$Freeroll NLHE MTT: $FreerollHE : Call all-in on flop or not?

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No1eJoker

No1eJoker

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SportsBetting $200 CardsChat freeroll


Hold'em No Limit - Level II (15/30)


Seat 1: UTG (4070 in chips)
Seat 2: UTG+1 (3100 in chips)
Seat 3: UTG+2 (783 in chips)
Seat 4: MP (2460 in chips)
Seat 5: Hero (2200 in chips)
Seat 6: CO (2680 in chips)
Seat 7: BTN (2067 in chips)
Seat 8: SB (3150 in chips)
Seat 9: BB (2630 in chips)


Dealt to Hero :js: :ks:


folds, UTG+1 call 30, folds, folds, Hero raises to 60, folds, folds, SB raises to 150, folds, folds, Hero call 90


*** FLOP *** :qs: :5d: :10s:


SB calls all-in, Hero?


Do I need call in this situation if I know that's on flop He probably stronger, in this moment I thinking that in hand He is have high pair (QQ-AA) , how is my hand odds and percentage to hit straight or flush on turn/river and win (how calculate that, is that about 76%)?
 
Iso larger pre (120-150).

Snap call the flop shove. You are calling 2,050 to win 4,430, which means you need 46.3% equity to call. Against a range of KK+ (close to zero chance V 8x pot shoves QQ here), you have 50% equity and are getting the correct odds to stack off. When adding in QQ, you have 48% equity and it is still a call.
 
Strange play by player on SB. He also might have just a draw, so easy call here.
 
That's the freeroll mtt action that we love.
A limper from EP.
A 2x raise from MP.
A 2.5x 3bet from small blind.
And a 11x overpot all in?
Hell yeah it's a call there.
The worst hand that villain could have for you is AA with an A of spade, because I don't think QQ and TT will shove there.
But still royal is coming 🙃
 
One can certainly make the case for calling (as everyone has done). This doesn't mean you are obliged to call (as some have suggested). You are entering into a situation where you may be close to a 1.75 to 1 dog. If you are at least 46% to win the hand, you are getting the pot odds to call (2430 in pot, 2050 to call). You must ask yourself if you want to risk your whole stack this early, with these odds, against this player. Is this player likely to be this aggressive going forward, giving you many (potentially better) opportunities to get it all in?

Your decision depends as much if not more on the context of players and stacks in this tournament as it does on the chips in this pot.

As for odds calculation, the site has an "Odds Calculator" in the upper right (blue bar). In terms of the chances of hitting the 9 or A of spades in the next two cards, they are two out of 46, plus 2 out of 45(two outs twice), or roughly 8.8%.
 
The most important is the style of his game! You don`t mention of his image! If he plays in flop strong overbet AI for IMO, he has an incomplete hands. If he had a nuts or a top pair he play in the slowplay or bet for value. See this that preflop he only limp. For his image he don`t QQ-AA! For IMO only low pair and he see the low cards in flop and he play his fish ovebret AI! I call his AI example with my pair on flop!
 
No1eJoker said:
how is my hand odds and percentage to hit straight or flush on turn/river and win (how calculate that, is that about 76%)?
Click to expand...

Sorry, I misread this the first time.


The chances of hitting a straight or a flush on the turn or river are 15 outs twice, or about 66%. This is not the same as your chance of winning. To calculate your chances of winning, you need to know your opponent's cards and to factor in his chances of redrawing on you.
 
I see it as a coin toss , On the one hand you have odds to call, but if you miss you are out of the game ... My luck I hit a straight on the turn, flush the river and find he has Ax-suited.
 
Without going too into depth and all the information above I call here, I would love to know more about the player but you are likely to have enough equity to justify calling in this spot.
 
Kt or aq

selling his hand as something like kt or aq, (seems to me) everyone here hasn’t painted part of the picture and very eloquently. It is a coin flip though. But you do have a lot of outs and may be possible to double up.
 
nucl said:
That's the freeroll mtt action that we love.
A limper from EP.
A 2x raise from MP.
A 2.5x 3bet from small blind.
And a 11x overpot all in?
Hell yeah it's a call there.
The worst hand that villain could have for you is AA with an A of spade, because I don't think QQ and TT will shove there.
But still royal is coming 🙃
Click to expand...
Nice analisis
 
Poker Odds Calculator from CardsChat.com
Texas Holdem: 100,000 sampled boards containing :qs: :5d: :ts:
Player 1 ( :ks: :js: ): 49.44% lose 50.56% tie 0% EV 0.49
Player 2 ( :ac: :ad: ): 50.56% lose 49.44% tie 0% EV 0.51

Poker Odds Calculator from CardsChat.com
Texas Holdem: 100,000 sampled boards containing :qs: :5d: :ts:
Player 1 ( :ks: :js: ): 46.46% lose 53.54% tie 0% EV 0.46
Player 2 ( :as: :ad: ): 53.54% lose 46.46% tie 0% EV 0.54

I had chosen for calll but after odds calculator I would fold that hand, because
I think a flip in early game is not good, fold!

😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀😀
 
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