MLB
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers: Hunter Brown will make (< 6.5 strikeouts) /// 1.71
Last bet lost. The defense of both teams played too great in the first 5 innings! Both starting pitchers got 7 hits each, but the defense played like it was a Postseason game. The result is the 6th losing bet in a row. My betting score is MLB 123-118 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, Houston's starting pitcher Hunter Brown will make 6 strikeouts or less. I'll be honest, I was planning on taking a break from betting today. But found a very interesting event! The point is that Hunter Brown has never made 7 or more strikeouts in a single game against Texas in his career! He played 6 games. This starting pitcher has 15 strikeouts in 90 attempts against the Rangers current offensive roster. Also, Texas' offensive roster has only gotten 7 strikeouts or more in 12 games this season out of 44. I think this is a great bet to break my losing streak. You want to bet? Sure! 😎😉
Houston Astros @ Texas Rangers: Hunter Brown will make (< 6.5 strikeouts) /// 1.71
Last bet lost. The defense of both teams played too great in the first 5 innings! Both starting pitchers got 7 hits each, but the defense played like it was a Postseason game. The result is the 6th losing bet in a row. My betting score is MLB 123-118 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Houston Astros and Texas Rangers, Houston's starting pitcher Hunter Brown will make 6 strikeouts or less. I'll be honest, I was planning on taking a break from betting today. But found a very interesting event! The point is that Hunter Brown has never made 7 or more strikeouts in a single game against Texas in his career! He played 6 games. This starting pitcher has 15 strikeouts in 90 attempts against the Rangers current offensive roster. Also, Texas' offensive roster has only gotten 7 strikeouts or more in 12 games this season out of 44. I think this is a great bet to break my losing streak. You want to bet? Sure! 😎😉
MLB
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds: overall total of runs (< 9.5) and Brady Singer will get (> 3.5 hits) /// 2.20
Last bet lost. Hunter Brown played 8 innings in the game against Texas. This is the first time in his career he has played more than 7 innings. You gotta be kidding me! And it happened in the exact game I bet on. Honestly, I'm shocked. It was certainly hard not to score 7 strikeouts in 8 innings. 🤣 The experience failed, I won't bet on strikeouts again. My betting score is MLB 123-119 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians will be 9 runs or less and Cincinnati starting pitcher Brady Singer will get 4 hits or more. It's time to make my predictions great again! 😍 These teams have scored 9 runs or less in 10 of their last 15 games against each other. However, these teams have scored 9 runs or less in 7 out of their last 8 head-to-head games in the last 2 seasons. As for the current season, Cleveland has played 30 of 43 games with 9 runs or less (69.7%) and Cincinnati has played 29 of 45 games with 9 runs or less (64.4%). Brady Singer has played 14 games in his career against the Guardians and he got 4 hits or more in 11 of those games (and his current streak in games against Cleveland is 9 straight games where he has gotten 4 hits or more). Also, Cleveland's current roster efficiency in games against Brady Singer is an incredible 41.8%. I think the “2.20” odds are looking very tasty for that statistic. Bet? Absolutely! 😎😉
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds: overall total of runs (< 9.5) and Brady Singer will get (> 3.5 hits) /// 2.20
Last bet lost. Hunter Brown played 8 innings in the game against Texas. This is the first time in his career he has played more than 7 innings. You gotta be kidding me! And it happened in the exact game I bet on. Honestly, I'm shocked. It was certainly hard not to score 7 strikeouts in 8 innings. 🤣 The experience failed, I won't bet on strikeouts again. My betting score is MLB 123-119 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Cincinnati Reds and Cleveland Guardians will be 9 runs or less and Cincinnati starting pitcher Brady Singer will get 4 hits or more. It's time to make my predictions great again! 😍 These teams have scored 9 runs or less in 10 of their last 15 games against each other. However, these teams have scored 9 runs or less in 7 out of their last 8 head-to-head games in the last 2 seasons. As for the current season, Cleveland has played 30 of 43 games with 9 runs or less (69.7%) and Cincinnati has played 29 of 45 games with 9 runs or less (64.4%). Brady Singer has played 14 games in his career against the Guardians and he got 4 hits or more in 11 of those games (and his current streak in games against Cleveland is 9 straight games where he has gotten 4 hits or more). Also, Cleveland's current roster efficiency in games against Brady Singer is an incredible 41.8%. I think the “2.20” odds are looking very tasty for that statistic. Bet? Absolutely! 😎😉
ryston said:
I was curious and I had to use Google translate for the post lol ... I think all the regulars of this thread trust in your tips and appreciate a lot the work you put into it @john_entony 👍😎 like I've said a few times in the past here, the analogy I like the most(poker related as this is still the Nb1 online poker Community) is about losing with AA, all in preflop, 5 times in a row...the decision was always good as we are always having 80%+ equity vs. 1 opponent(most of the times even like 90% if your opponent has like AK/ AQ/ AJ...), so if I have Aces again and someone puts me All in again- my decision will still be to call... IMO, if we take both poker and sports betting relatively seriously, we should look to make the best decisions/ picks we can and hope for the best results, I'm sure that on the long run- the work put into improving your poker game/ analyzing events will be rewarded... from my experience, if things don't work well long run, there's something else involved too- maybe bad bankroll management/ mental game etc...john_entony said:
Keep up the great work everyone and GLGL with your bets!
PS. IMO the Knicks tonight will close out the Series vs. the Celtics without Tatum(Achilles Tendon Injury sigh 🙁 ), 1 @ 1.71 on Unibet looks good enough to just take it like this and not complicate things with handicaps and other stuff... LFG Jalen Brunson - NBA Clutch Player of the Year Award Winner!
German Bundesliga Today
15.30CET
Bor. M´Gladbach vs. Wolfsburg VFL [email protected]
SC Freiburg vs. E. Frankfurt both to score @1.50
GL fellas
15.30CET
Bor. M´Gladbach vs. Wolfsburg VFL [email protected]
SC Freiburg vs. E. Frankfurt both to score @1.50
GL fellas
I think I started to overcomplicate my MLB betting by using a bet constructor in a single game. Yes, the stats were great in previous matches, but it didn't work. I am in TILT right now, but in betting. I'm not worried about losing money on a bet, since I'm only betting money from my 888 bonus account (so I'm not losing real money). Fortunately, my poker skills allow me to win bonus money for betting on a regular basis. I'm more worried about other players losing their money on my predictions. 😕BillyR23 said:
MLB
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds: overall total of runs (< 9.5) /// 1.90
Last bet lost. One hit short. Yes, Brady Singer only got 3 hits and was substituted after the 5th inning. I'll be honest, I can't predict the substitution of starting pitchers. We all saw in the previous prediction that Hunter Brown played an abnormal 8 innings. And now Brady Singer is being substituted after 5 innings in a game where he played not bad. That being said, Brady Singer has played 6 and even 7 innings per game this season. Or you can remember the recent game where Tanner Houck was not substituted after a failed game in the first 2 innings. I can't get into the head of a team's coach, so I won't bet on the individual stats of the starting pitchers. My betting score is MLB 123-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 2nd game of the series between Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds will be 9 runs or less. I had a feeling while watching the 1st game of the series between these teams that their rosters are more defense oriented this season. And if not Tanner Bibee's failure, we would have seen no more than 6-7 runs in the 1st game, as the back-up pitchers are perfectly fine in both teams. I already wrote the stats of the games between these teams in the last prediction. So I don't see any point in repeating myself. Bet? Sure! 😎😉
Cleveland Guardians @ Cincinnati Reds: overall total of runs (< 9.5) /// 1.90
Last bet lost. One hit short. Yes, Brady Singer only got 3 hits and was substituted after the 5th inning. I'll be honest, I can't predict the substitution of starting pitchers. We all saw in the previous prediction that Hunter Brown played an abnormal 8 innings. And now Brady Singer is being substituted after 5 innings in a game where he played not bad. That being said, Brady Singer has played 6 and even 7 innings per game this season. Or you can remember the recent game where Tanner Houck was not substituted after a failed game in the first 2 innings. I can't get into the head of a team's coach, so I won't bet on the individual stats of the starting pitchers. My betting score is MLB 123-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 2nd game of the series between Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds will be 9 runs or less. I had a feeling while watching the 1st game of the series between these teams that their rosters are more defense oriented this season. And if not Tanner Bibee's failure, we would have seen no more than 6-7 runs in the 1st game, as the back-up pitchers are perfectly fine in both teams. I already wrote the stats of the games between these teams in the last prediction. So I don't see any point in repeating myself. Bet? Sure! 😎😉
MLB
New York Mets @ New York Yankees: New York Yankees (to win) /// 1.60
Last bet won. Well, that's great! I broke an eight-game losing streak. Of course, this bad experience has ruined my stats. But I need to move on and keep striving for wins. My betting score is MLB 124-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Yankees at home will beat New York Mets in the 3rd game of the series. The Yankees starting pitcher is too solid today! Max Fried is a superstar who never had an ERA below “3.25” in the last 5 seasons. And this season he has an incredible “1.11” ERA! Also, the Yankees have won 8 out of 9 games this season when Max Fried was their starting pitcher. Also Max Fried's current streak in games against the Mets is 4 straight wins. His individual stats in games against the Mets are also very solid: 0.81 hits and 0.31 runs per 1 inning on average. Bet? Absolutely! 😎😉
New York Mets @ New York Yankees: New York Yankees (to win) /// 1.60
Last bet won. Well, that's great! I broke an eight-game losing streak. Of course, this bad experience has ruined my stats. But I need to move on and keep striving for wins. My betting score is MLB 124-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Yankees at home will beat New York Mets in the 3rd game of the series. The Yankees starting pitcher is too solid today! Max Fried is a superstar who never had an ERA below “3.25” in the last 5 seasons. And this season he has an incredible “1.11” ERA! Also, the Yankees have won 8 out of 9 games this season when Max Fried was their starting pitcher. Also Max Fried's current streak in games against the Mets is 4 straight wins. His individual stats in games against the Mets are also very solid: 0.81 hits and 0.31 runs per 1 inning on average. Bet? Absolutely! 😎😉
Today we'll have Game 7 of the OKC vs. Nuggets Series and IMO, at least statistically, this event is similar to the Knicks one(nice easy win there for Jalen Brunson & Co. 👍😎 ), so everyone expects Shai & Co. to win(even at the line that's at 8 points...) and most people I talked to and/or I follow online believe that, like pretty much all the Game 7's in the history of the NBA, it will be way Under the line offered by the bookmakers... so, even tho I don't like to bet against Jokic(most of you probably know that I avoid betting against the best players in their sports* like Messi, Nole...), I'd go with OKC(-8 points)@ 1.85 on Unibet and Under 215.5 points@ 1.93 on Unibet
Also, the Nuggets will have injury issues for this game... it is what it is... Gordon will be GTD but it's just not 'official' as the Hamstring Injury he picked up in Game 6 is expected to keep him out for a few weeks* tough loss for the visitors... while, Murray(Illness) and Westbrook(Hand Injury) are likely to play; so (IMO) the Nuggets will need one of the better games from Jokic- probably a 40pts+ triple double, so a few 'interesting' side bets: Jokic 50+ (Points, Rebounds, Assists)- Yes@ 1.52 on Unibet, Christian Braun 15+ Points(Yes)@ 2.06 on Unibet and a long shot one(a bit of insurance for the bet on OKC), Jamal Murray 30+ Points(Yes)@ 3.85 on Unibet* IMO for Denver to win this Game 7, they'll need insane performances from Jokic and Murray and also to somehow stop Shai & Co. on the road....
Hopefully this will be an entertaining event... GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday!
*Update- while writing this post, the official lineups were announced and Gordon, Murray, Russ will all play- the question will remain how this injuries will affect their performances...
Also, the Nuggets will have injury issues for this game... it is what it is... Gordon will be GTD but it's just not 'official' as the Hamstring Injury he picked up in Game 6 is expected to keep him out for a few weeks* tough loss for the visitors... while, Murray(Illness) and Westbrook(Hand Injury) are likely to play; so (IMO) the Nuggets will need one of the better games from Jokic- probably a 40pts+ triple double, so a few 'interesting' side bets: Jokic 50+ (Points, Rebounds, Assists)- Yes@ 1.52 on Unibet, Christian Braun 15+ Points(Yes)@ 2.06 on Unibet and a long shot one(a bit of insurance for the bet on OKC), Jamal Murray 30+ Points(Yes)@ 3.85 on Unibet* IMO for Denver to win this Game 7, they'll need insane performances from Jokic and Murray and also to somehow stop Shai & Co. on the road....
Hopefully this will be an entertaining event... GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday!
*Update- while writing this post, the official lineups were announced and Gordon, Murray, Russ will all play- the question will remain how this injuries will affect their performances...
MLB
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays: overall total of runs (< 7.5) /// 2.45
Last bet won. This was the best game so far this MLB season in terms of intrigue! And yes, the Yankees won 8-2, by a very solid score, but that was only thanks to an incredible home run by Cody Bellinger in the 8th inning. And it was a home run with all the bases loaded that brought in 4 runs for the Yankees. My betting score is MLB 125-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays will be 7 runs or less. Today we're betting on odds above “2.00” again. Let's analyze how playable it is. There were 7 runs or less in 11 of the last 15 games between these teams (and the current streak is 6 games in a row). The balance this season for both teams stays in favor of defensive play. Houston played 58.6% of their regular season games with 7 runs or less, while Tampa Bay had 56.5% of such games. Also, the Astros had 2 or more games in the last 4 regular season series with 7 runs or less. Tampa Bay starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot has played 9 games this season and in 6 of them the game ended with 7 runs or less. It is hard to say anything about Colton Gordon (Houston's starting pitcher in the upcoming game) as he is a rookie and has only played 1 game in the League. But even that game ended with a score of 4-3 in favor of the Astros. That is, we see a very interesting series, where the bookies are very overestimating the offensive abilities of the teams. Bet? Sure! 😎😉
Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays: overall total of runs (< 7.5) /// 2.45
Last bet won. This was the best game so far this MLB season in terms of intrigue! And yes, the Yankees won 8-2, by a very solid score, but that was only thanks to an incredible home run by Cody Bellinger in the 8th inning. And it was a home run with all the bases loaded that brought in 4 runs for the Yankees. My betting score is MLB 125-120 in favor of successful, NBA 161-182 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 9-16 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 4-11 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Houston Astros and Tampa Bay Rays will be 7 runs or less. Today we're betting on odds above “2.00” again. Let's analyze how playable it is. There were 7 runs or less in 11 of the last 15 games between these teams (and the current streak is 6 games in a row). The balance this season for both teams stays in favor of defensive play. Houston played 58.6% of their regular season games with 7 runs or less, while Tampa Bay had 56.5% of such games. Also, the Astros had 2 or more games in the last 4 regular season series with 7 runs or less. Tampa Bay starting pitcher Ryan Pepiot has played 9 games this season and in 6 of them the game ended with 7 runs or less. It is hard to say anything about Colton Gordon (Houston's starting pitcher in the upcoming game) as he is a rookie and has only played 1 game in the League. But even that game ended with a score of 4-3 in favor of the Astros. That is, we see a very interesting series, where the bookies are very overestimating the offensive abilities of the teams. Bet? Sure! 😎😉