What did you end up doing Fig?
Preflop I'm only playing here because its multiway I'm unlikely to get squeezed and I have the btn.
I ended up folding. It maybe a mistake but not in my view a big one.
My experience of 10nl is this is never a bluff, he has Qx or 5x. Bluffs would generally be smaller, there's no point bluff overshoving when 3/4 to full pot gets the job done just as well.
Players at this level also aren't thinking about pushing people off chops.
The question is which hand is it?
I think the flop bet into 4 players is telling. Its strong, he either has strong Qx 66 55 or 56 to bet the flop (or a very unlikely 2 pair like Q5s Q6s)
When the board flushes on the turn all Qx are likely checking, but the boats are still betting for value from made flushes, 66 55 and 56 should be betting the turn. The turn check means it can't really be 5x unless it was 55 but we know from the river card he can't have that hand. It is my view now that as played it was likely to be Qx and he's just shoving hoping a fish will pay off with a flush.
Played a short but fun live 1/2 session at my local casino over the weekend heres the debrief
https://www.cardschat.com/forum/pok...garoo2-poker-journey-257038/post-5148369.html
Looks like we agree then! I should have called.
Turn ($25.87): K♣ 5♣ A♦ 9♣
BB Checks, HERO Bets $10.79 (Rem. Stack: 23.05), BB Raises To $57.10 (allin), HERO Folds
I agree with betting turn to get value from naked Ac that is much more likely than a made flush. Something like Ac Qx is calling a significant turn bet.
With his low aggression factor I agree the turn is a fold, its clearly a flush at that point but I'm surprised he raised on the flop unless he has specifically AcQc or AcJc.
I might have looked to get this in on the flop but no harm in waiting to see turn before committing a lot of chips.
Yes but he is already trending towards loose passive and fishy from stats. These types just love handing the initiative to aggressive players to let them do the betting. A high clubs hand with top pair and nut flush draw has so much equity on the flop even a guy as passive as this can find a small flop raise. I"m not surprised at all by its sizing.
On the turn he probably reckons betting is too strong so he checks to try and induce and then cant resist overshoving with the nuts as he gets to do it so infrequently. This is definitely the nuts.
Why the sizing on the turn? Yeah, there should be very few 6 or 7's in his range from the SB. It's obviously really exploitable, but a turn min raise is typically super strong.
Was trying to put him in an awkward spot with his draws, I do this from time to time with strong pairs on drawy boards specially vs fish cause they don't care about odds.
He's a reg & has decent flop raise/check raise stats so on turn I ranged him on draws.
He might just be thinking I'm bluffing to rebluff with his draws. I'd have some semi bluffs here ofc. maybe some lower pairs as 2s,3s as well
Pacific, $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
SB: $30.15 (100.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $34 (113.3 bb)
UTG+1: $34.29 (114.3 bb)
UTG+2: $57.89 (193 bb)VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 6548
MP1: $30 (100 bb)
MP2: $19.52 (65.1 bb)
MP3: $30 (100 bb)
CO: $20.23 (67.4 bb)
BTN: $24.71 (82.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 7♠ 6♠
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.80, 3 folds, CO calls $0.80, BTN calls $0.80, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50
Flop: ($3.35) 5♥ 7♦ 7♥ (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $2.23, 2 folds, Hero raises to $6.69, UTG+2 calls $4.46
Turn: ($16.73) 2♥ (2 players) meh don't like this card.
Hero bets? How much?
Pacific, $0.15/$0.30 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
SB: $30.15 (100.5 bb)
Hero (BB): $34 (113.3 bb)
UTG+1: $34.29 (114.3 bb)
UTG+2: $57.89 (193 bb)VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 6, AF: 2.4, Hands: 6548
MP1: $30 (100 bb)
MP2: $19.52 (65.1 bb)
MP3: $30 (100 bb)
CO: $20.23 (67.4 bb)
BTN: $24.71 (82.4 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BB with 7♠ 6♠
UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to $0.80, 3 folds, CO calls $0.80, BTN calls $0.80, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50
Flop: ($3.35) 5♥ 7♦ 7♥ (4 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets $2.23, 2 folds, Hero raises to $6.69, UTG+2 calls $4.46
Turn: ($16.73) 2♥ (2 players) meh don't like this card.
Hero bets? How much?
Think with the raise position and the fact they bet into multiple players, I like the CR on the flop. I'd go just about half pot on the turn. It's more about potentially killing your action, so you can go slightly under half pot.
I bet $8 and he folded. As I bet I thought 'what am I going to do if I get raised?'