In a first 7 hands of an Tournament, what are the chances (probability) of getting all Premium Pairs AA, KK and QQ .. ?

anbu210

anbu210

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  • #1
In a first 7 hands of an Tournament, what are the chances (probability) of getting all Premium Pairs AA, KK and QQ .. ? (check the attached screenshot)
 

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belizebum

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  • #2
If it's my league day, probability reduces to zero....lol
 
Martin

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  • #3
Chances are very slim to be dealt them all as it's entirely likely if not expected the first premium pair you are dealt will be cracked by something like 83o
 
bronwen777

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  • #4
ive had AA at least a few times as my starting hand.. cant say that Ive won each time tho. 🤔 cant remember, i. usually all in with J9 so i'm defo all in for AA 🤣😅
 
guroove

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  • #5
I also had KK and AA in first maybe 10 hands or less in the wpt global platinum level tournament, picked up the blind with one and the other was a walk..
 
ExMoroccan

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  • #6
pretty slim chance actually, happened to me one time but i was the KK guy
 
koalapanda

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  • #7
Practically zero! 😂
Statistically, the odds of hitting AA, KK, and QQ all within 7 hands is somewhere around 1 in 55,000. Most of us are lucky if we see just one of those pairs in the first hour of a tournament. If you actually pulled this off, please share the hand history because that is legendary variance!
 
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fundiver199

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  • #8
Its obviously rare to get dealt AA, KK and QQ within just 7 hands, but not quite as rare, as some people seem to think. Maybe the chance is around 1:2000 or so.
 
fernandovr

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  • #9
I’ll tell you what happened to me yesterday on 888poker, a $5.50 tournament. In the 3rd hand, I already get KK, I open-raise to 2.5bb and the action ends up going all-in. The villain shows AA and holds. I rebought and kept playing. In the 2nd hand after the rebuy, I get KK again. I’m in UTG, open to 2.5bb, get 1 call, and the flop comes 9TJ. I make a 40% pot raise and the villain shoves all-in. To sum it up: in 5 hands I got KK twice and was eliminated first by AA and then by TJo.
 
Kairozz

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  • #10
Getting AA, KK, and QQ all within your first 7 hands feels less like variance and more like the poker gods trying to hook you into playing the next 6 hours of the tournament.
The real question is: after getting all three, did they actually hold up? 😅
 
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  • #11
Almost 0, but if I'm in a weaker tournament or freerolls and something like that happens, I'll go all-in if there's a lot of fish — they'll think I'm a weak player and maybe give you even more weak hands:)
 
monkeytilter

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  • #12
Depends exactly how you specify it but getting dealt AA,KK and QQ in the first 7 hands is 23,800 to 1 or around 0.004%
 
antonis32123

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  • #13
Don't actually know the exact probability, but for sure online you get a lot of those pairs during a tournament , which is obviously not so right according to normal probabilities . But rng generates action cards and hands to make players play more and play specific spots
 
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