Betting Tips & Predictions

john_entony

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  • #16,451
MLB

Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox: Jesus Luzardo will get (> 1.5 runs) /// 1.63

Last bet won.
Just as I expected, Detroit’s key shooter, Duncan Robinson, didn’t play. Without him, the chances were even, and the odds of “2.50” were definitely a steal. So congratulations to everyone who placed this bet! My betting score is MLB 210-196 in favor of successful, NBA 224-238 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 3rd game of the series between Philadelphia Phillies and Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia starting pitcher Jesus Luzardo will get 2 runs or more. Yes, there’s a break in the NBA Playoffs today, so this time we’re betting on MLB. Jesus Luzardo has never been an elite starting pitcher, but this season he’s been absolutely terrible. His ERA is “5.77”, and against Boston, that rate is “4.76”. The Phillies’ defense this season is one of the worst in the National League (13th out of 15). I also can't say that Jesus Luzardo has played against any strong teams this season (excluding Chicago Cubs, of course). Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,452
john_entony said:
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons: Cleveland Cavaliers (- 1.5) /// 2.50
Cavs G6
Thanks @john_entony for another great tip - what a NBA Playoff so far (y):cool: keep up the amazing work and hopefully the good run will continue 💲💰💸 PS. most people online post odds for their tips higher than what the followers find (it's normal tbh as if the bet is very popular odds can decrease by a lot even after a short time) and you're the only person I followed in 10+ years on different sites/communities, that all the time posts way lower odds * my bet was placed close to the starting time when Robinson was confirmed out for Detroit and the odds went way lower for the visitors and that's why I picked Cavs (-2.5 pts), but even for Cavs (-1.5 pts) IIRC it was 2.70 on Unibet... country regulations, especially for gambling, suck big time in Europe in general and I don't know if you have limited options ATM, but hopefully you'll be able to find better sites to place your bets in the future as for sure you lose a lot of value and money because of it... // PS. my English isn't that good, so to make it clear, @john_entony your bets have lower odds than what I find even in cases like the Cavs yesterday where I placed the bet way after your post and when the odds went down on the Cavs (because of the Robinson's absence for Detroit)... it really is a very bad situation for you...

An early bet for Saturday - on the FA Cup Final and I back the Citizens to continue the good form showed since early March and win the trophy in regular time, as the Premier League might be going to Arsenal (not even Arteta can bottle-up this one, right?! lol):

Chelsea - Man City 2@ 1.70 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
 
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  • #16,453
BillyR23 said:
View attachment 408788
Thanks @john_entony for another great tip - what a NBA Playoff so far (y):cool: keep up the amazing work and hopefully the good run will continue 💲💰💸 PS. most people online post odds for their tips higher than what the followers find (it's normal tbh as if the bet is very popular odds can decrease by a lot even after a short time) and you're the only person I followed in 10+ years on different sites/communities, that all the time posts way lower odds * my bet was placed close to the starting time when Robinson was confirmed out for Detroit and the odds went way lower for the visitors and that's why I picked Cavs (-2.5 pts), but even for Cavs (-1.5 pts) IIRC it was 2.70 on Unibet... country regulations, especially for gambling, suck big time in Europe in general and I don't know if you have limited options ATM, but hopefully you'll be able to find better sites to place your bets in the future as for sure you lose a lot of value and money because of it... // PS. my English isn't that good, so to make it clear, @john_entony your bets have lower odds than what I find even in cases like the Cavs yesterday where I placed the bet way after your post and when the odds went down on the Cavs (because of the Robinson's absence for Detroit)... it really is a very bad situation for you...

An early bet for Saturday - on the FA Cup Final and I back the Citizens to continue the good form showed since early March and win the trophy in regular time, as the Premier League might be going to Arsenal (not even Arteta can bottle-up this one, right?! lol):

Chelsea - Man City 2@ 1.70 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
Thanks, Billy! Posts like this make me want to work even harder so we can all keep beating the bookies together! As for my bets, I always place them at 888. For example, in the 7th game of the series between Boston and Philadelphia, I bet on odds of “1.90” in the morning (when Jason Tatum’s participation was still in question), and in the evening, when I was writing my prediction on our forum, it was already known that he wouldn’t play, and the odds had dropped. I always take the lower odds, since my goal isn’t to boast about my predictions, but to help our Community win some money. I rarely comment on your soccer predictions, but I really like them, since you always correctly assess the teams’ current shape and their abilities. That’s deep understanding, and I thank you too! ;)
 
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  • #16,454
Today Premier League Football

21.00CET
Aston Villa vs. Liverpool FC both to [email protected]

GL fellas
 
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NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves: San Antonio Spurs (- 2.5) /// 1.61

Last bet lost.
I can't say there wasn't a chance, but Boston's offense clearly lacked intensity. In the end, Jesus Luzardo pitched quite well, covering all 6 innings with no runs. My betting score is MLB 210-197 in favor of successful, NBA 224-238 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs on the road will beat Minnesota Timberwolves by 3 points or more in the 6th game of the series. I think it became clear in the previous game that Minnesota simply can’t defend against San Antonio. Yes, the Timberwolves’ defense has been extremely weak in this series against the Spurs. Minnesota made 12 successful defensive plays in only the 1st game of the series, while in the subsequent games that number was much lower. San Antonio proved in the previous game that they are well-prepared mentally, as they simply dominated when the score was tied 60-60. Unless another miracle happens (such as a suspension or injury of Victor Wembanyama), the Spurs will close out this series fairly easily. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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I'll go for 1 more bet for tomorrow - from Portugal, last round of the season and back Sporting to get an easy W at home and get the 2nd place in the league, important one as this way they'll have the chance to play in the UCL next season... the teams from this 'lower' leagues need the money from this competition and Sporting have quite a few well paid players that will most likely don't want to 'gamble' their future in the case of a failure here- especially at home vs. an opponent that doesn't have any motivation left (Gil Vicente's place is fixed at 6th* Famalicao, a team undefeated since February, needs only 1 point at home vs.Alverca to get the 5th place- not a very important one tbh as only Top 4 places from Liga Portugal will have the chance to play in European competitions next season...):

Sporting CP - Gil Vicente Sporting AH(-1.5)@ 1.62 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets and have a great weekend 💲💰💸
 
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Jannik Sinner have a 1.40 odds to win Roland Garros. Do you think he can be stopped by anyone knowing that Alcarz will be out this year?
 
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gabryyyel31 said:
Jannik Sinner have a 1.40 odds to win Roland Garros. Do you think he can be stopped by anyone knowing that Alcarz will be out this year?
He's clearly favorite to win it , but I've watched his match against Medvedev in the semis in Rome - and at home, Sinner was dominated in the 2nd set (lost 5-7) by a player that stated clearly a few times that he hates the clay surface (I didn't check his results on clay, but I know that he had a very low number of matches on this surface compared to other top players* Medvedev is a Top 10 player for like a decade and he was even nb1 in the World...), Sinner also showed some discomfort with his right leg (it looked to me as some kind of knee issue) and health in sports is such a big factor - Carlos Alcaraz would have been the clear favorite if he wasn't injured, especially since he dominated the ATP Tour before the injury... and RG is on clay too... I see Nole with a big chance here as he focuses on this Grand Slam tournaments and he showed us that he can beat 1 of Sinner and/or Alcaraz, but not both... while also being able to beat all the other players on the ATP Tour (his tournament in Rome was just for practice and if you watched his interviews before it - he said that there's 0 expectations and doesn't expect a long run...); the rest of the Tour has a big chance to 'steal' a Grand Slam too as at the end of the day this is Sinner's least favorite surface too... if I had to bet - I'd take probably close to @ 3.00 (if the odds for Jannik to win the title is only 1.40) for Sinner not to win the French Open * at least on Betfair Exchange you can lay a selection like this- the opposite of "backing", wager against an outcome happening... not sure about 'normal' bookmakers offering this kind of bet/option, but (IMO) if this is available it will be worth trying it at odds around 3...
 
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MLB

Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland Guardians: Cleveland Guardians (to win) and will score (> 2.5 runs) /// 1.75

Last bet won.
I think San Antonio is fully prepared for the series against Oklahoma City in the Western Conference Finals. I’m impressed that every player in the Spurs’ rotation has value in these Playoffs. But I’ll write more about that before the 1st game of the series against the Thunder. My betting score is MLB 210-197 in favor of successful, NBA 225-238 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Cleveland Guardians at home will beat Cincinnati Reds and score 3 runs or more in the 2nd game of the series. There’s another break in the NBA today, so we’re returning to MLB betting. The disparity in starting pitchers should help the home Cleveland. Joey Cantillo (his ERA is “2.98”) is a solid Cleveland starting pitcher. The Guardians have won 7 out of 9 games with him this season, and Joey Cantillo gets an average 0.88 hits per inning, which is a very solid rate. Chris Paddack will be Cincinnati's starting pitcher in the upcoming game. His ERA this season is “7.63”. Chris Paddack has never been a reliable starting pitcher, but he has completely failed in the current season. I don’t think a miracle will happen and he’ll play well. Therefore, I expect Cleveland will score at least 3 runs in the upcoming game. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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BillyR23 said:
Chelsea - Man City 2@ 1.70 on Unibet

BillyR23 said:
Sporting CP - Gil Vicente Sporting AH(-1.5)@ 1.62 on Unibet

Both backed teams with deserved wins (y):cool: Man City won 1-0, while Sporting won 3-0...

A tennis bet for today, as I've followed ATP Rome and IMO we have a value bet on Casper Ruud (a clay specialist* 12 out of his 14 titles are on this surface, plus the 2 Roland Garros Finals), to at least make the Final somewhat competitive- tbh I wouldn't be surprised if we'll see an upset and Ruud will somehow even win the trophy as he had an amazing week, close to the best tennis I've seen him play...

Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud Casper Ruud (+5.5 Games)@ 1.73 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday :)
 
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NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons: Detroit Pistons (- 1.5) /// 1.60

Last bet won.
Cleveland Guardians played exceptionally well in the 2nd game of the series, proving once again that they are a very strong home team. Brayan Rocchio had an incredible game and deservedly was named MVP, making 2 RBIs! And yes, so far this season is the best in his career. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 225-238 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Detroit Pistons at home will beat Cleveland Cavaliers in the 7th game of the series. I think this is a pretty logical bet, since Cleveland cannot be called a successful road team. Yes, they had a chance to close out the series in the 6th game, but Donovan Mitchell is not about decisive Playoff games. I’m confident he’ll fail in the crucial game again. It happened in the last game, it happened in past seasons, and it happened in the Utah Jazz’s Postseason games. I think that in addition to the MVP, Coach of the Year, and Rookie of the Year awards, we should add another award called “Biggest Choker of the Playoff”! I’m sure Donovan Mitchell could make it into the Hall of Fame based on that criterion. :ROFLMAO: Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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ATP - SINGLES, French Open, qualifying, Bueno to beat Bax.
 
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BillyR23 said:
Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud Casper Ruud (+5.5 Games)@ 1.73 on Unibet
Ruud had his chances in both sets (especially the start was good with a 2-0 lead...), but Sinner won in straight sets * 6-4, 6-4... still it was enough for our bet (y):cool: and again (IMO) this shows that Sinner on clay isn't as big of a 'monster' and with Alcaraz out - the rest of the players will have a decent chance at the French Open* qualifiers started today for the Grand Slam...

A bet from Premier League for today - the odds is pretty low, but the bet is (IMO) 'safe' :

Arsenal - Burnley Arsenal AH(-1.5)@ 1.37 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets and have a great start of the week 💲💰💸
 
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NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder (- 4.5) /// 1.62

Last bet lost.
To be honest, it was hard to take in what I saw. I probably won’t be commenting on this losing bet for the first time in a long while, since I don’t have anything to say. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 225-239 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Oklahoma City Thunder at home will beat San Antonio Spurs by 5 points or more in the 1st game of the series. Yes, I consider this Western Conference Finals to be the most important series of this Postseason, as the winner is highly likely will beat the Eastern Conference champion. Today, I’m betting on the current League Champions’ victory. As much as I root for the San Antonio team, Oklahoma has won all 8 of their Playoff games by 5 points or more. So far, I don’t see any weaknesses in the Thunder’s play. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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ATP - SINGLES, French Open, qualifying, Barrios to beat Maillot.
 
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NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks: New York Knicks (- 3.5) /// 1.60

Last bet lost.
Without a doubt, the key moment of the game was with the score of 108:105 in Oklahoma’s favor with 24 seconds left, when Victor hit three-point shot from the logo. And yes, he made it, which helped San Antonio play the second overtime. Of course, I won’t underestimate the Spurs’ victory, but this game was won by Victor Wembanyama in a solo. But as a team, Oklahoma was more appealing to me. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 225-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Knicks at home will beat Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points or more in the 1st game of the series. This series is very obvious to me because the Knicks will win it. Yes, we’re unlikely to see a sweep here (as we did in the series against Philadelphia 76ers), but Cleveland won’t be able to win more than one game in the Eastern Conference Finals. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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BillyR23 said:
He's clearly favorite to win it , but I've watched his match against Medvedev in the semis in Rome - and at home, Sinner was dominated in the 2nd set (lost 5-7) by a player that stated clearly a few times that he hates the clay surface (I didn't check his results on clay, but I know that he had a very low number of matches on this surface compared to other top players* Medvedev is a Top 10 player for like a decade and he was even nb1 in the World...), Sinner also showed some discomfort with his right leg (it looked to me as some kind of knee issue) and health in sports is such a big factor - Carlos Alcaraz would have been the clear favorite if he wasn't injured, especially since he dominated the ATP Tour before the injury... and RG is on clay too... I see Nole with a big chance here as he focuses on this Grand Slam tournaments and he showed us that he can beat 1 of Sinner and/or Alcaraz, but not both... while also being able to beat all the other players on the ATP Tour (his tournament in Rome was just for practice and if you watched his interviews before it - he said that there's 0 expectations and doesn't expect a long run...); the rest of the Tour has a big chance to 'steal' a Grand Slam too as at the end of the day this is Sinner's least favorite surface too... if I had to bet - I'd take probably close to @ 3.00 (if the odds for Jannik to win the title is only 1.40) for Sinner not to win the French Open * at least on Betfair Exchange you can lay a selection like this- the opposite of "backing", wager against an outcome happening... not sure about 'normal' bookmakers offering this kind of bet/option, but (IMO) if this is available it will be worth trying it at odds around 3...
I didn't see the match against Medvedev but from what I understand he had some medical problems, cramps in the 2nd set, from there his level dropped. If he is physically at 100%, no one can stand in his way in the race for Roland Garros in my opinion.
 
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gabryyyel31 said:
I didn't see the match against Medvedev but from what I understand he had some medical problems, cramps in the 2nd set, from there his level dropped. If he is physically at 100%, no one can stand in his way in the race for Roland Garros in my opinion.
That's my opinion too (y) He's clearly favorite to win it ... I just mentioned that I think the odds for him to do it is way too low: only @1.4 on his least favorite surface?! I wouldn't want my money stuck on this bet for 2 long weeks, especially after watching his tournament in Rome, he did win it- but it wasn't easy and it showed that some clay specialists and/or Nole will have one of their best chance to 'steal' a Grand Slam from Sincaraz - Carlitos is out and Jannik doesn't seem 100% fit either, again on his least favorite surface...
 
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Aston Villa​

1,52
Full Time Result - 2 UP - Freiburg v Aston Villa
 
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ATP - SINGLES, French Open, qualifying, Rocha to beat Goyo.
 
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NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: San Antonio Spurs (+ 9.5) /// 1.60

Last bet won.
Cleveland are such chokers! My apologies to any Cavaliers fans on this forum, but I don’t think you’ll disagree. How could they possibly lose after leading by 22 points in the 4th quarter? I don’t think anyone has an answer to that question. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 226-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs on the road will not lose to Oklahoma City Thunder by more than 9 points in the 2nd game of the series. I’ve thoroughly analyzed the 1st game of the series and I haven’t found a single reason why San Antonio should play worse. Victor Wembanyama will once again dominate on rebounds, as Isaiah Hartenstein is simply ineffective on offense. Mark Daigneault will have to make a choice: either Oklahoma City plays small ball with Chet Holmgren in the center position, or with Isaiah Hartenstein, but then the Thunder will be less versatile on offense. Neither option will bring Oklahoma success. So we’ll see another painful game for Oklahoma. But I think Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie will play better than they did in the last game, and Alex Caruso is unlikely repeat his incredible performance. Also, let’s not forget that the Spurs played without De’Aaron Fox in the 1st game of the series, and there’s a chance he’ll return for the upcoming match. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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john_entony said:
Cleveland are such chokers! My apologies to any Cavaliers fans on this forum, but I don’t think you’ll disagree. How could they possibly lose after leading by 22 points in the 4th quarter? I don’t think anyone has an answer to that question.
After 10+ years of betting online I learned that it doesn't really matter how we've got the 'green bet'... we'll always take it haha 💲💰💸PS. this shows once again how right you were about Donovan Mitchell/ 'mister clutch player' - he disappeared again in the 4th Q and OT lol * and this was after having a good first 3 quarters?! I strongly believe that he insisted to bring James Harden to have someone worse in this situations :LOL: it's never a good feeling backing this team and that's why I followed your advice since early in the Playoffs and avoided them* saved a bit of money, especially in the Raptors Series- IIRC it was a 7 games Series instead of a sweep... too bad for them and their fans, as on paper - the Cavs look pretty good...

PS2. D.Fox is expected to play from what I've seen online and he's one of those playmakers that isn't careless with the ball (IIRC Castle had 11 turnovers in G1* he is more like a shooting guard and not a player that likes to have the ball that much...), Wemby had a monster game and what I noticed is that Chet was once again 'unplayable' for OKC (vs. Wemby , in all the H2H matches, he didn't have 1 decent game and IMO he's OKC nb2 option/best player); I also believe the Spurs (+9.5 pts) is a value bet and I might be a bit crazy- but I think Wemby & Co. might 'steal' G2 too and take an unreal 2-0 lead* the Spurs seem to be a very bad matchup for OKC...
 
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  • #16,475
Canadians taking the Stanley cup home ?
 
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