From Action Network's Brandon Anderson:
I’ll be watching injury updates very closely for two position groups over the next two weeks. The right (or wrong) update could swing the Super Bowl.
For Tampa Bay, I’m watching the secondary closely, particularly its safeties. They were a big question mark coming into the season but really settled in, thanks in large part to the addition of stud rookie, Antoine Winfield Jr. He was a late scratch for the NFC Championship and I was quite worried against Aaron Rodgers. But Rodgers does not have the fastest man in football, Tyreek Hill.
Now the Bucs could be missing Jordan Whitehead, too, after he left Sunday’s game injured. You need your safeties to tackle tight end Travis Kelce over the middle against the Chiefs. You need them to cover Hill and Mecole Hardman deep when Patrick Mahomes decides to take the top off.
Andy Reid and Eric Bieniemy will hunt Tampa safeties mercilessly if there’s a hole there.
Bucs Won’t Have Much (If Any) Home-Field Advantage In Super BowlRead now
On the other side of things, I’ll be watching the updates on Kansas City’s offensive line. It’s not particularly sexy, I know. But as good as Mahomes looked, we know he’s still dealing with that turf toe which limits his mobility some, and we all saw what Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett did to that poor Packers line.
The Chiefs line has not played as well as it did last year, and the team was down a starter heading into the season and then another midseason. Now Kansas City saw injuries to two more linemen in the AFC Championship, including former No. 1 pick Eric Fisher, out with an Achilles with a ton of teammates consoling him.
The Chiefs offense always looks unstoppable but we know everything changes if the quarterback doesn’t have time to throw. Just ask Aaron.
If Tampa is missing safeties, that favors Kansas City and the over. If the Chiefs are missing offensive linemen, that favors the Bucs and the under. In a game with few edges, that could be enough to swing things.
I’ll be watching injury updates very closely for two position groups over the next two weeks. The right (or wrong) update could swing the Super Bowl.
For Tampa Bay, I’m watching the secondary closely, particularly its safeties. They were a big question mark coming into the season but really settled in, thanks in large part to the addition of stud rookie, Antoine Winfield Jr. He was a late scratch for the NFC Championship and I was quite worried against Aaron Rodgers. But Rodgers does not have the fastest man in football, Tyreek Hill.
Now the Bucs could be missing Jordan Whitehead, too, after he left Sunday’s game injured. You need your safeties to tackle tight end Travis Kelce over the middle against the Chiefs. You need them to cover Hill and Mecole Hardman deep when Patrick Mahomes decides to take the top off.
Andy Reid and Eric Bieniemy will hunt Tampa safeties mercilessly if there’s a hole there.
Bucs Won’t Have Much (If Any) Home-Field Advantage In Super BowlRead now
On the other side of things, I’ll be watching the updates on Kansas City’s offensive line. It’s not particularly sexy, I know. But as good as Mahomes looked, we know he’s still dealing with that turf toe which limits his mobility some, and we all saw what Jason Pierre-Paul and Shaq Barrett did to that poor Packers line.
The Chiefs line has not played as well as it did last year, and the team was down a starter heading into the season and then another midseason. Now Kansas City saw injuries to two more linemen in the AFC Championship, including former No. 1 pick Eric Fisher, out with an Achilles with a ton of teammates consoling him.
The Chiefs offense always looks unstoppable but we know everything changes if the quarterback doesn’t have time to throw. Just ask Aaron.
If Tampa is missing safeties, that favors Kansas City and the over. If the Chiefs are missing offensive linemen, that favors the Bucs and the under. In a game with few edges, that could be enough to swing things.
NFL Picks Week Championship Round Results -
ribbybruno (2-2)(77-61-4)
Risto234 (0-0)(30-28)
PokerSki (0-0)(145-107-1)
ChickenArise (4-0)(36-23-1)
we will rock you (0-0)(37-14)
jordanbillie (0-2)(22-16)
terryk (0-0)(5-3)
HerbPuffer (0-0)(0-3)
Boodah420 (0-0) (6-4)
CRStals (4-2) (180-155-10)
ADRI7HO (4-0) (34-12)
laifstaile (0-0) (1-0)
riff raff312 (0-2) (82-39)
bigplayer(0-0)(0-1)
tommyboobaa (0-0) (1-0)
CheeseWiz (0-0) (5-3)
goforthenick (0-0) (0-1)
Yanko57 (0-0) (7-2)
mountainfox (0-0) (1-0)
IceWolf (0-0) (0-1)
Izzy Moreno (0-0) (8-2)
williemays56 (0-0) (2-2)
ribbybruno (2-2)(77-61-4)
Risto234 (0-0)(30-28)
PokerSki (0-0)(145-107-1)
ChickenArise (4-0)(36-23-1)
we will rock you (0-0)(37-14)
jordanbillie (0-2)(22-16)
terryk (0-0)(5-3)
HerbPuffer (0-0)(0-3)
Boodah420 (0-0) (6-4)
CRStals (4-2) (180-155-10)
ADRI7HO (4-0) (34-12)
laifstaile (0-0) (1-0)
riff raff312 (0-2) (82-39)
bigplayer(0-0)(0-1)
tommyboobaa (0-0) (1-0)
CheeseWiz (0-0) (5-3)
goforthenick (0-0) (0-1)
Yanko57 (0-0) (7-2)
mountainfox (0-0) (1-0)
IceWolf (0-0) (0-1)
Izzy Moreno (0-0) (8-2)
williemays56 (0-0) (2-2)
Dont really have a clear view or opinion on who will win the superbowl. Took a tiny bet on TB buying from +3.5 to +4 when I could get it, but not certain that I will add to or delete this position.
I will be focusing on props most likely. A preview of prop lines is here:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl-game/chiefs-buccaneers-score-odds-february-7-2021/96134
I will be focusing on props most likely. A preview of prop lines is here:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl-game/chiefs-buccaneers-score-odds-february-7-2021/96134
Last edited:
If you like Tampa to win outright the money line is paying under +150 so it seems there is a bit more value in betting the MVP comes from Tampa at +160
Sun 2/7
15711 Chiefs player wins Super Bowl MVP
-185
6:30PM
15712 Buccaneers player wins Super Bowl MVP
+160
Sun 2/7
15711 Chiefs player wins Super Bowl MVP
-185
6:30PM
15712 Buccaneers player wins Super Bowl MVP
+160
😎 I like the buccaneers, for me they have made a memorable season, with everyone's friend and hall of fame TOM BRADY deserves it, a lot of work and sacrifice, in his career, a legend worthy of admiration, they can give the big bell , it is a team, very athletic, very dynamic and with a great defense.
If you lose, don't be frustrated , understand, you gave your best effort ...😛
att: el_soma77 🙂
If you lose, don't be frustrated , understand, you gave your best effort ...😛
att: el_soma77 🙂
el_soma77 said:😎 I like the buccaneers, for me they have made a memorable season, with everyone's friend and hall of fame TOM BRADY deserves it, a lot of work and sacrifice, in his career, a legend worthy of admiration, they can give the big bell , it is a team, very athletic, very dynamic and with a great defense.
If you lose, don't be frustrated , understand, you gave your best effort ...😛
att: el_soma77 🙂
Another slightly more risky way to play Tampa Bay is to pick Tom Brady as the MVP winner. Current odds a little over 2-1 @ +217
Super Bowl Prop Bets -
1st Down on 1st play from scrimmage - NO (-240 ML)
Chiefs score in all 4 quarters - YES (+110 ML)
Chiefs have at least 1 rushing TD - NO (+145 ML)
Gronk total receiving yards (27.5) - OVER (-110 ML)
Greater time of possession - CHIEFS (-145 ML)
Total interceptions (1.5) - OVER (+110 ML)
Defense or special teams TD - YES (+200 ML)
2 point conversion - YES (+195 ML)
Tyreek Hill/Travis Kelce Anytime TD's - (+160 ML)
1 Unit each - $100 per ML
1st Down on 1st play from scrimmage - NO (-240 ML)
Chiefs score in all 4 quarters - YES (+110 ML)
Chiefs have at least 1 rushing TD - NO (+145 ML)
Gronk total receiving yards (27.5) - OVER (-110 ML)
Greater time of possession - CHIEFS (-145 ML)
Total interceptions (1.5) - OVER (+110 ML)
Defense or special teams TD - YES (+200 ML)
2 point conversion - YES (+195 ML)
Tyreek Hill/Travis Kelce Anytime TD's - (+160 ML)
1 Unit each - $100 per ML
I honestly dont like a side or the total so this year here are my best Superbowl prop picks (large wager denoted by number of '$' signs):
Darrel Williams rushing yards/. Over 27½ -110*
P.Mahomes pass attempts/. Over 41½ -110* $$
S.Watkins receiving yards/. Under 39½ -110*
Vita Vea solo+assisted tackles/. Over 1½ -135* $$
T.Johnson 1st rec over 4½ -125* $$$
T.Kelce receiving yards/. Over 98½ -110*
TB rushing yards -14½ +125* vs KC rushing yards $$$
R.Jones II longest rush un 12½ / no rush*
Tyreek Hill Over 7.5 @ +105 Player Receptions
Travis Kelce Over 8.5 @ +100 Player Recep
Second Half @ -105 Highest Scoring Half $$
T. Kelce + 1475 MVP
I am also playing a large middle in which ill get paid or forgo a small amount.
L.Fournette rushing yards/. Over 47½ -110*
AND
Leonard Fournette Under 80.5 @ -133 Player Scrimmage Yards (available at BetStars)
Darrel Williams rushing yards/. Over 27½ -110*
P.Mahomes pass attempts/. Over 41½ -110* $$
S.Watkins receiving yards/. Under 39½ -110*
Vita Vea solo+assisted tackles/. Over 1½ -135* $$
T.Johnson 1st rec over 4½ -125* $$$
T.Kelce receiving yards/. Over 98½ -110*
TB rushing yards -14½ +125* vs KC rushing yards $$$
R.Jones II longest rush un 12½ / no rush*
Tyreek Hill Over 7.5 @ +105 Player Receptions
Travis Kelce Over 8.5 @ +100 Player Recep
Second Half @ -105 Highest Scoring Half $$
T. Kelce + 1475 MVP
I am also playing a large middle in which ill get paid or forgo a small amount.
L.Fournette rushing yards/. Over 47½ -110*
AND
Leonard Fournette Under 80.5 @ -133 Player Scrimmage Yards (available at BetStars)
Last edited:
NFL Picks Week Super Bowl And Final Round Results -
The percentage next to your name is your winning percentage for your picks. ADRI7HO wins for playing throughout the season at 74% - Well done! I will PM you and discuss a prize with you.
ribbybruno (4-5)(81-66-4) 54%
Risto234 (3-2)(33-30) 52%
PokerSki (0-0)(145-107-1) 57 %
ChickenArise (0-0)(36-23-1) 60%
we will rock you (0-1)(37-15) 71%
jordanbillie (0-0)(22-16) 58%
terryk (0-0)(5-3) 63%
HerbPuffer (0-0)(0-3) --
Boodah420 (0-0) (6-4) 60%
CRStals (0-0) (180-155-10) 52%
ADRI7HO (1-0) (35-12) 74%
laifstaile (0-0) (1-0) --
riff raff312 (0-0) (82-39) 64%
bigplayer(0-0)(0-1) --
tommyboobaa (0-0) (1-0) --
CheeseWiz (0-0) (5-3) 63%
goforthenick (0-0) (0-1) --
Yanko57 (0-0) (7-2) 77%
mountainfox (0-0) (1-0) --
IceWolf (0-0) (0-1) --
Izzy Moreno (1-0) (9-2) 82%
williemays56 (0-0) (2-2) --
The percentage next to your name is your winning percentage for your picks. ADRI7HO wins for playing throughout the season at 74% - Well done! I will PM you and discuss a prize with you.
ribbybruno (4-5)(81-66-4) 54%
Risto234 (3-2)(33-30) 52%
PokerSki (0-0)(145-107-1) 57 %
ChickenArise (0-0)(36-23-1) 60%
we will rock you (0-1)(37-15) 71%
jordanbillie (0-0)(22-16) 58%
terryk (0-0)(5-3) 63%
HerbPuffer (0-0)(0-3) --
Boodah420 (0-0) (6-4) 60%
CRStals (0-0) (180-155-10) 52%
ADRI7HO (1-0) (35-12) 74%
laifstaile (0-0) (1-0) --
riff raff312 (0-0) (82-39) 64%
bigplayer(0-0)(0-1) --
tommyboobaa (0-0) (1-0) --
CheeseWiz (0-0) (5-3) 63%
goforthenick (0-0) (0-1) --
Yanko57 (0-0) (7-2) 77%
mountainfox (0-0) (1-0) --
IceWolf (0-0) (0-1) --
Izzy Moreno (1-0) (9-2) 82%
williemays56 (0-0) (2-2) --