Always Losing on the River – Normal or a Leak?

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Manoukp87

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I play a lot of MTTs, so I know variance is part of the game and losing streaks can last weeks or even months. But it’s honestly frustrating seeing hands like AA get cracked on the river by two pair, straights, or flushes.
Lately, it feels like I’m always on the wrong side of the river. Anyone else dealing with this? How do you handle it mentally and strategically?
 
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You just have to keep playing the same way, because when you lose that way you tend to play with fear of losing and that's the worst thing that can happen to you. The percentages say that you are going to win many more times with two AA in your hand, do you understand?
 
Mauricio Perrotta said:
You just have to keep playing the same way, because when you lose that way you tend to play with fear of losing and that's the worst thing that can happen to you. The percentages say that you are going to win many more times with two AA in your hand, do you understand?
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It's true with better hands in hands I have better odds but. At this point I start thinking the poker room don't like me 😂, I keep on showing every day but just loosing the last time I won a 55 tourney was almost 2 years ago and reached the tournament through satellite
 
You can play perfectly and still get wrecked on the river over and over that’s variance doing its thing. Mentally, I just remind myself: if I’m getting it in good, I want those spots long-term. Short-term pain, long-term profit. If it starts tilting me, I take a break - no point playing C-game. You’re definitely not alone everyone goes through these stretches. The key is not letting it mess up your decision-making.
 
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I think the only way to get a helpful answer is to post some hands,

maybe take a look at your stats if you have a hud to see where your trouble spots are,

you should not "always" be losing, sometimes yes but not always 👍
 
It is very difficult for pocket pairs to reach the showdown without improving against several players. Against a single player, it is strategically important to pay attention to possible draws on the flop. Players chase a flush draw or a straight draw to the end. A dangerous card on the river and a happy opponent's face will give us a signal of caution.
 
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I'm always in your place:
Analyze it carefully and you'll notice that you don't always lose on the river, only that those hands hurt more. From there, you'll understand that your brain is playing tricks on you.
Many times I handled it in a negative way, with frustration. Nowadays, I simply accept that it's part of the game, even if it sometimes happens again or takes me a few minutes to understand it. It's a very long process, but I want you to understand that this is coming from someone who seems to be constantly on a roll. Try not to get frustrated and keep going. You have to accept that the bad players will continue to be at the table, winning at the expense of the good ones, just like the other way around.
 
It's really recommended to take a break, because poker has an enormous capacity, psychologically speaking, to create a kind of paranoia in your head, something like a persecution complex, etc. If I told you how many times I've had unpleasant surprises with hands like AA, KK, etc., in the last month, for example. Poker isn't 100% guaranteed, even with those hands.
 
Manoukp87 said:
I play a lot of MTTs, so I know variance is part of the game and losing streaks can last weeks or even months. But it’s honestly frustrating seeing hands like AA get cracked on the river by two pair, straights, or flushes.
Lately, it feels like I’m always on the wrong side of the river. Anyone else dealing with this? How do you handle it mentally and strategically?
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Yes its normal, happens to me all the time!
 
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Yes, that’s completely normal in MTTs — variance can be brutal.

Even AA will lose sometimes, especially in multi-way pots. It just feels worse during downswings.
Mentally, focus on making the right decisions, not short-term results.

Review key hands and make sure you’re getting your money in good.
Take breaks if needed and manage volume — confidence comes back with time.
 
If I keep losing on the river, I don’t immediately assume it’s a leak — first, I understand that it can simply be normal variance.
Poker works in a way that even if I do everything right on the flop and turn, my opponent can still get there on the river. And if this happens several times in a row, it creates the feeling that I’m constantly getting “outdrawn.” In reality, that’s a normal part of the game.
But I don’t ignore it. I always ask myself a few questions:
Am I taking too many weak hands to showdown?
Am I calling too much on the river?
Am I bluffing in the wrong spots?
If I notice that I often pay off on the river with hands that are usually behind, then it’s a leak.
I also look at the sample size. If it’s just 2–3 tournaments or even one day, I don’t draw any conclusions. But if the same pattern repeats over a long period, then I start reviewing hands and looking for mistakes.
Another important point is emotions. When I lose on the river several times in a row, I feel the urge to “win it back” and start calling wider. That’s definitely a leak, and I try to control it.
So my approach is simple: first, I accept that losing on the river is normal, and then I calmly check whether I’m making consistent mistakes.
 
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MK_ said:
I think the only way to get a helpful answer is to post some hands,

maybe take a look at your stats if you have a hud to see where your trouble spots are,

you should not "always" be losing, sometimes yes but not always 👍
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Thank you for the advice, I'll try that and study the hands. But it's true always on 888 the odds for of winning with higher equity at turn on river it's like 58% somehow my opponent with make it two of king ai flush, especially when I'm against player that plays a lot of volume.
 
You need to focus on the entire hand and not just what happened on the river. As others have said, share some hands for real feedback.
 
If you are really losing more than you should on the river, either - your sample size is too small, your opening range is too wide, you are too stationy post flop, or you are betting too small post flop(or some combo).

Another thing to consider is the amount of money won(loss) at showdown vs. your % win at showdown. For example you could be winning the big hands and losing most of the hands at showdown.

If you have a hud you could run a leakfinder, and it would give you a much better idea of which it is. Make sure its only looking at the format you are looking at not your complete hand history.
 
When you lose constantly with a strong card in your hand, it is a sign that you should stop for a while. The Black Wheel Has Turned on You
 
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Manoukp87 said:
I play a lot of MTTs, so I know variance is part of the game and losing streaks can last weeks or even months. But it’s honestly frustrating seeing hands like AA get cracked on the river by two pair, straights, or flushes.
Lately, it feels like I’m always on the wrong side of the river. Anyone else dealing with this? How do you handle it mentally and strategically?
Click to expand...
At some point the game changes, be cautious with these cards, especially in the endgame.
 
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