What are the odds of facing AA while holding KK?

miklcct · Nov 25, 2025

Ruinkind said:
People love to call suited aces and ruin your day, keep that in mind.

I once ruined my tournament open-shoving about 15BB with QQ and got called by Ax, then an Ace appeared on the flop. It was not far away from the bubble but I was not yet in the bubble yet, so I had to double my stack to get myself in.

Ruinkind · Nov 25, 2025

miklcct said:
I once ruined my tournament open-shoving about 15BB with QQ and got called by Ax, then an Ace appeared on the flop. It was not far away from the bubble but I was not yet in the bubble yet, so I had to double my stack to get myself in.

I don't have raw data to back it up, but I swear my kings are busted by A rag calling a 3/4 bet more then anything. 🤣

kenmingquan · Nov 25, 2025

90% of the time you win

pltelles · Nov 25, 2025

I think it's more profitable to have a client post-flop, making a mini-raine or continuation bet followed by another raise. But a straight shove is good too, especially in freerolls.

valanddon · Nov 25, 2025

You will lose more often than winning.

Phoenix Wright · Nov 26, 2025

People have already shown the precise math here, but you can also adjust the chance of this being likely based on how the action goes. They math displayed only shows the chance of KK against AA preflop. This unlikely situation will occasionally come up, but that doesn't mean you have to get a bad beat from it every time.

danielcarter88 · Jun 26, 2026

It definitely feels that way due to confirmation bias, but the actual math is way lower since the odds of another player holding AA when you have KK in a full-ring game sit at around five percent. Still, running into that pre-flop cooler is incredibly memorable, which is why tracking true statistical variance matters.

steve01991 · Jun 26, 2026

well here is the thing, you are only going to get called with a very strong hand, so be prepared for it.

antonis32123 · Jun 26, 2026

Generally or while playing online ?? Well online its very common to have KK , go all in , only to see [he other having AA , it's sth less likely to happen in live or real poker . I have encountered this especially at cash game tables .

ExMoroccan · Jun 27, 2026

when i have KK , its always someone has AA but never the opposite. makes me tilt everytime haha

bronwen777 · Jun 27, 2026

lol, feels like it happens to me all the time. 🤣😂

Nameless14 · Jun 28, 2026

It definitely feels that way sometimes. 😅 Every time I get all the money in with KK, I'm already preparing myself to see AA. In reality, it happens far less often than it feels, but those spots stick in your memory because they're so painful. I still wouldn't think twice about getting it in preflop with kings.