My February 200NL adventure (prop bet)

combuboom said:

WOW, this hand is so sick

first of all, it was the very first hand of my session today
second of all, it's against a good aggro reg who has caught me squeezing before and knows what a great spot this looks like for me
third of all... well:

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HAND #1
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Full Tilt, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP3: $200 (100 bb)
CO: $80 (40 bb)
BTN: $702.50 (351.3 bb)
SB: $67.70 (33.9 bb)
Hero (BB): $200 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $70.55 (35.3 bb)
UTG+2: $86.40 (43.2 bb)
MP1: $40 (20 bb)
MP2: $78 (39 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BB with K

K

4 folds, MP3 raises to $7, CO calls $7, BTN calls $7, SB folds, Hero raises to $39, MP3 raises to $88, 2 folds, Hero raises to $200 and is all-in, MP3 calls $112 and is all-in

Flop: ($415) K

4

7

(2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: ($415) 9

(2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($415) T

(2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results: $415 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed K

K

(three of a kind, Kings) and won $412 ($212 net)
MP3 showed A

A

(a pair of Aces) and lost (-$200 net)

great success! first 20/80 i've won this month

Click to expand...

In fairness tho, even with history it is unlikely villain will make a play at you the very first hand of a session. Very few players would sit down at a table and squeeze at the first opportunity w/2 callers and i doubt villain thinks you are making a play here at all. Still nice set up.

for the most part i agree with you, but it just depends what level you're on like most other things in poker. if i believe villain thinks that way, then obv it becomes a good spot to make a move since he shouldn't think i'm making one. on the other hand he'd beat me in some big pots the last time we played, so he could think i'm letting ego get the best of me right off the bat

but the main point i meant to make was that i'm 3betting there pretty wide for pure value since he's a pretty aggro player raising HJ and there's tons of presumably dead money. thus he'll obv be getting it in lighter than AA for pure value as well. for us to have the 1st and 2nd nuts there was kinda crazy

blegh running truly truly awful tonight. amazed the damage hasn't been worse really!

graph for today (technically yesterday + the first half hour of today but i haven't gone to sleep yet so it's all today to me)



first night i've run terrible, assumed it was going to happen eventually. as you can see, i ran good for approx 20 hands on the day, the first 20 . pretty sure i was supposed to lose at least 5 buy-ins overall though, somehow didn't. damage really wasn't too bad at all. hit 2 sets tonight, lost with both, got AK about 25 times, hit with it twice and lost both of those... probably won like 3 pots with AK in total. if i c-bet without a hand i got raised about 80% of the time no exaggeration. kind of ridiculous. guys with 4% raise flop-bet stats would check-raise me like it was standard. had at least four scenarios where i said to myself "haha, wouldn't it be amazing if they actually had [insert absolute worst case scenario only hand in their range that can beat me]" and they had it. actually laughed a lot. yayyyyyyyy pooooker

will see what we can do tomorrow, g'night all

feitr said:

Very few players would sit down at a table and squeeze at the first opportunity w/2 callers.

Click to expand...

Are you kiding me? I do that all the time...

couldn't sleep, felt good and fresh, decided to play more. great idea

this vs. a 33/12

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HAND #1
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Full Tilt, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 9 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP2: $38 (19 bb)
MP3: $44.15 (22.1 bb)
CO: $222 (111 bb)
BTN: $40 (20 bb)
SB: $75 (37.5 bb)
BB: $111.50 (55.8 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): $224.15 (112.1 bb)
UTG+2: $85.30 (42.7 bb)
MP1: $214.70 (107.4 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is UTG+1 with 9 9
Hero raises to $7, 4 folds, CO calls $7, 3 folds

Flop: ($17) 3 K 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($17) 9 (2 players)
Hero bets $12, CO raises to $24, Hero calls $12

River: ($65) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $65, Hero raises to $193.15 and is all-in, CO calls $126 and is all-in

Results: $447 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed 9 9 (a full house, Nines full of Fours) and lost (-$222 net)
CO showed K K (a full house, Kings full of Fours) and won $444 ($222 net)

followed by this with a 28/5

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HAND #2
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Full Tilt, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 8 Players
Hand History Converter by Stoxpoker

MP1: $42 (21 bb)
MP2: $209.25 (104.6 bb)
MP3: $223.30 (111.7 bb)
CO: $31 (15.5 bb)
Hero (BTN): $201 (100.5 bb)
SB: $40 (20 bb)
BB: $207 (103.5 bb)
UTG+2: $185.70 (92.9 bb)

Pre-Flop: Hero is BTN with T A
UTG+2 calls $2, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $2, 2 folds, Hero raises to $11, 2 folds, UTG+2 calls $9, MP2 folds

Flop: ($27) 5 T 9 (2 players)
UTG+2 bets $27, Hero raises to $190 and is all-in, UTG+2 calls $147.70 and is all-in

Turn: ($376.40) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($376.40) 6 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results: $376.40 pot ($3 rake)
Hero showed T A (a pair of Tens) and lost (-$185.70 net)
UTG+2 showed K J (a flush, King high) and won $373.40 ($187.70 net)

i'm sad now

oh yeah, just realized, that's exactly the 3rd set i've made tonight (out of about 75 chances) and the third i've lost. this is just so sickening i want to give up

Still rooting for you, Combu!

BelgoSuisse said:

Are you kiding me? I do that all the time...

Click to expand...

QFT, initially you get a ton of credit, so exploit that.

goodnight

how far behind pace??

switch0723 said:

how far behind pace??

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let's see. divide 28 by 10, multiply by this, add this to that, carry the 1, the number i reach is F U

kldfsjklafdj;kldajlkfdasf still can't sleep. dammit what if i suck at poker and i'm a losing player and i just ran hot for a few thousand hands. i'm gonna stab my face in the face

you guys, i'm having a mid-graph crisis

according to my calculations, FU isnt a number dumbass!!!!

drop down imo, make monies at 100nl for a few weeks, then play 40k hands of 200nl in the last week.

also wtf have you been awake for like 30 straight hours or close to

combuboom said:

let's see. divide 28 by 10, multiply by this, add this to that, carry the 1, the number i reach is F U

kldfsjklafdj;kldajlkfdasf still can't sleep. dammit what if i suck at poker and i'm a losing player and i just ran hot for a few thousand hands. i'm gonna stab my face in the face

Click to expand...

dude just stop playing. It happens to everybody - you have a shit session and can't sleep (i do not play at night anymore for this very reason - gives me time to relax if i have a big losing session) and just want to keep playing even tho almost all of the time it is just a massively -EV spot to be playing. If it makes you feel any better i started this month with a $2400 losing session - only took 5k hands to make it back. You just run horrible sometimes, nothing you can do cept stay positive and win the prop bet (so i don't feel bad for not betting against you ) if for no other reason than to spite switch

Accepting buyout for $48.27.

Irexes said:

Accepting buyout for $48.27.

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That's a real deal. I estimate your equity at $49.63.

Started playing today yet dude?

didnt think so, psych

fwiw, if you really are losing monies, just forget the bet and make monies at a different level instead imo

*cue Rocky theme music*

I am going to kick 200NL's ass. I am going to kick this bet's ass. Doesn't matter how far behind I am now (pretty far behind). I AM WOMAN HEAR ME ROAR. No wait, scratch that one.

Tonight I remembered how to play, but more importantly how to not run like garbage in every large pot. My freak-out yesterday just goes to show how new I am to this "grinding" thing. If there's a way to smack poker upside the head and make it my bitch then I'm going to do it. Comeback commencing...

This is the dilemma for a grinder, 'do I carry on playing through a d/swong'. How the SNE griders do it on a regular basis is beyond me. I have had major, sickening d/swongs but I continue to play through them coz I was conditioning myself for the SNE grind. It absolutely destroys your winrate, but it's something you have to deal with if thats your goal.

FWIW combu, 50k hands should be well within your reach, even if you have to forsake a day off or 2 through running bad, so don't risk it! (obv I'm angling here to play havoc with your psyche and win my moniez! )

smack my bitch up

congrats your only 4k behind pace, your so good!

Weekend's coming up combu. Opportunity to get ahead of the pace

gogogo

K, 50,136. Go for it!!

44,444

My guess is 51,215

GOOD LUCK!!!

MY guess is 48,395
best of luck to you & thanks for the competition NineLions