jordanbillie said:
This game feels so trappy to me, but to be honest a lot of games I still feel very hesitant on this early in the season. It's been wild so far. My book has MIA at -2.5 , and usually home gets 3 points. I actually like the U42.5 a lot in this game.
I'm liking Carolina +4.5, and Denver +1 a lot. And I think I'm going to take the Packers/Steelers O45.5. Big Ben is basically a corpse but the packers have no pass rush.
Good luck to you this weekend, I'm still not sure how many bets I'm going to place. So far all I've done is toss a little money on NE +7 and GB -7, very small just to enjoy the games.
Well a decent week last week at 11-9 putting me at 33-27 for the year. Week 4 let's go - based on ESPN lines as of 10:20am EDT here are my 20 picks this week:
Atlanta +1.5 v Washington
Washington v Atlanta UNDER 47.5
Houston +17.5 v Buffalo
Chicago -3 v Detroit
Carolina +4 v Dallas
Miami -2.5 v Indianapolis
Indianapolis v Miami OVER 42.5
Cleveland -1 v Minnesota
NY Giants +7 v New Orleans
Tennessee -6 v NY Jets
Kansas City -6.5 v Philadelphia
Arizona -4 v LA Rams
Arizona v LA Rams UNDER 54.5
Seattle -2.5 v San Francisco
Baltimore -1 v Denver
Pittsburgh +6 v Green Bay
Pittsburgh v Green Bay UNDER 44.5
Tampa Bay -7 v New England
Tampa Bay v New England UNDER 49.5
Las Vegas +3 v LA Chargers
Atlanta +1.5 v Washington
Washington v Atlanta UNDER 47.5
Houston +17.5 v Buffalo
Chicago -3 v Detroit
Carolina +4 v Dallas
Miami -2.5 v Indianapolis
Indianapolis v Miami OVER 42.5
Cleveland -1 v Minnesota
NY Giants +7 v New Orleans
Tennessee -6 v NY Jets
Kansas City -6.5 v Philadelphia
Arizona -4 v LA Rams
Arizona v LA Rams UNDER 54.5
Seattle -2.5 v San Francisco
Baltimore -1 v Denver
Pittsburgh +6 v Green Bay
Pittsburgh v Green Bay UNDER 44.5
Tampa Bay -7 v New England
Tampa Bay v New England UNDER 49.5
Las Vegas +3 v LA Chargers
Week 3 (5-1) Overall (11-10) E
Week 4 -
New Orleans -7 @ Home Vs NY Giants - Giants are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
Houston @ Buffalo UNDER 47 - Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Buffalo -17.5 @ Home vs Houston - Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Dallas -4 @ Home vs Carolina - Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Cleveland -1 @ Minnesota - Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tennessee -6 @ NY Jets - Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Tennessee/NY Jets UNDER 44 - Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Los Angeles Rams -4 @ Home vs Arizona - Cardinals are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle +2.5 @ San Francisco - Wilson, seeking his 100th victory, has never lost three consecutive games in his pro career.
Baltimore +1 @ Denver - Ravens are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Green Bay/Pittsburgh OVER 45 - Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Tampa Bay -6.5 @ New England - Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
LV Raiders +3 @ LA Chargers - Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.
Good luck all! 🙂
Week 4 -
New Orleans -7 @ Home Vs NY Giants - Giants are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New Orleans.
Houston @ Buffalo UNDER 47 - Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Buffalo -17.5 @ Home vs Houston - Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Dallas -4 @ Home vs Carolina - Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Cleveland -1 @ Minnesota - Browns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Tennessee -6 @ NY Jets - Favorite is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Tennessee/NY Jets UNDER 44 - Under is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Los Angeles Rams -4 @ Home vs Arizona - Cardinals are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle +2.5 @ San Francisco - Wilson, seeking his 100th victory, has never lost three consecutive games in his pro career.
Baltimore +1 @ Denver - Ravens are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Green Bay/Pittsburgh OVER 45 - Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
Tampa Bay -6.5 @ New England - Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
LV Raiders +3 @ LA Chargers - Raiders are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings in Los Angeles.
Good luck all! 🙂
Week 4 Results NFL -
ADRI7HO (3-6)(15-12)
we will rock you (3-2)(11-7)
magister1 (0-0)(2-2)
jordanbillie (0-1)(11-5)
roger perkins (0-0)(0-1)
CRStals (10-10)(43-37)
risto234 (2-1)(4-10)
ribby (6-7)(17-17)
P86 (0-0)(1-0)
ChickenArise (0-0)(1-1)
Pokerski (11-5)(27-18)
ADRI7HO (3-6)(15-12)
we will rock you (3-2)(11-7)
magister1 (0-0)(2-2)
jordanbillie (0-1)(11-5)
roger perkins (0-0)(0-1)
CRStals (10-10)(43-37)
risto234 (2-1)(4-10)
ribby (6-7)(17-17)
P86 (0-0)(1-0)
ChickenArise (0-0)(1-1)
Pokerski (11-5)(27-18)
For Week 5
I think the following NFL teams will win
Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals
Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis Colts
I think the following NFL teams will win
Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Carolina Panthers
New Orleans Saints
Jacksonville Jaguars
Detroit Lions
Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
New England Patriots
Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns
Dallas Cowboys
Arizona Cardinals
Buffalo Bills
Indianapolis Colts
Week 5 tips:
Pittsburgh v Denver (Denver (Match Winner) 1.93)
Washington v New Orleans (Match Winner 1.72)
Cincinnati v Green Bay (Green Bay (Match Winner) 1.58)
Jacksonville v Tennessee (Jacksonville (Match Winner) 2.61)
LA Chargers - Cleveland (Over 44.5 (Score: 44.5) 1.75)
Dallas v NY Giants (Dallas (Match Winner) 1.31)
Arizona v San Francisco (Arizona (Match Winner) 1.40)
Pittsburgh v Denver (Denver (Match Winner) 1.93)
Washington v New Orleans (Match Winner 1.72)
Cincinnati v Green Bay (Green Bay (Match Winner) 1.58)
Jacksonville v Tennessee (Jacksonville (Match Winner) 2.61)
LA Chargers - Cleveland (Over 44.5 (Score: 44.5) 1.75)
Dallas v NY Giants (Dallas (Match Winner) 1.31)
Arizona v San Francisco (Arizona (Match Winner) 1.40)
Week 4 (6-7) Overall (17-17) -$170
Week 5 -
Tampa Bay/Miami OVER 47.5 - Over is 10-2 in Buccaneers last 12 games as a home favorite.
New Orleans -2.5 @ Washington - Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Carolina -3 @ Home vs Philly - Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Tennessee -4.5 @ Jacksonville - Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Houston +8 @ Home vs New England - Home team is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Las Vegas -5.5 @ Home vs Chicago - Bears are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Arizona -5.5 @ Home vs San Francisco - 49ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Buffalo +3 @ Kansas City - Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Kansas City/Buffalo OVER 56.5 - Over is 5-0 in Bills last 5 games as an underdog.
(Monday) Indy +7 @ Baltimore - Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Good luck all! 🙂
Week 5 -
Tampa Bay/Miami OVER 47.5 - Over is 10-2 in Buccaneers last 12 games as a home favorite.
New Orleans -2.5 @ Washington - Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Carolina -3 @ Home vs Philly - Panthers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Tennessee -4.5 @ Jacksonville - Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Houston +8 @ Home vs New England - Home team is 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings.
Las Vegas -5.5 @ Home vs Chicago - Bears are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Arizona -5.5 @ Home vs San Francisco - 49ers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Buffalo +3 @ Kansas City - Bills are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.
Kansas City/Buffalo OVER 56.5 - Over is 5-0 in Bills last 5 games as an underdog.
(Monday) Indy +7 @ Baltimore - Colts are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Good luck all! 🙂
Well a .500 week leaving me at 43-37 for the year. Here are my 20 picks for this week based on ESPN lines at 11:00am:
Green Bay -3 v Cincinnati
Green Bay v Cincinnati UNDER 50.5
Detroit +10 v Minnesota
Pittsburgh +1.5 v Denver
Denver v Pittsburgh OVER 39.5
Tampa Bay -10.5 v Miami
Miami v Tampa Bay UNDER 48.0
New Orleans -2.5 v Washington
New Orleans v Washington OVER 43.5
Philadelphia +3 v Carolina
Tennessee -4.5 v Jacksonville
New England -8.0 v Houston
Las Vegas -5.5 v Chicago
Chicago v Las Vegas OVER 45.5
LA Chargers -2.5 v Cleveland
Cleveland v LA Chargers OVER 47.0
Dallas -7.0 v NY Giants
Arizona -5.0 v San Francisco
Buffalo +3.0 v Kansas City
Baltimore -7 v Indianapolis
Green Bay -3 v Cincinnati
Green Bay v Cincinnati UNDER 50.5
Detroit +10 v Minnesota
Pittsburgh +1.5 v Denver
Denver v Pittsburgh OVER 39.5
Tampa Bay -10.5 v Miami
Miami v Tampa Bay UNDER 48.0
New Orleans -2.5 v Washington
New Orleans v Washington OVER 43.5
Philadelphia +3 v Carolina
Tennessee -4.5 v Jacksonville
New England -8.0 v Houston
Las Vegas -5.5 v Chicago
Chicago v Las Vegas OVER 45.5
LA Chargers -2.5 v Cleveland
Cleveland v LA Chargers OVER 47.0
Dallas -7.0 v NY Giants
Arizona -5.0 v San Francisco
Buffalo +3.0 v Kansas City
Baltimore -7 v Indianapolis
Week 5 Results NFL -
ADRI7HO (5-2)(20-14)
we will rock you (1-0)(12-7)
magister1 (0-0)(2-2)
jordanbillie (0-0)(11-5)
roger perkins (0-0)(0-1)
CRStals (14-5-1)(57-42-1)
risto234 (3-1)(7-11)
ribby (7-3)(24-20)
P86 (0-0)(1-0)
ChickenArise (0-0)(1-1)
Pokerski (10-6)(37-24)
ADRI7HO (5-2)(20-14)
we will rock you (1-0)(12-7)
magister1 (0-0)(2-2)
jordanbillie (0-0)(11-5)
roger perkins (0-0)(0-1)
CRStals (14-5-1)(57-42-1)
risto234 (3-1)(7-11)
ribby (7-3)(24-20)
P86 (0-0)(1-0)
ChickenArise (0-0)(1-1)
Pokerski (10-6)(37-24)