Chris_TC
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- #351
Yes, I'm aware of this. But thanks for pointing it out, the more useful information this thread contains the better!Cheetah said:I think you know this but for the sake of others, I would like to point out that there is no such thing as "my luck is due to change because I had terrible cards/beats for a while". It is just as likely to get bad luck tomorrow as it is to get good luck.
I don't expect an immediate upswing or anything. I know that after a terrible session the cards may be just as bad the next day.
I guess the best way to explain what I meant is this: I have gotten dealt all pocket pairs roughly 215 times (+/- 10) over the course of 47,000 hands, but I've only gotten dealt Kings 170 times.
Now I know for a fact that the pocket Kings are going to catch up. They may not catch up in a single day, in fact it may take ages for them to catch up, but they will catch up.
I'm not sure whether patterns are a normal part of randomness, but it does seem that there are often streaks. To go with the example above, I expect a streak of Kings at some point.
There was a time about a week ago where I would catch set after set after set (they got sucked out all the time, but that's a different story
Since the odds of catching a set are 1:8, one would think that roughly every eighth pocket pair makes a set. But that's not how it works.
There are stretches where you play 35 pocket pairs in a row and don't get a set, and another time you may catch 5 sets when playing 8 pairs.
So, I don't know whether there will big a "big ass upswing" or whether it'll be a "slow but steady quicker-than-average increase" but I just feel that a "big ass upswing" is more likely, once again because everything seems to happen in streaks a whole lot.
