4-bet bluff (catcher)!
Mcclares said:
Villian Stats (VPIP/PFR/AF): 62/22/3
Hey friends, . I had bad beat and do not know what is better way to play this hand, if someone can help me, I will say to him or her, thank you! (I know that on the turn maybe I needed to fold my hand, but I am interesting of your opinion, how you could play this hand in my situations).
PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
MP: 59.6 BB
MP+1: 203.4 BB
CO: 63.6 BB
BTN: 121.8 BB
SB: 100 BB
BB: 104.4 BB
UTG: 40.6 BB
Hero (UTG+1): 159.2 BB
MP+1 HUD STATS(77):
62/22/AF:3
3BP:11/CBF:43/4B:0
F3BP:43/FCB:50/F4B:0
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Qd Ad
UTG raises to 2 BB, Hero raises to 6 BB, fold, MP+1 raises to 10 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 23 BB, MP+1 calls 13 BB
Flop : (49.4 BB, 2 players) 8h 6h Qh
Hero bets 35.6 BB, MP+1 calls 35.6 BB
Turn : (120.6 BB, 2 players) Kh
Hero bets 86.8 BB, MP+1 raises to 144.8 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 13.8 BB and is all-in
River : (321.8 BB, 2 players) 5d
Hero shows Qd Ad (One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 52%, Flop 32%, Turn 0%)
MP+1 shows Ah Qc (Flush, Ace High)
(Pre 48%, Flop 68%, Turn 100%)
MP+1 wins 308.4 BB
Hello there Mcclares, welcome to the CardsChat community and thanks a lot for sharing this awesome hand with us!
This spot really sucks, because even knowing that fishes use to overbluff, you don't have a decent sample of hands played for taking decisions into deep stack pots (you only have 77 hands played with Villain, so we have no ideia how often it does 3-bet preflop).
Villain has position and has made some 3-bet and you decide to 4-bet to 2.3x here, which is very okay both if Villain folds or calls.
We do not have many hands when we 4-bet in a situation like this, also the recreational player who use to call. The vast majority of the times, at the micros, a 4-bet/Cold Call 4-bet range will be something like this, for all types of players, except the real absurd whales:
QQ+, ATs+, A5s-A2s, AQo+
At maximum 6% range, and many TAGs and NITs would never 4-bet bluff with ATs, AJs, A5s-A2s, or even QQ. This range at the micros is more close to 2% range at maximum.
Most of times we will find just AQ and AK as 4-bet bluffs and AA and KK, even when the players are recreational, unless they are really bad players to be entering a 4-bet player with Q9, 22, or a wide range, don't expect it!
What sucks in this hand is that we are going to play postflop out of position. But it is not the end of the world.
Flop
In a flop like this where you have no blocker of hearts you can go for two actions:
A) Betting 1/3 pot and planning to check-fold a lot of turns and some check-raises flop
B) Checking because the pot is already too big and this monotone flop is not good for our range: we will have a lot of better scenarios to play AQ in a 4-bet pot, this is simply not one of them.
When you go for 1/3 pot you are simply
bluffing your TPTK, in a very polarized board where either Villain has one card of hearts which is not going to fold or the flush itself which is never folding as well.
😱 We bet in the case it doesn't have any of these and folds, which is awesome for us.
Other hands that continue paying here are QQ, but QQ is not paying a c-bet here with a large smile on its face.
Besides, you have no bluffs when you bet a flop like this: you have no 8x, no 6x, you never have 88 and 66, so you range is extremely capped for AA, KK, TPTK with Queen High, Set of Queens, a Nutted Flush or drawing to a Flush Draw+Runner Runner Straight (when you have Ah or Kh with AKo is a good spot for betting for value but AQs definitely not.
When you go for a 2/3 bet pot you are unbalancing your range too much for bluff.
In other words, you are turning a value hand (TPTK) into a bluff in a very dangerous flop for a 4-bet pot.
For the times you are right here are minimal and the ammount you already invested will not compensate a couple of few times you will be right and Villain indeed Cold Called 4-bet with KQ with no hearts in its combos: very optimistic and unrealistic way of playing poker.
Even when we have AhKh and we flop the nut flush we cannot bet 2/3 pot here because we are making Villain to fold a lot of bluffs and all the combos that don't have a hearts on it such as AA, KK, QQ, JJ and we don't want these hands to fold when we have the nut flush!
Also, considering this is a big stack pot, we believe we are burning chips away when we decide to go for such a exploitative sizing in a board where there is a great chance of us being paid only by better hands: all the combos without a hearts would fold to your large c-bet flop and only the best hands would continue.
At the micros, there are some crazy dudes with AA and KK without a combo of hearts that will never fold to your bet, but even so you are losing for those hands. QQ with a set never folds. Any Ace of Hearts or King of Hearts, or Queen of Hearts is not folding to any sizing here and sometimes the Ace of Hearts will jam you right on the flop putting you in a very hard and bitter spot.
Well needless to coment farther streets here, since this is a very huge blunder where you commited yourself in a monotone flop with TPTK, taking decisions based only upon HUD Stats. It doesn't matter that Villain is 66/22 spewy crazy-maniac in a 4-bet pot, because even maniacs have good sense and enter into 4-bet pots with the basics of strong hands.
Regards;
Carlos 'Aballinamion' Barbosa