VIP said:
Afterwards it's obviously easier to say but next time when you've turned 10 into 150 perhaps you'd withdraw like 100 and leave rest to start from all over again ...
I'm not sure how big or small your bankroll is but i'd imagine that if you'd only make like 5.- bets then you'd be fine after all
VIP said:
What recommendations you actually want ...
Only real advice which i can give you is that whenever you plan to upload your bets here please do not hide anything in betslip like this dumb russian architect does :creep:
Friday (2-1) +$90.00/ +.90 Units Overall (81-64-4) +$1060/+10.60 Units
Recap - Mavs and Doncic down Magic by double digits (0-1), Toronto clamps down on Suns (1-0) and OKC beats Denver at home to keep pace (1-0)
Saturday-
Miami (-13.5) @ Home vs Cleveland - Heat lost last 2 on the road - Cavaliers played last night in Washington DC now in Florida - Heat have dominated first 2 matchups
1 Unit - $100
Recap - Mavs and Doncic down Magic by double digits (0-1), Toronto clamps down on Suns (1-0) and OKC beats Denver at home to keep pace (1-0)
Saturday-
Miami (-13.5) @ Home vs Cleveland - Heat lost last 2 on the road - Cavaliers played last night in Washington DC now in Florida - Heat have dominated first 2 matchups
1 Unit - $100
Risto234 said:
I made a document in excel on statistics, referring to the average fashion and variance, sometimes it gives me good result because I take a sample of the last 100 games and I am focusing on the total score, over or under.
VIP said:
Perhaps studying a little more performance, the presence and absence of players could give an adjustment to the mathematical equations. If you want I invite you to the project if you are interested, we could move further between 2, I am currently doing it alone.
I had the 5 team parlay, and I had a parlay of Dallas -4, and the Nuggets money line at +110. When Dallas won, I had all of that space to buy out clean while still keeping the 5 team alive if the Nuggets would have won. I ended up making a tiny bit on that, and had the full win on the Dallas spread, so it was an ok day. I'd Denver would have won after I bought out/hedged, I still would have pocketed 3 units. I try to set up my parlays like that where it's a win/win as long as the first leg wins.
I'm on Dallas ml tonight. Atlanta has to prove it to me before I stop fading them.
I'm on Dallas ml tonight. Atlanta has to prove it to me before I stop fading them.
ribbybruno said:
I agree with this. If you prove to be successful over time you can up it to 2.5 percent of your roll. In some rare cases I will go over that (4 times all of the football season, both NFL and ncaa combined. I had almost 500 total bets between those 2. You see how rare it is I went over 2.5) but don't get crazy with it. Sports betting isn't glamorous like it's portrayed, it's a grind over time. If you treat it differently, you will lose your ass in time.
ribbybruno said:
I'm going to take a stab at the Clippers money line live @+143. They are down 7 late in the third. I think I could get out of this cheaply if needed, so it's low risk. It's a risk to reward bet. Unless the kings go on a run, it should be fine either way.
Clippers have it tied up now with 7 to go in the 4th. I could get out now for easy profit since the kings money line is +177 now. I'll wait a little though. If kings go up 3 or 4, I'll likely get out even but since clippers were plus money I can make it work out for me.
Kings up 3 with 3 to go, think I'm going to bail. Line isn't as good as I had hoped, it's -107, but still leaves a little room to get about .2 units safely. Yeah, I think I'll do that, clips don't seem to want to get a lead, they tie it and then give up points over and over.
Glad I did that, clippers have shit the bed the last 2 minutes. They might lose by double digits, at home, to the kings, after having a 3 point lead with like 8 to go. Really wish I had got out when the kings were +177 instead of -107 but I'm not going to complain with any profit. I'm thinking about double dipping on Dallas since I won't be on any other games today.
Dallas +4 second half
Curious line. They have a solid lead at the half, but had a pretty bad defensive second quarter. This makes them have to win by 4, and I like that. Hopefully go 3-0 on this game
Edit... juice just swung to Atlanta so I'm going to bet this again +4 @-105
Curious line. They have a solid lead at the half, but had a pretty bad defensive second quarter. This makes them have to win by 4, and I like that. Hopefully go 3-0 on this game
Edit... juice just swung to Atlanta so I'm going to bet this again +4 @-105
Well that was a complicated way to make .3 of a unit. I got lucky how things lined up where the plus money was on who ultimately won to be able to scrounge a little profit. On the other hand the original bets I lost both had 4th quarter leads and choked to bad teams... luck is funny like that I suppose.