How much luck do you think is involved in Texas Hold'em?

Heresthecooler · Aug 12, 2019

Hello to all,

How much luck do you think is involved in Texas Hold 'em?

Deedgee · Aug 12, 2019

How much luck is involved in Russian roulette? I think there's a direct correlation between the two activities, in terms of that success and failure that is.

Kertooie · Aug 13, 2019

I’m pretty sure Each player has close to 30%/100% chance to win a hand at the start of each hand out of 10 hands you will be dealt a premium hand 1/10 and will be dealt a good hand more close to 2/30 hands

Datdude1 · Aug 13, 2019

There is a a big component of luck involved in Texas hold em, as is a big component of skill and strategy. As with any game of chance luck plays a key factor in the outcome.

danix · Aug 14, 2019

Luck and chance has a strong presence in poker, and contributes a lot to the success or defeat of the player. Even though you have sharp ability this factor has a lot of impact.

frnandoh · Aug 14, 2019

I consider that luck happens when you have the minor odds to win and even like this you win in the end. Sometimes you have 45% to be lucky, sometimes 1%.

19aleks57 · Aug 14, 2019

Lady Luck 90 percent ...

goaldriversv · Aug 17, 2019

you literally can't control how the cards turn, but what you can control are the cards in your hand and your reads at the table. this is how i've become a winning microstakes player. basically there's luck and skill involved so let's just call it 50/50?

Rob Hobson · Aug 17, 2019

30% in average, for an average player, in a average game at an average table

killbello · Aug 17, 2019

I think there is a lot of luck in a short term, maybe 55%-45% of skill-luck. However this small adventage you can materialize it in money in the long run.

astros · Aug 17, 2019

if you can get tru the first hour or so, the play gets alot better

hutzpaf · Aug 17, 2019

A professional who has been playing poker for 20 years said: 40% luck and 60% skill.

57noona · Aug 17, 2019

There is some luck involved in poker. I don't know how much luck is involved in poker at a given time. You can be lucky when you get QQ and not run into AA or KK. There is so much luck that is in poker that people don't even notice.

ChickenArise · Aug 17, 2019

More often than not your edges are small in Hold Em. Even in a dominating kicker scenario there is a 1 in 4 chance you will get beat and with pair over pair a 1 in 5 chance.

It can be frustrating when you get it in good and lose because you expect to win.

In tournament you have to constantly fade multiple beats which are hardly long shots to occur. I cant imagine winning a tournament where you dont get lucky at least once.

lcid86 · Aug 17, 2019

If I'm losing, it's all bad luck. If I'm winning, it's all skill!

TheSeaWizard · Aug 18, 2019

There's never a time you win without luck but skill ALWAYS has priority over luck.

Poker is a skill game then and a skill game now and it will always remain such but luck does play a factor.

It also depends on the games you play. Some will have gamblers who will go all-in with any two cards. Some will be winnable just for you and only you and nobody else. Some will go either way. It boils down to game selection.

Criplgamer · Aug 18, 2019

I've got 15 years in this game. I peg it as 60% skill
30% percent reads on players the rest is luck .... Not much but to put a number on it is kind of petty.

You can have all the skill in the world but run card dead.

lontrus · Aug 18, 2019

Depends on how you attack the game.
Accepting the chaos of the board means you can minimize chaos in the other elements - namely, people.
Ultimately, to me, it's become a mind game with a very small mathematical element.
You can win the game and keep rounding with just the math but I am easily bored so I fall out of that mode of play very quickly.

3gdata · Aug 18, 2019

They usually say it's about 30% of luck in poker. But I think it must be at least a half. ;-)

FoxMS · Aug 18, 2019

In my opinion, the ratio of luck to player skills is about 30/70%.

deform fedot · Aug 18, 2019

Good luck is a possibility. 1/9 7-11%, 1/1 50/50%.

Criplgamer · Aug 18, 2019

deform fedot said:
Good luck is a possibility. 1/9 7-11%, 1/1 50/50%.

I think what you are getting at is, good players control the luck factor using skill. Nobody can be lucky all the time and if you are losing unbelievable bad beats online due to "luck" maybe you need to ditch that site. Because I promise you, a skilled player beats a lucky player 99/100 live .

Flatran · Aug 19, 2019

It depends on what you call luck, there are situations in which you will simply connect with the flop / turn / river with trash hands, in others you will have a premium hand but without connecting anything. In my opinion it is 40/60 (luck 40% - skill 60%).

GWU73 · Aug 19, 2019

The cards dealt are 100% luck. What you do with them is 100% skill. You can win or lose short term based on luck, but long term results are based on skill, more specifically your skill vs the skill of the players you play against. As a side note, it takes different skills to beat different games/ players.

BelFish · Aug 20, 2019

There are exist formula. From PT you use average winnings in ptbb/100hands and standart deviation. If you play small number of hands, the variance is big, more luck involved. But if you play very long, result ll be very close to your average ptbb/100...

How much luck do you think is involved in Texas Hold'em?

Heresthecooler

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Deedgee

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Kertooie

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Datdude1

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danix

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frnandoh

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19aleks57

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goaldriversv

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Rob Hobson

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killbello

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astros

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hutzpaf

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57noona

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ChickenArise

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lcid86

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TheSeaWizard

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Criplgamer

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lontrus

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3gdata

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FoxMS

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deform fedot

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Criplgamer

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Flatran

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GWU73

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BelFish

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