NFL Betting Thread

  • Thread starter Thread starter millertime
  • Start date Start date
HooDooKoo said:
traditionally, betting 7 pt+ favorites in the NFL is not the way to beat the books.
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I'm with you there. If the line dropped to 7, I'd gobble it up. But I think it's a stay-away above 7.

Being able to blow out your opponents is an indicator of a strong team, which is why Denver is the #1 team in the NFL. They have the #1 point differential, the #2 yards per play differential. KC has barely beaten teams like Cleveland, Buffalo, and they've mostly won by getting lucky turnovers and winning close games.
 
I was just thinking that the ship it all on the Lions strategy would've backfired this week - I know I lost a unit on them 😛
 
OzExorcist said:
I was just thinking that the ship it all on the Lions strategy would've backfired this week - I know I lost a unit on them 😛
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Same here lol
 
A9ofHearts said:
Same here lol
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well long about the second week of the season i suggested you all take the panthers and the spread, looks like this girl might know her football😛
 
Taking NO SU @ $1.24 for Thursday night, line has blown all the way out to -10 and while I definitely like NO for the win, I dunno if I can like them that much on the road...
 
smidjet said:
well long about the second week of the season i suggested you all take the panthers and the spread, looks like this girl might know her football😛
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lol. Maybe. I did take them ATS on Monday for $75 which was my biggest bet of the season. I was more sure about that bet than any other bet I've placed all season long though.
Are you planning on taking them ATS this week also? I'm waiting to see what Massey-Peabody have to say this week, but I'm probably going to put another bet on them this week also.
 
I'm liking the Panthers this week - Bovada only has them as a 4.5 fav right now. They were impressive Monday night, and Miami isn't too impressive as of late. A line that may get overlooked is the total of OAK/TEN. I'm thinking two bad teams with ok running games, points are going to be scored. I think I'll be teasing the over on that one.
 
I have Saints -9. Falcons are a mess but maybe they can make it close. Hopefully not.
 
Had a small win with New Orleans SU earlier in the round, my picks for the rest of the week:

Detroit WIN ($1.27, 2.5 units)
Jacksonville +10 ($1.19, 0.5 units)
Jacksonville-Houston UNDER 43.5 ($1.91, 0.5 units)
Kansas City WIN ($1.52, 1.5 units)
Carolina WIN ($1.49, 1 unit)
 
OzExorcist said:
Had a small win with New Orleans SU earlier in the round, my picks for the rest of the week:

Detroit WIN ($1.27, 2.5 units)
Jacksonville +10 ($1.19, 0.5 units)
Jacksonville-Houston UNDER 43.5 ($1.91, 0.5 units)
Kansas City WIN ($1.52, 1.5 units)
Carolina WIN ($1.49, 1 unit)
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...and that's two weeks in a row Detroit have failed me. Glad I'm not auto-shoving my whole roll on them every week!

Down on the week now, though the Jacksonville bets look a little bit cleverer now than the 0.5 unit stakes made them seem 😛
 
RNG said:
I have Saints -9. Falcons are a mess but maybe they can make it close. Hopefully not.
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I had the same bet. What an ugly game and even uglier Sunday. Damn you NFL
 
A9ofHearts said:
lol. Maybe. I did take them ATS on Monday for $75 which was my biggest bet of the season. I was more sure about that bet than any other bet I've placed all season long though.
Are you planning on taking them ATS this week also? I'm waiting to see what Massey-Peabody have to say this week, but I'm probably going to put another bet on them this week also.
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i am not getting ****y but i really believe they have a good chance to get to the championship game and even superbowl. 😱
 
smidjet said:
i am not getting ****y but i really believe they have a good chance to get to the championship game and even superbowl. 😱
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I sure hope so. I have $10 at 11/1 on them winning the super bowl lol
 
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