CuttleFish said:
I would have thought who you are taking a flip against would have mattered more?
If it is a true flip, and Im playing against Phil Ivey, then I would take the flip every single time. He would outplay me >95% of the time, so a flip shifts my win : loss ratio from 95 : 5 to 50 : 50
If I am playing with One-armed Bob from the Bunbury Golf Club then I would out play him 70% of the time. Why would I swap a 70 :30 for a 50 : 50?
Am I missing something?
Yeah you are
😉 Or maybe you are missing a deep run where AVG stack has been 15-20 blinds left and haven't ran deep enough in MTT's to understand the situation well. Obviously if they are better than you, then flipping is a good idea if you are
deep. However, when we are getting middle/late stages of a tournament, unless you have been luckily enough to pick up big hands and have donkeys pay you off then you will be flipping at
SOME point, regardless if they are the worse or best player in the world. The matter of fact is that you will be
shallow at some point (unless like I say you run good in 100% of tournaments) so your only play is shoving/folding meaning you will be flipping vs good/bad players all the same.
If you was phil ivey, would you want to be taking flips if you didn't need to? No..yet he has to himself at points.
I think you're missing the point too, obviously if you are playing bad players then in general when you're deep, you an out play them. However what happens when after a while the blinds increase, your only spots are shoving/folding/calling? You can't be picky and choosy on who you wish to pick 50/50 spots with the mindset "I can out play him here, get a 70:30 position" as this is unlikely due to the point in the tournament.
Mr.Bad. player shoves, you have 10-15 blinds left, you hold A,Q and he has a pair of nines, do you think "Ok, I'm 50/50 here, I'm folding!! I can wait fora better spot because I can out play this dude so I'm going to wait for a 70-30 spot which will never occur unless I'm very lucky!" < < If that is your thinking then you surely won't last very long as the blinds will cripple you a few hands later and the chances are you are not going to get a 70:30 spot like you say.
:banghead: :banghead: