NFL Betting Thread 2019/2020

[odn]

Baltimore-Houston 2.

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 11 Thursday

Thursday (0-1) -1.10 Units/ -$110 Overall (34-37) -6.7 Units/-$670

Recap - Browns play tough and hold Steelers to 7 points (0-1)

Week 11 Sunday -

Saints/Bucs Over 50.5 - With the Saints only scoring 9 points vs Atlanta last week. Drew Brees will circle the wagons. I expect a shootout!

Falcons/Panthers Over 48 - Both teams combined give up 53 points a game - like this spot

Texans/Ravens Over 51.5 - Two QB's with passion and legs should heat things up!

Oakland (-13) @ Home vs Cincy - Bengals last in rushing defense - enough said - Jacobs all day

1 Unit each - $100

Good luck all! Enjoy the games!

 

[mrrigel]

Week 11:

Dallas -7.5
Eagles ML +184 (betting with my heart. i know it's wrong, I'm doing it anyway go birds)
Buffalo -7
Oak/Cin over 48
NYJ/Wash over 37.5

 

[CRStals]

6 games below 500 - that changes this week! Let's go!

Carolina -4 v Atlanta
Detroit +7.5 v Dallas
Indianapolis -2.5 v Jacksonville
Miami +7 v Buffalo
Minnesota -10 v Denver
Washington -1.5 v NY Jets

GL everyone!

 

[an9312]

damn, this was stuck...here goes anyways.
NYJ +2.5
KC -3.5
Philly +3.5

 

[Risto234]

This weekend matches ...

Browns vs Steelers; over 40.5 @1.91
Dolphins vs Bills; over 40.5 @1.91
Vikings vs Broncos; over 40.0 @1.91
Redskins vs Jets; over 39.0 @1.91
Rams vs Bears; over 40.5 @1.95

3 wins cancelled out 2 losses

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 11 Sunday

Sunday (1-3) -2.30 Units/ -$230 Overall (35-40) -9.0 Units/-$900

Recap - Saints/Bucs make it by 1/2 point (1-0) Panthers and Texans offense anemic (0-2) and Raiders and Bengals play in the middle of the field and Cincy covers the 13 (0-1)

Week 11 Monday -

LA Chargers (+5) @ Home vs Kansas City (-5) - Everybody talks about Chiefs offense but Chargers have a pretty good defense - like the dog here

1 Unit each - $100

 

[TDTODDY]

Chargers, playing a home game, takes the 5 points and brings home the win in a low scoring affair. 24-21. 10 units.

 

[ChickenArise]

What is the (N) indicating in Kansas City Chiefs (N) Point Spread?

I was looking at the top volume bets placed as per scoresandodds.com (I think it measures number of bets not total amounts bet but if anyone knows this to be incorrect please chime in)
and I saw something I have never seen before. It shows the top bets but it appears to show the same bet twice.

Once as I would expect but then the same bet again but with an (N) indicator.

Does anyone know what this is denoting? I attached a snapshot.

 

[Synopsis]

Anytime is in sports betting, it means neutral field. I don't see why that would be the case from the screen shot you shared though. Perhaps it was just an error since it did it in order, for every line. You said you've never seen it before, so I assume you frequent the site. Makes it seem more likely than not to just be an error. Can't really think of anything else it could be.

 

[ribbybruno]

Week 11 and overall

ribby (1-5)(35-41)
Risto (3-2)(14-15-1)
ChickenArise (0-2-1)(15-20-3)
imhighhommie (0-1)(14-14-1)
synopsis (0-0) (91-42)
TDTODDY (0-1)(16-15)
CRStals (1-5)(27-37-1)
Pokerski (0-0) (28-22)
wewillrockyou (0-0) (9-3)
mrrigel (3-2) (10-9-1)
Aremaz95 (0-0)(21-14)
odn(1-0)(2-0)
an9312 (0-0)(1-0)
LeeCallaghan (0-0) (1-0)
terryk (0-0) (2-0)
rmcmullen2003 (0-0) (1-1)
Jam V92 (0-0) (2-5)

an9312 (2-1)(2-1)

 

[Risto234]

Sunday games ...

Bills vs Broncos; over 37.0 @1.91
Redskins vs Lions; over 41.5 @1.91
Bears vs Giants; over 40.5 @1.91
Bengals vs Steelers; over 39.0 @1.91
Titans vs Jaguars; over 41.5 @1.91

 

[ribbybruno]

Sorry Pokerski to have overlooked your games - added

Week 11 and overall

ribby (1-5)(35-41)
Risto (3-2)(14-15-1)
ChickenArise (0-2-1)(15-20-3)
imhighhommie (0-1)(14-14-1)
synopsis (0-0) (91-42)
TDTODDY (0-1)(16-15)
CRStals (1-5)(27-37-1)
Pokerski (8-6) (36-28) I believe this is correct now. Thanks for heads up!
wewillrockyou (0-0) (9-3)
mrrigel (3-2) (10-9-1)
Aremaz95 (0-0)(21-14)
odn(1-0)(2-0)
an9312 (0-0)(1-0)
LeeCallaghan (0-0) (1-0)
terryk (0-0) (2-0)
rmcmullen2003 (0-0) (1-1)
Jam V92 (0-0) (2-5)
an9312 (2-1)(2-1)

 

[ribbybruno]

NFL Betting Thread Results Week 11 Monday

Monday (0-1) -1.10 Units/ -$110 Overall (35-41) -10.10 Units/-$1,010

Recap - Chargers played pretty tough but 4 interceptions did them in (0-1)

Week 12 Thursday-

Houston (-3.5) @ Home vs Indy - Colts have beat Texans at home this year. After getting whipped by Ravens. I like the favorite here.

1 Unit each - $100
__________________

 

[CRStals]

Wow do I ever need to get into high gear. Going out on a limb this week...let's pick em all!

Houston -3.5 v Indy
Tampa Bay +4 v Atlanta
Buffalo -4 v Denver
Chicago -6 v NY Giants
Pittsburgh -6.5 v Cincinnati
Cleveland -10.5 v Miami
New Orleans -6.5 v Carolina
Oakland -2.5 v NY Jets
Washington +3.5 v Detroit
Seattle +1 v Philadelphia
Tennessee -3.5 v Jacksonville
New England -6.5 v Dallas
San Francisco -3 v Green Bay
Baltimore -3 v LA Rams

1 unit each
Good luck everyone

 

[PokerSki]

I think the following NFL Teams will win


Seahawks
Jaguars
Saints
Buffalo
Pittsburgh
Patriots
Ravens
Falcons
Cleveland
Bears
Oakland
Washington
Packers

 

[ChickenArise]

How will they fix Monday Night?

Baltimore Ravens vs LA Rams is the most bet game by the public during off peak betting hours. Right now thats about 81% of the bets are coming in Ravens -3

The line is not moving. This is a sign of a trap line. Now I realize the game is a few days away and as we get closer to game time the line may nudge a bit higher but there is obviously some 'sharp' money going on the LA Rams.

Rams get Cook back but will this be enough?

I realize Baltimore doesnt have a stellar Pass Rush but help me to see how the LA Rams have a shot at winning or covering.

If Baltimore covers I will forever stop suggesting that the NFL fixes games but as of now this game is looking like the fix is in.

Just to make it even more likely that the Rams will win, I am adding Baltimore -3 as an official play and my lock of the year.

Be warned.

 

[Synopsis]

I'd say the line is what it should be, and volume of bets on a side doesn't dictate movement.

Let's break it down to the most simple it can be. Rams are a more talented team, but aren't playing up to that talent on average. Ravens are less talented, but are playing up to that talent, even beyond it. It's that simple, no need of sites compiling mostly useless information on it.

Why shouldn't the line be 6/6.5 given the above information? Ravens main advantage in most games is what? Jackson's ability to make plays with his feet. The Rams are fast on the outside, and then donald is sitting in the middle. The perfect combo against a qb like jackson. The Rams also play a lot of cover 2 hard flats and man press cover 2. That leaves little room for delayed runs, such as Jackson taking off when he sees a lane with tight coverage. The line is basically saying Jackson will have to rely more on actual passing here against what, on paper, is a super talented secondary.

I think fowler will be the key here if the rams blitz a lot, which I think they should. I could see him getting some strip coverage sacks. Ingram should be less effective given his running style, which again, will make Jackson have to pass more then his usual mid 20s.

That's really it from a betting standpoint. The books totally expect the Ravens to get the mass of the bets from casual bettors, which will be a small percentage of the total money. The professionals who actually cap games will be more split between the 2, and that's the ones who actually lay down substantial money. I think the advantages the rams have are incorporated into the line so it breaks down to do you want to ride the hot team, or the more talented team at home. The rams have MASSIVELY underperformed this year, yet are still 6-4. It is something to consider.

It's that simple, you seem to think the rams will not perform up, or at least to a good percentage of their talent, and that the Ravens will continue to play at least as well as the last few games. If you think that, I would suggest betting it now, because I'd be surprised if the line doesn't go above 3 soon. It may come back down after the Sunday games, but why pass on 3 when it's already there.

And the movement has been a lot at this point for a Monday game, it opened at 1 didn't it? Already 2 points of movement , and was, midweek for a Monday game? That's a large move considering. Lines don't move off of key numbers as easily, but that line will go up still in my opinion. May hit 4 before it settles.

Also, notice that the 3 people who have posted their picks for this week all are on baltimore, but I'm assuming those are small bets. If ribby bets on the rams, it would be 3-1 but more money on the 1 than the 3 combined. Volume is meaningless unless you're a fade the public guy, which to me has always been a ridiculous and let to bet games off of. I'm thinking he will be on the Ravens also if the line stays 3.

Baltimore Ravens vs LA Rams is the most bet game by the public during off peak betting hours. Right now thats about 81% of the bets are coming in Ravens -3

The line is not moving. This is a sign of a trap line. Now I realize the game is a few days away and as we get closer to game time the line may nudge a bit higher but there is obviously some 'sharp' money going on the LA Rams.

Rams get Cook back but will this be enough?

I realize Baltimore doesnt have a stellar Pass Rush but help me to see how the LA Rams have a shot at winning or covering.

If Baltimore covers I will forever stop suggesting that the NFL fixes games but as of now this game is looking like the fix is in.

Just to make it even more likely that the Rams will win, I am adding Baltimore -3 as an official play and my lock of the year.

Be warned.

 

[Synopsis]

Also, if the NFL wanted to fix this game, it would 100000% fix it for the Ravens. The Chiefs have been exposed all year as a style over substance team, who everyone loves. The Ravens are kind of the Chiefs of last year, and at the moment Jackson is the darling of the nfl, like Mahomes was(and still is to an extent) the last year and a half. There is no incentive for the nfl to care if the rams win or not.

 

[ChickenArise]

Adding some more sQuArE sides for this weeks Action.

DET -3.5
u 38 PIT/CIN
u 46 CAR/NO
DEN+3.5

Not taking Tampa this week so they will win outright.

If the Redskins win take me out back and shoot me in the head.

 

[Synopsis]

Maybe wait for the Detroit line. It's going toward 3. Would make for a cheaper key point hook also if you wanted to go that route.

 

[PelyaMX]

Victories of:
Oakland (1,55)
Detroit (1,52)
Buffalo (1,48)
Sf49 (1,58)

Overall = 5,5 !!

 

[ChickenArise]

ScoresandOdds.com Week 12 NFL Lines

ScoresandOdds.com Week 12 NFL Lines
lock them in!

 

[imhighhommie]

Miami +11

This is the only line I like this week. Most of my action going to DFS this week. Good luck this week boys!

 

[ribbybruno]

FL Betting Thread Results Week 11 Monday

Thursday (0-1) -1.10 Units/ -$110 Overall (35-42) -11.20 Units/-$1,120

Recap - Houston has a few deep balls and win but do not cover by 1/2 point (0-1)

Week 12 Sunday-

NY Jets (+3.5) @ Home vs Oakland - like the dog here after they have won 2 straight

Seattle/Philly Over 45.5 - lots of injuries - expect a shootout

Washington (+4) @ Home vs Detroit - like the dog here with backup in for Lions

Jacksonville (+3.5) @ Tennessee - this game will be a dog fight with a FG to win in the end

SF 49ers (-3) @ Home vs GB - See what defense shows up?

1 Unit each - $100