$10 NL HE 6-max: TPTK vs River SHOVE

  • Thread starter Thread starter AntsRock
  • Start date Start date
A

AntsRock

Rising Star
Bronze Level
KG
Poker Chips
37
Casino Coins
0
Game
Hold'em
Game Format
No Limit
Stakes
$.05/$.10
Table Format
6-max (6 seats)
Currency
$
NL Holdem 0,10(BB)
HJ (90,9BBs) [VPIP: 37,5% | PFR: 23,4% | AGG: 39,4% | Flop Agg: 37,5% | Turn Agg: 40% | River Agg: 42,9% | 3Bet: 7,1% | 4Bet: 0% | Cold Call: 27,6% | Hands: 65]
CO (100BBs) [VPIP: 26,3% | PFR: 21,8% | AGG: 32,6% | hands: 3369]
BTN (100BBs) [VPIP: 20,6% | PFR: 16,5% | AGG: 32,1% | Hands: 519]
SB (100BBs) [VPIP: 29,3% | PFR: 23,1% | AGG: 37% | Hands: 1122]
BB (104,4BBs) [VPIP: 22,2% | PFR: 19,4% | AGG: 36,4% | Hands: 296]
HERO (101BBs)

Dealt to Hero::kc4::ah4:

HERO Raises To 3BBs, HJ Calls 3BBs, CO Folds, BTN Folds, SB Folds, BB Folds

Hero SPR on Flop: [11,72 effective]

Flop (7,5BBs)::8d4::2h4::5c4:
HERO Checks, HJ Checks

Turn (7,5BBs)::8d4::2h4::5c4::ad4:
HERO Bets 4BBs (Rem. Stack: 94BBs), HJ Calls 4BBs (Rem. Stack: 83,9BBs)

River (15,5BBs): :8d4::2h4::5c4::ad4: :jc4:
HERO Bets 8BBs (Rem. Stack: 86BBs), HJ Raises To 83,9BBs (allin), HERO - ?

Small sample size on the villain. High cold-caller, WWSF 56. Would you consider calling against such a massive river overbet?
 
I’d lean toward a fold here. The river shove is huge, and with the limited sample I’d rather not assume the villain is bluffing enough to justify the call.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AntsRock
As in your other two hands there are two questions to answer here:

1) Do you beat any value? Obviously the answer to that is no. It would be absurd for him to make this massive overraise with AQ or worse.

2) Is he overbluffing? And the answer to that is also a loud no, because this would be a completely absurd bluffing line risking 84BB to pick up a pot of 23,5BB. If he wanted to bluff, he would have started it on the flop, when you checked to him. You need him to be bluffing 45% of the time, and maybe he is bluffing 5% of the time at best. He backed into top two with AJ or something, and calling here is a massive punt.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AntsRock
Fold, two pair or set he won't shove pair A , he got lucky fold and next hand better luck.
 
  • Like
Reactions: AntsRock
Back
Top