NBA betting thread 2019/2020

[puzzlefish]

Any takes on the line for Pacers and Cavs? Pacers lost to the Cavs last time and have been in a slump for the last few games, yet they are the favourites?

 

[ArmiSoo7]

I made bet for pacers. But in multibet. Wish me luck.


Houston Rockets @ 1.45
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1.57
Indiana Pacers @ 1.34
Los Angeles Lakers @ 1.86
San Antonio Spurs @ 1.38

odds: 7.95

 

[Synopsis]

It's kind of a weird line considering turners injury, and the fact Cleveland has played decent so far. +7 seems a little high huh. It looks like one of those games where you could play Cleveland and buy out early, safely, if the pacers look to be in good form. The line is definitely questionable though considering turner most likely being out. I'd be amazed if he played and even if he did, he would be a nonfactor because that looked like a really bad sprain last game. Give me a second to look over the injury reports for these 2.

 

[Synopsis]

Yeah he is out indefinitely, sumner is also out for the pacers. Sumner is off the bench and not a real factor, but he did have 10 points in the loss to Cleveland a few games back. Zizic is out for cleveland, bench player, but way better than sumner. I think he started a game earlier in the season and had a double double. The weight of him being out isn't that big of a deal because turner is out (they both are big men playing center/hybrid power forwards). It's a interesting line considering cleveland has been way more consistent so far, and Indiana will be without their star big guy.

 

[Synopsis]

I made a similar play, minus the pacers and la.

I made bet for pacers. But in multibet. Wish me luck.


Houston Rockets @ 1.45
Milwaukee Bucks @ 1.57
Indiana Pacers @ 1.34
Los Angeles Lakers @ 1.86
San Antonio Spurs @ 1.38

odds: 7.95

 

[Synopsis]

I considered the under also, but here is why I passed on it. Let's say the spurs get a big lead, which isn't a crazy scenario. That 4th quarter will be super loose with back ups just trying to get stats. Almost like a all star game pace. The gamble here is if those back ups hit the shots, or lay bricks.

One thing I think that may play well for the under is I could see go playing a down tempo, very methodically paced game here being without curry. I'm scared off of this line because I need to see if gs actually play better without step because now they can't just stephan around waiting on him to take over. On paper, the spurs should win this by double digits, but who is to stephan day how gs will play.

I added 2 units each to Bucks for their first half and first to 50.

For the Warriors game I am putting 3 units on the Spurs AND Under 222.5. I can't see Warriors scoring much without Curry and am counting on that for the Under. If this falls through I am going to have to get much more conservative with my betting.

 

[puzzlefish]

I got 2 units on the Cavs and will be watching the game closely.

 

[Synopsis]

I'm considering it also, but it starts at the same time as the Rockets game, and the bucks game. I don't like having too many games in sports where scoring is a every minute thing because the lines can flip so fast and you miss on and buy out, or just a good line on the team you're already on. I'll be looking at the line movement though right up to tip off. If it gets a strong push, Cleveland could be pushed up to 8 or 8.5. I doubt it though, I almost suspect it will be the opposite and that the line will drop half a point. In games like this sometimes it's best to wait until 2 or 3 minutes into the game to bet. Say in the first few minutes it's only 4-0 with Cleveland leading. The live line will still be roughly the same and for some reason it will be even worse for the favorite a lot of the time. Remember the gs/suns game. The suns went up by 19, and the line was only -6 or something, so that ultimately was getting a +13, early in a game that was -4 to begin with. But when it was only a 5 point lead, the Warriors were favored by even more than the opening line even though they were down 5.

I got 2 units on the Cavs and will be watching the game closely.

 

[puzzlefish]

Yeah he is out indefinitely, sumner is also out for the pacers. Sumner is off the bench and not a real factor, but he did have 10 points in the loss to Cleveland a few games back. Zizic is out for cleveland, bench player, but way better than sumner. I think he started a game earlier in the season and had a double double. The weight of him being out isn't that big of a deal because turner is out (they both are big men playing center/hybrid power forwards). It's a interesting line considering cleveland has been way more consistent so far, and Indiana will be without their star big guy.

Zizic has been gone for a while. I think Indiana should be hurting a lot more than Cleveland is. Sabonis was Indiana's top scorer in their last (and only) win of their last four. Cleveland also has Dellavedova sitting out and Knight will be playing more minutes as a result.

 

[Synopsis]

Ah I see that now, I just glanced at the report and didn't look at the dates on his last 5 games. Indiana definitely is worse shape just by turner being out. It takes away a big advantage they could possibly had on the offensive rebounding.

Zizic has been gone for a while. I think Indiana should be hurting a lot more than Cleveland is. Sabonis was Indiana's top scorer in their last (and only) win of their last four. Cleveland also has Dellavedova sitting out and Knight will be playing more minutes as a result.

 

[Synopsis]

Houston first half is -1.5 also. Utah is also -1.5, those are value lines considering the full games are both 4.5

 

[Synopsis]

Bucks off to a terrible start. 3 turnovers in 2 minutes. Yet the live line is only 1.5 less points. I'll wait though.

 

[puzzlefish]

Bucks recovering. Cavs are leading after 1st quarter but not as dominant as I would like to see. Hoping they will both keep it up through the second.

 

[Synopsis]

What's up with giannis? They have consistently dropped points when he is in, and when he has gone out, they come back. Has been that way a few games now.

 

[puzzlefish]

I am not watching but he looks like he is getting going now and some decent assists too.

 

[Synopsis]

Yeah, he is, but that first quarter, they came back when he went to the bench. Has happened more often than you'd expect so early in the season. Orlando went from red hot to cold as ice. They were 80 percent well past 7 minutes I to the first quarter. They are down to mid 30 now.

 

[Synopsis]

Nothing to do with the game, I really like brooklyns court design, it almost looks like stone.

 

[Synopsis]

I'm going to play Houston second half. Its under the game line, so I could just buy out of it with the game line if needed. Same type of play as last night on the clippers.

 

[puzzlefish]

I'd be more comfortable playing that on the Bucks for 3rd and 4th quarters. Looks like the Nets are rebounding and playing better against the Rockets.

Edit: I threw one more unit @Bucks for 3rd. I take back the fourth.. maybe I won't play that since they may put on the bench warmers..

 

[Synopsis]

I'll most likely be buying out of Houston soon. They are shooting really bad, yet keep shooting 3s.

 

[puzzlefish]

I think it's a strategy that they employ to pull the Nets out a bit defensively. They may not be hitting the 3s right now but that can quickly change and then that will open up the floor for more 2s afterwards.

 

[Synopsis]

What I'd like to see is harden driving more. Get some fouls going, he isn't getting to the line like usual.

 

[puzzlefish]

Still a chance to get going in the 4th, but yes the beard is not as strong as usual.

The Bucks let me down in the 3rd. And I may be buying out of the Cavs here momentarily unless they show something remarkable at the start of the 4th!

 

[Synopsis]

Lots of money coming in on dallas. That line has flipped to them being the favorite.

 

[puzzlefish]

Painful night so far for me. Shutting it down and hopefully the Warriors don't reinvent themselves tonight.