Cin run the ball well, and get to Dalton. The Pats provided that blue print. Plus I get to buy low on Den.

StL -5 - Easily the most improved team as the season has gone on. They got back a great pass rusher (Long), better QB play from Hill, and I like Fisher's attitude making all the players that were drafted from the RG3 deal be captains against the Skins. And the Giants are waiting to fire Coughlin.

KC +3 - KC's DVOA is higher than Pit's. The line says they're even. Sometimes it's that easy. KC wins through a crazy good pass rush, and a killer run game. Not as flashy as Big Ben chucking the rock around the yard, but more effective.

SF -1 - They've played a tough schedule recently, and the public is blowing the "quit on Harbaugh" thing out of proportion. Their home field sucks, but their DVOA is essentially the same as SD's, so there's a little room here for value.

Cle +3.5 - Four teams have had recent change at QB, and we have data on three of the new QB's. But Manziel has only played one game. He's an unknown. Cincy defends the pass quite well, so I'll give JFF a do over at Car. This line would be 2.5 if Hoyer was playing, and I don't think Manziel is that much worse than Hoyer.

I think Ari & Chi that MP likes are traps. Clausen and Lindley's career numbers are TERRIBLE. Those teams will likely be way worse than their performances to date. I could maybe get on board with Chi, but they've quit so hard on the season.
 
I think Chicago's biggest issue this year is leadership. Cutlet proved last year they could be successful without him, and since his contract was signed the team has been a mirage at best at times. Brandon Marshal, Alshon Jeffery, and Martellus Bennett catching the ball, and Matt Forte running & catching, this team offensively with even a C+ quarterback would be successful. Jay can't lead this team, and until someone becomes the leader Chicago will struggle. I'd in a heart beat bring all 4 of those guys to my team.
 
Totally agree about the Bears' leadership. That situation is a disaster & they need to start fresh. The question will be whether it's with or without Cutler.

As for today, taking the Redskins & the points!
 
won a parlay today

Parlay (4 Teams) 12/18/14 08:29 EST
Bet $ 2.50 to win $ 31.57 (paid $ 34.07) Result: Wager Won
Cleveland Browns 13 vs Carolina Panthers 17 12/21/14 13:05 EST
Carolina Panthers -3.5 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs 12 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 20 12/21/14 13:05 EST
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (even)

New York Giants 37 vs St. Louis Rams 27 12/21/14 16:10 EST
New York Giants +5 (-110)

Tennessee Titans 13 vs Jacksonville Jaguars 21 12/18/14 20:30 EST
Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (-115)
on merge network.
 
Sunday night game tonight feature the Defending Super Bowl champs vs the worst 11-3 team I have ever seen in my life. Give the 9.5 and take the champs!
Arizona is 7-0 at home this season come to an end tonight!! Big defense rolls out a big win!!
 
billyboy313 said:
Sunday night game tonight feature the Defending Super Bowl champs vs the worst 11-3 team I have ever seen in my life. Give the 9.5 and take the champs!
Arizona is 7-0 at home this season come to an end tonight!! Big defense rolls out a big win!!

Worst 11-3 team? If it weren't for their Starting QB & Starting RB being hurt this team was pretty dang legit. Wouldn't be 11-3 otherwise. That Cards D is no joke.
 
billyboy313 said:
Sunday night game tonight feature the Defending Super Bowl champs vs the worst 11-3 team I have ever seen in my life. Give the 9.5 and take the champs!
Arizona is 7-0 at home this season come to an end tonight!! Big defense rolls out a big win!!

The difference in this game was Russell Wilson, period. If it hadn't been for 3 plays, the first half would have ended 3-0 Cardinals. But you gotta admit it, the stats on the Cards offense stink tonight.
 
rancidcarp said:
Parlay (4 Teams) 12/18/14 08:29 EST
Bet $ 2.50 to win $ 31.57 (paid $ 34.07) Result: Wager Won
Cleveland Browns 13 vs Carolina Panthers 17 12/21/14 13:05 EST
Carolina Panthers -3.5 (-110)

Kansas City Chiefs 12 vs Pittsburgh Steelers 20 12/21/14 13:05 EST
Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 (even)

New York Giants 37 vs St. Louis Rams 27 12/21/14 16:10 EST
New York Giants +5 (-110)

Tennessee Titans 13 vs Jacksonville Jaguars 21 12/18/14 20:30 EST
Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (-115)
on merge network.

Congrats on hitting the parlay! You are a sick individual to bet on Titans Jags game, I like you sir. LOL😀 This weekend was bad for me. The Eagles really screwed me, and the Ravens cost me another...😡 On a positive note, when the Broncos win tomorrow, I will win a small 4 team parlay I made.😱 I also have a few open bets that hinge on the Oregon vs Florida State game. Let's go Ducks.😀
 
a 2 win parlay day 2 for 2
Parlay (4 Teams) 12/18/14 08:26 EST
Bet $ 2.00 to win $ 24.61 (paid $ 26.61) Result: Wager Won
Cleveland Browns 13 vs Carolina Panthers 17 12/21/14 13:05 EST
Carolina Panthers -3.5 (-110)

New York Giants 37 vs St. Louis Rams 27 12/21/14 16:10 EST
New York Giants +5 (-110)

Seattle Seahawks 35 vs Arizona Cardinals 6 12/21/14 20:35 EST
Seattle Seahawks -9 (-105)

Tennessee Titans 13 vs Jacksonville Jaguars 21 12/18/14 20:30 EST
Jacksonville Jaguars -3.5 (-115)
 
Nice win! I can't wait for next year to try and do some more Parlays, kind of gave up on it this year.
 
Denver looked unbeatable a month ago. Now, not so good. Manning's 4 interceptions didn't help, but defense and running game also look shaky. Does this make the Patriots the AFC favorite?
 
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