Matt Vaughan
King of Moody Rants
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- #4,226
ScottishMatt said:No what I'm saying is that we can GII pre vs the standard QQ+/AK range which I would assume almost every reg has at this limit. But I think the portion of that range that we now beat (QQ) isn't going to GII after this flop and therefore by Cbetting we only aim to GII against hands that chop with us or beat us. I need reasons that are sufficient enough to justify betting this flop. Cbetting for the sake of it and then chalking it up to a cooler when I lose isn't good enough IMO.
The fact that 1 card FD's can develop OTT gives me enough reason to assume I'm more likely to make a street of value there from QQ and possibly JJ than I am OTF. Not to mention the fact that I can make plays like this and put him in such a tough spot.
Never once did I say that cbetting for the sake of cbetting is what you should be doing... So don't keep trying to suggest that's what I said. All I'm saying is that 4betting pre is very unlikely to be the most profitable line preflop, if we can't cbet a marginally dry, K-high board for value after getting called.
I also think you're making a pretty contradictory thought process pre. You think all he's gii with pre is QQ+/AK, AND all he's flatting the 4b with pre is the same range. I know his 3b stat has a small sample, it's likely 3/17 based on the number, but assuming he's 3bet/folding such a massive range seems odd to me. If that's true, well, fine, we can 4bet AK pre, but it's effectively a bluff/semibluff if we're "not happy" when we flop top pair.
In fact, if he's that 3bet/fold-happy, we should just 4bet a massive amount of air vs. him, and flat AK IP, along with a lot of our other stuff that plays well against a massively polarized 3bet range.



