Luck is a short term aspect of the game but luck is not the dominant factor. A skilled player can monetize the bad luck against them. Not saying they don't get beat but they play a smart game and play in a way to avoid big mistakes others make. Many time when looking at others and there beats I would see issues that they ignored to lose the hand. Thats not luck but that is the part of the skill we need to acquire.
True bro. Short term luck is huge, no doubt.
You can play AA perfect and still lose 20% vs any random hand. That's poker.
But long term, skill > luck. The math catches up. If you're making +EV decisions every hand, you win over 100k hands even with bad beats.
I tell myself: "I can't control the cards, only my decisions."
Helps with tilt when you get sucked out on.
Variance is the tax we pay for playing a profitable game. Without luck, fish wouldn't play.
GL at the tables 🍀
You can play AA perfect and still lose 20% vs any random hand. That's poker.
But long term, skill > luck. The math catches up. If you're making +EV decisions every hand, you win over 100k hands even with bad beats.
I tell myself: "I can't control the cards, only my decisions."
Helps with tilt when you get sucked out on.
Variance is the tax we pay for playing a profitable game. Without luck, fish wouldn't play.
GL at the tables 🍀
Luck in poker is real. Anyone who tells you otherwise has never had their Aces cracked by 9-6 offsuit on the river.
But here's my honest view: luck is just variance with a human face. We call it luck when the outcome surprises us. We call it skill when it confirms what we expected.
The truth is neither fully exists in isolation.
Short term — luck dominates. You can play perfectly and lose. You can play terribly and win. The cards don't care about your logic.
Long term — skill dominates. The same names keep appearing at final tables. The same players keep making money year after year. That's not luck. That's pattern.
What I've learned after years of playing is that chasing luck is the fastest way to go broke. But ignoring it completely is just arrogance.
The best players I've seen don't fight luck or worship it. They simply accept it as part of the game — like weather. You can't control the rain. You can choose whether to bring an umbrella.
Make good decisions. Let luck do whatever it wants.
It usually gets bored and moves on eventually. 😄
But here's my honest view: luck is just variance with a human face. We call it luck when the outcome surprises us. We call it skill when it confirms what we expected.
The truth is neither fully exists in isolation.
Short term — luck dominates. You can play perfectly and lose. You can play terribly and win. The cards don't care about your logic.
Long term — skill dominates. The same names keep appearing at final tables. The same players keep making money year after year. That's not luck. That's pattern.
What I've learned after years of playing is that chasing luck is the fastest way to go broke. But ignoring it completely is just arrogance.
The best players I've seen don't fight luck or worship it. They simply accept it as part of the game — like weather. You can't control the rain. You can choose whether to bring an umbrella.
Make good decisions. Let luck do whatever it wants.
It usually gets bored and moves on eventually. 😄
i find especially in online poker, more luck than skill, but live poker is a different beast, that is where knowledge is king
In those days I was watching a conversation on YouTube about online poker... and a guy said a phrase that made me stop to think:
“Why study GTO, solver, crack and stuff... if at the end of the day it's the flop that decides everything? ”
And the conversation became even more controversial...
There were people saying that:
👉 poker depends much more on luck than skill;
👉 that the rake in the rooms is very heavy;
👉 that those who play 12 hours a day will always have an advantage;
👉 and even that some structures prioritize volume over game quality.
At the same time, I also see a lot of people seriously studying, evolving, and getting consistent long-term results.
So I was thinking...
What matters most to you in online poker:
Luck or skill?
Do you think that studying really makes a difference?
Is rake still fair today?
Is the winning player born with talent or discipline?
“Why study GTO, solver, crack and stuff... if at the end of the day it's the flop that decides everything? ”
And the conversation became even more controversial...
There were people saying that:
👉 poker depends much more on luck than skill;
👉 that the rake in the rooms is very heavy;
👉 that those who play 12 hours a day will always have an advantage;
👉 and even that some structures prioritize volume over game quality.
At the same time, I also see a lot of people seriously studying, evolving, and getting consistent long-term results.
So I was thinking...
What matters most to you in online poker:
Luck or skill?
Do you think that studying really makes a difference?
Is rake still fair today?
Is the winning player born with talent or discipline?
It's true that luck influences games, but you don't have to leave everything to luck, you need to be skilled, courageous and decisive.
The mistake that I have sometimes made, because I want to win more, is to let the opponent set up his game, and in the end I lose everything.
The mistake that I have sometimes made, because I want to win more, is to let the opponent set up his game, and in the end I lose everything.
In poker, luck plays an important role, since even with the best hand you can lose. However, both probability and skill help make better decisions. In the short term, luck is decisive; in the long term, players who consistently make the right decisions tend to win.
G0930
Captain Fathermucker, Satty Aficionado
Platinum Level
Ofc you need also luck but only inexperienced or unsuccesfull people whine about variance.
There are so many online pros who are solid winning players despite that bad bad river.
In micro and lowstakes you need much more luck than at higher stakes in my opinion.
Mainly because people play without any strategy there
There are so many online pros who are solid winning players despite that bad bad river.
In micro and lowstakes you need much more luck than at higher stakes in my opinion.
Mainly because people play without any strategy there
This debate has existed for years in the poker community.
Luck certainly plays a role in the short term. Anyone can win or lose on a given day. However, over thousands of hands, skill becomes the deciding factor.
bankroll management, discipline, and decision-making are what separate winning players from losing ones.
What percentage of poker do you think is skill?
Luck certainly plays a role in the short term. Anyone can win or lose on a given day. However, over thousands of hands, skill becomes the deciding factor.
bankroll management, discipline, and decision-making are what separate winning players from losing ones.
What percentage of poker do you think is skill?