pirateglenn said:
I think the punishment will be severe but i hope proportionately so.
Relegation wise - i dont see this but points deduction very possible with a huge fine.
The magnitude of this case and Citys ongoing denial of guilt (which will again by extended by an appeal) wont help their cause.
I think the most complex part here will centre around compensation claims currently tabled by 4 clubs and increasingly likely to rise.
Would i relegate them? No
Strip titles - hmm thats a tough one but no.
Points deduction? Yes - minimum of 10.
Fine - Huge.
Lets see...
I respect the balanced and fair minded posts you make in this forum, and this would be in keeping with that spirit, but I nonetheless disagree with almost statement you make here.
pirateglenn said:
I think the punishment will be severe but i hope proportionately so.
I assume from the rest of the post that you mean that hope the punishment is not too severe? Why exactly? you think what they did isn't too much of a big deal, or some other concern?
pirateglenn said:
Relegation wise - i dont see this but points deduction very possible with a huge fine.
Here's the one bit I do agree with - I also don't
think they'll be relegated, but I certainly think they
should be.
pirateglenn said:
The magnitude of this case and Citys ongoing denial of guilt (which will again by extended by an appeal) wont help their cause.
On the contrary, it has helped their cause a great deal, and will continue to do so. These charges date back to late 2010's and a decade has passed since , in which time those earlier successes have raised their profile to an extent that any punishment that's limited to , say, the 27/28 season, would be a mere speedbump to a club that has already profited from many years of speeding. The nature of FFP rules means that a club is limited principally by how much revenue they can generate and the existing asset base (squad + facilities) ; the revenue is limited heavily to the success of the team on the field in previous years, and of course of the facilities are already built. It's a perverse twist on the "fake it till you make it" mentally - cheat your way to success and buy a fanbase & brand
equity that will sustain you for decades.
The reality is that even if Man City were relegated, fined and given a season's transfer ban, they'd be back to the very top in a couple years, likely even quicker than Juventus were in Italy because of the competitive edge they've bought for themselves via FFP, on the back of cheating and then dragging it out long enough to consolidate their gains.
It's likely also given an incentive to the EPL to try and settle the case in a way that City find favourable (or at least gives them fewer things to plausibly challenge), because it's the league that looks worse from the delays, and they already look thoroughly impotent.
pirateglenn said:
I think the most complex part here will centre around compensation claims currently tabled by 4 clubs and increasingly likely to rise
Calculating the compensation may be tricky, but the principle is very simple ; they should be compensated.
pirateglenn said:
Would i relegate them? No
Again I'd love to understand why. It's now well established that teams committing financial irregularities usually get points deductions, which can be substantial enough to make relegation inevitable (as happened to my own hometown club), and in some cases direct relegations were ordered (Swindon, Darlington). I think what Manchester City have done is far worse than those cases, because it took places over many years, and they didn't just cheat, but orchestrated a sophisticated scheme to conceal it , so they could spend years lying about having cheated.
pirateglenn said:
Strip titles - hmm thats a tough one but no.
If those titles were won in seasons where cheating is found to have occurred, why leave them to stand? In almost all other sporting examples I can think of, titles won by cheating are nullified. It's long gone now and does little, but records do still matter to fans.
pirateglenn said:
Points deduction? Yes - minimum of 10.
Again, this hurts them for a single season, and while it might cost them a title (probably not European qualification) , it will do virtually nothing to offset what they've gained.
pirateglenn said:
And this does absolutely nothing, which makes me wonder if you've even grasped the nature of the problem. The problem wasn't ever that city didn't have enough money, but that they had an excess of money yet limits to how much of it they could spend it within the rules. A fine does little to hurt their owners who will gladly pay it, unless it affects what they can spend on players under the rules, but under the new squad cost system, non football expenses like this will not have any impact on what they can spend. Should a fine bear the brunt of the punishment that City receive , it will have effectively enabled this cheating, serving as mechanism through which owners can transfer additional wealth into their clubs beyond what the rules allow.
The above is of course another way in which City stringing out the case will have helped them, because a huge fine might have been more a problem before the aforementioned change.
~
For me, adherence to rules is sacrosanct in sport (and competitive games in general), and cheating of any type is a reprehensible action that must be deterred by all means possible. When a player or team gains an unfair advantage by breaking the rules, that sport often because uninteresting not just to the other competitors, but to spectators. For this reason, I believe that that infringements need to be deterred by sanctions that exceed the benefits that are derived from non adherence. In City's case, you have a 10 year period in which they transformed a 2nd tier club into an infinitely more famous one which was the dominating force in domestic and European football, and this was only possible because they spent more money than their real underlying finances would have allowed. So when I hear fans say something along the lines of (I paraphrase) "yeah, dock them a dozen points and give them a fine, then let's move on" it truly makes me despair. How is that remotely equivalent to what they gained over the decade in question?
If football fans have a fault, I think it's that they are
too tolerant (emphasis on too, because tolerance is a laudable virtue), and it's led to an industry that exploits it. It's not just Man City, but VAR, ticket prices, excessive televising of games and other developments that have sacrificed the fan experience to the altar of money. The only thing I can recall Football fans ever really pushing on back on was the Superleague, and while that was an odious proposal I saw the backlash as counterproductive, since it did the bidding of organisations like UEFA, FA, PL etc (organisations that did all those aforementioned bad things) for them.
I've personally lost a lot of interest in Football because of all those things, but especially Manchester City. When I was a teenager I was a season ticket holder for my hometown club, and used to keenly watch the premier league as a neutral. I remember going on holidays to the states over a Christmas/NY period and being excited every time my dad called home, because we were going for promotion, and he'd get the football scores. For better or worse, it meant something to me. Not anymore - it's now close to a decade since I've been to a live game, and I cancelled my sky subscription a few years meaning I'm lucky to see one live Premier league game a season. My interest is there in theory, I've always loved the sport, but it's too predictable and anticlimactic to motivate me to watch.
So for me, anything less than suite of measures that removes the illegitimate titles, imposes sanctions on the individuals responsible, and constrains the competitiveness of the club (whose entire asset base by now is derived from ill gotten gains) for the best part of a decade, falls short of what is necessary.
Note that none of this is about punishing City fans, players, and other uninvolved stakeholders. It is impossible to shield any of these groups from the consequences brought about by the schemes of their owners entirely, but if a fine was levied, the proceeds could first go to mitigating those effects. And no doubt City fans would not love seeing their club relegated, facing transfer bans and the like, but I actually wonder if that might not be a blessing in disguise. Sport (real sport, not the plastic sort we've become accustomed to) is about ups and down, and it's experiencing the heartache of the downs that make the successes so much sweeter. Modern City haven't had that, so reconnecting to this reality would be a good thing for them in the long run.
Apologies that this post is so long, and thank you if you read it all!