Dara O'Kearney (Satellite Specialist) - Ask Me Anything about satellites/knockouts
Learn the equity of different hands against their all in ranges.Nandabio81 said:
Back when I started playing online, I specialised in single table tournaments (sit and go's). The biggest losing player on the site was an Australian guy who was down over $1 million. Then the site introduced super turbo headsup sit n go's and he moved to them. He was a massive winner in them to the point he won back all his previous losses. He was hyper aggro and crushing all the regs, myself included. After a while I worked out what he was doing different: the final blind level was bb300, starting stack was 1500, and if the stacks hadn't moved much that meant 5 bbs effective. At this point he was shoving any 2, and I suspected we were all folding too much. So I worked out what was the worst hand that had 40% equity against any 2 (the breakeven point). It was T2o!!!! We were folding Q4 etc so definitely overfolding. So I started calling T2o and better, and he stopped winning against me. The other regs followed suit and he quickly lost another million.
Ironically enough, I just published a new strategy article on how I believe most tournament players move all-in too much when ICM is a factor, and why this is a mistake: https://www.pokerstrategy.com/news/content/You-are-(probably)-shoving-too-much_132986/
There's no quick answer, it very much depends on how significant the smaller prizes are in relation to the bigger ones, and how many there are of each, but in general:pentazepam said:
(1) Until you get near the bubble they play more like a normal (non satellite) mtt
(2) Near every tier bubble, they play more like a normal satellite
For the new format live satellites (variously called target, milestone and landmarks) Barry and I have released a training video on the strategy here: https://simplifypoker.com/courses/target-stack-satellites-masterclass/
The main difference will be in skill level, and the degree of seriousness of your competitors. These two factors mean that at hgher buyins people will be playing closer to "correct" strategy, but at lower buyins people will happily gamble it up more.
In other news....
The rumours are true: I am now a robot
I am thrilled to bring my poker books to life on Edio, a new AI-powered learning tool!
For the first time ever, you can access all my books with chapter summaries, interactive AI quizzes, leaderboards, and even a "Doke AI" to answer your questions. For those of you who struggle to find time to study, or simply don't have the time to read the entire books, this is a simple but effective solution to get your head around the concepts I teach. It's basically an AI-powered Duolingo for poker
Doke AI will answer any of your poker related questions in terms of my own advice and learnings in the books. It is also given data on your performance on the quizzes, making it personalised to each individual.
Available now in the App store: https://apps.apple.com/ie/app/edio/id6504637708
Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=cc.edio.edio
If you don’t want to pay, you can still sign up and do one free quiz per day
In other news....
The rumours are true: I am now a robot
I am thrilled to bring my poker books to life on Edio, a new AI-powered learning tool!
For the first time ever, you can access all my books with chapter summaries, interactive AI quizzes, leaderboards, and even a "Doke AI" to answer your questions. For those of you who struggle to find time to study, or simply don't have the time to read the entire books, this is a simple but effective solution to get your head around the concepts I teach. It's basically an AI-powered Duolingo for poker
Doke AI will answer any of your poker related questions in terms of my own advice and learnings in the books. It is also given data on your performance on the quizzes, making it personalised to each individual.
Available now in the App store: https://apps.apple.com/ie/app/edio/id6504637708
Android: https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=cc.edio.edio
If you don’t want to pay, you can still sign up and do one free quiz per day
I certainly have! Two memorable ones:nasty bent gorilla said:
(1) Irish Open about ten years ago. Swedish maniac Michael Tureniac was running over the table opening every hand so I decided I was going to 3 bet him the first reasonable hand I got, Then I picked up aces. He had quite the long tank intimidating stare, during which I tried every reverse tell in the book. He eventually shoved (results: he flopped two pair, I rivered better two pair)
(2) EPT Malta, I flopped a set against infamous soul reader Davidi Kitai. I knew he was renowned for his tell reading ability so I raised when I flopped a set and threw in all the weak tells I knew. He eventually shoved and I held
Today Barry & I launch our most advanced course yet - Post Flop ICM Simplified.
The elite have known how to play endgame spots for years, it's time for you to catch up and stop getting exploited at final tables and on bubbles!
https://bit.ly/posticm
One of my favourite things as a coach is when a student makes a big final table and wants an emergency ICM course to prepare. But like everything else in life, it's best not to leave it to the last minute! This course will give you all the tools to navigate any final table whatever your stack is and maximise your chances.
It covers every aspect of postflop ICM, like
when to play tight and when and how to loosen your ranges,
how to play money bubbles and final table bubbles,
how to play short, medium and large stacks,
how to adjust for players who don't know or don't care about ICM etc.
As with all our courses, we will be adding new material and increasing the price of the course as it grows, but all existing customers will always get free upgrades. To sweeten the deal further, there's an exclusive $200 discount if you sign up before the end of the year.
https://bit.ly/posticm
This is a good exploitative strategy when playing opponents who like to call too much!georgi krastev said:
My latest article is on AI and poker: https://www.vegasslotsonline.com/news/2024/11/19/ai-and-poker-the-rise-of-the-machines/
Yes. While satellites should be played more conservatively than normal tournaments, don't overdo it!nighton said:
My latest article on the correct strategy for the 5m WPT freeroll is here:
https://www.vegasslotsonline.com/ne...in-the-clubwpt-gold-5m-invitational-freeroll/
Buy-in $0.11 10 tickets,
16 players remaining, still registering for another 2 levels so that number may go up.
I ISO a limp with 25BB bet as I don't want to play a pot as my "Chance Of Cashing" is well over 100% (140% from memory, with current number of players) but I'm ok with getting in vs short limper, then medium stack jams on me.
What would you do? What do you put villain on? (has "whale" tag btw)
Is the 25bb ISO a blunder, or OK if I can fold to a shove?
16 players remaining, still registering for another 2 levels so that number may go up.
I ISO a limp with 25BB bet as I don't want to play a pot as my "Chance Of Cashing" is well over 100% (140% from memory, with current number of players) but I'm ok with getting in vs short limper, then medium stack jams on me.
What would you do? What do you put villain on? (has "whale" tag btw)
Is the 25bb ISO a blunder, or OK if I can fold to a shove?
Good evening everyone.
I want to ask, is online poker rigged?
I have had so many hectic bad beat hands right before pre-registration ends.
Like flopping full house of AAAKK, only to have the guy beat me on the river with a straight flush.
Or flopping a straight, only to lose to a higher straight or a full house.
Should one just never trap or go all in online? Or is there a strategy to keep from going broke when hitting a massive hand online?
I want to ask, is online poker rigged?
I have had so many hectic bad beat hands right before pre-registration ends.
Like flopping full house of AAAKK, only to have the guy beat me on the river with a straight flush.
Or flopping a straight, only to lose to a higher straight or a full house.
Should one just never trap or go all in online? Or is there a strategy to keep from going broke when hitting a massive hand online?
Hi Dara,
Wow, that was a long read, I've been gone a while and read this thread from the beginning.
Thank you for sharing your wisdom.
There are a few times you mentioned not playing without a bankroll to cover the final tournament.
That seems a little confusing. If I play a freeroll for seats to a $9 sat with seats to a $109 tournament, am I supposed to have a bankroll to cover the final tournament? If so I'll never make it to that level.
On the other hand if I improve and catch a little good fortune, I could, in time, get a seat to the final tournament, then who knows.
I look forward to your thoughts.
PS: This is online I'm playing..
Wow, that was a long read, I've been gone a while and read this thread from the beginning.
Thank you for sharing your wisdom.
There are a few times you mentioned not playing without a bankroll to cover the final tournament.
That seems a little confusing. If I play a freeroll for seats to a $9 sat with seats to a $109 tournament, am I supposed to have a bankroll to cover the final tournament? If so I'll never make it to that level.
On the other hand if I improve and catch a little good fortune, I could, in time, get a seat to the final tournament, then who knows.
I look forward to your thoughts.
PS: This is online I'm playing..
