What are the odds of facing AA while holding KK?

miklcct · Nov 25, 2025

Ruinkind said:
People love to call suited aces and ruin your day, keep that in mind.

I once ruined my tournament open-shoving about 15BB with QQ and got called by Ax, then an Ace appeared on the flop. It was not far away from the bubble but I was not yet in the bubble yet, so I had to double my stack to get myself in.

Ruinkind · Nov 25, 2025

miklcct said:
I once ruined my tournament open-shoving about 15BB with QQ and got called by Ax, then an Ace appeared on the flop. It was not far away from the bubble but I was not yet in the bubble yet, so I had to double my stack to get myself in.

I don't have raw data to back it up, but I swear my kings are busted by A rag calling a 3/4 bet more then anything. 🤣

kenmingquan · Nov 25, 2025

90% of the time you win

pltelles · Nov 25, 2025

I think it's more profitable to have a client post-flop, making a mini-raine or continuation bet followed by another raise. But a straight shove is good too, especially in freerolls.

valanddon · Nov 25, 2025

You will lose more often than winning.

Phoenix Wright · Nov 26, 2025

People have already shown the precise math here, but you can also adjust the chance of this being likely based on how the action goes. They math displayed only shows the chance of KK against AA preflop. This unlikely situation will occasionally come up, but that doesn't mean you have to get a bad beat from it every time.

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What are the odds of facing AA while holding KK?

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