feitr said:
hmm...you are +EV in MTTs right? So why do you play cash, unless you rarely have a time block open to play MTTs coz of work or (and i suspect it is this) to reduce the variance of MTT play? Still, it seems that it would be a much better idea to grind MTTs or like 180man SNGs rather than only gaining FPPs from cash to buy into MTTs. Just interested on the logic behind it when surely you must make more from MTTs (maybe you 20 table cash and make alot from rakeback, idk).
Not trying to make a judgment or anything, but if you are breakeven at nl100 and nl200 over 300k hands then i can't see that going anywhere at all, whereas you seem to be quite a good MTT player.
Fair question.
1) I make 14000fpps a week (at least) which pays for the warm up or million. I've cashed a fair bit (3k worth so far this year) and had a couple of top 100 finishes and fully plan a final table. If it wasn't for the fpps I'd only play it through sats.
2) I've played a lot of hands in the last year so the 300k isn't all of it. Prior to that I made a few thousand at 50nl and 100nl. The breakeven started with 80k at 200nl then the rest at 100nl. I can now beat up 50nl as well as the next guy and probably 100nl.
3) Yes about the time thing and MTTs
but the real answer,
4) most importantly I'm entirely comfortable with breaking even while I learn to play ring. I think there's a ridiculous rush for people to move up the limits and win mirrions when actually to really beat the game takes time and application. The other risk is burnout, there's a lot of people who do great for a while then crash and burn and quit. When I started playing poker of any sort I said I'd be happy to spend money learning how to play for 5 years. Figuring that it would be a skill worth paying for.
Fortunately I got lucky and won early (and it really was luck, I won 8k in an MTT when I thought overcards were a made hand) and went from there to win decent sums in MTTs but I stand by what I said. This is a game of the long-term, and it's really long.
So while learning ring I've read watched and studied a lot and I've slowly put together a game which I'm sure in the next couple of years will see me consistently winning at 200nl (maybe higher). It took me 3 years to develop an MTT game that I was happy with, I'm not worried about it taking a similar time at ring (as I say it's been a year so far).
In those 300k hands which is the last 6 months(ish) I've tried all sorts of things. I've adopted and discarded many many strategies and come back to some two or three times looking for the right balance. I'm getting closer to a game I'm happy with.
If I was doing the same things now and making the same mistakes I was 300k hands ago I'd agree it's a lost cause, but I've learned and changed a ton. Nothing irritates me more than people who post here that they are losing and don't see that in order to change the results they need to change their behaviour.
The graph was more of an "OMG I HAS THE LONGEST BRAKE EVEN" than a compaint, and I'll be surprised if the next 300k isn't a decent 2/3BB 100, but we'll see.
Anyway that's more than you asked but I was thinking about all this anyway
🙂