Betting Tips & Predictions

NBA

Cleveland Cavaliers @ New York Knicks: New York Knicks (- 3.5) /// 1.70

Last bet won. Yes, the worst-case scenario for us happened: De'Aaron Fox didn't play, and Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie didn't play any better. On top of that, Dylan Harper was absolutely useless on defense (remember, he had 7 steals in the last game). But even with all these failures, Victor Wembanyama played incredibly again! Undoubtedly, that’s what allowed us to hold our bet. But I have to say that Oklahoma’s lead was only 5 points with 43 seconds left in the 4th quarter, so the 9-point spread was out of danger. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 227-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Knicks at home will beat Cleveland Cavaliers by 4 points or more in the 2nd game of the series. I expect an easier win for the Knicks, as I feel Cleveland played at their maximum potential in the last game. After all, Donovan Mitchell won’t be able to play as well as he did in the previous game. Moreover, New York is in much better psychological shape than Cleveland. We all know how hard it is for a team to get mentally ready for the next game after losing a 20-point lead in the previous one. Fresh in my mind is the Orlando Magic’s loss in the 6th game of the series against Detroit Pistons in the 1st round of this Playoffs two weeks ago. How did Orlando play in the 7th game of the series? That’s why I believe Cleveland won’t be able to climb out of the hole of their current psychological condition. Bet? Sure!

I'll never understand people doing this kind of things* 1st community member I used 'Ignore' on in almost 15 years... sigh... it is what it is, we'll just continue to do our best in this thread and hopefully, as a community, we'll be able to make money together 💲💰💸 especially @john_entony with his amazing run lately, tbh I was even more impressed with the analyses as you can't really control how the events will end-up, but you can predict some things and/or some other important factors...

PS. the Spurs yesterday had their chances to even win, but again the lack of a playmaker costed them a lot (D.Fox was all smiles on the bench/pretty active during G2, still somehow didn't play despite 'everyone' was expecting him to start* probably the Spurs staff was happy with stealing G1 and didn't want to risk it as I think at this point the Spurs are favorites to win the Series and reach the NBA Finals)- Castle with a good game overall, but again with way too many silly turnovers - 9 this time and that's 20 in 2 games lol...

... also, OKC is using (IMO) dirty tricks on Wemby... and the referees man... it's insane that the Spurs had to use 2 challenges in the 1st half, both were successful- still the Spurs lost 2 timeouts and the possibility to challenge the rest of the game (such a stupid rule to limit it to 2 challenges), on this kind of plays that were called fouls on Wemby instead of the other way around... that's the reason why I'm not an OKC fan: they foul on each possession and know that the referees won't call it every time, while SGA/Chet/etc. will flop/exaggerate every contact on the other end the entire game to get at the Free throws line (I know that when you look at the stats you say that it wasn't that 'insane' as OKC had 24 FTs, while the Spurs had 17 FTS... but if you watch the games and aren't biased, you'd see how tough it is to play this team... 99.99% of the time OKC should have less FTs, while their opponents way more...); even with all this, the Spurs had odds just around @2.00 in the 4th Q * IIRC it was 99-97 OKC with the Spurs ball, but the hosts went on like 11-0 run* this team is so deep and there's always someone that comes from the bench that gives a huge boost... if the Spurs, with all the circumstances (D.Fox DNP, Harper out in the 3rd Q too, Castle a turnovers machine...), had so many decent chances/opportunities to win even G2 and get a 2-0 lead (like John said- the Spurs kept the game within 5-6 pts the entire game and with 1 minute to go it was 'only' 118-113 and the Spurs missed a wide open corner 3* it could have easily been an 1 possession game...), this should really scare OKC and tbh the rest of the league too as Wemby & Co. looks like a team with an insane future... my only question is the health of some of their key players, especially Wemby...

Anyways, I'll probably place a few bets for the weekend later today and try to post it here too... GLGL all with your bets!

ATP - SINGLES, French Open - Qualifying,Jacquet will beat Gill.

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs: Oklahoma City Thunder (- 1.5) /// 2.20

Last bet won. Well, I wasn’t expecting to see anything new from Cleveland, and I was right. It’s the same old story of struggling in away games and a complete lack of character. Yes, we saw Cleveland’s players put more pressure on Jalen Brunson. But it was naive to hope for any success, since New York has a very strong starting lineup, in which I don’t see any weak players. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 228-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Oklahoma City Thunder on the road will beat San Antonio Spurs by 2 points or more in the 3rd game of the series. I expect to see 7 games in this series. I don’t believe San Antonio will win both home games. Yes, De’Aaron Fox’s participation is again in doubt. But Dylan Harper might not play either. It would be a huge blow to the Spurs’ backcourt if both of them are out. To be honest, I didn’t think Stephon Castle would be so weak as a ball-handler, but it’s very difficult for him to play under Oklahoma City’s pressure. Anyway, we all know that Mark Daigneault is too talented a coach and will be able to find a way to effectively use Chet Holmgren. Also, Jalen Williams, another key Thunder player, played only 7 minutes in the last game, and his participation is also in question. But even without him, Oklahoma won, let’s be honest, quite convincingly, showing their character in the 4th quarter and making an 11-0 run. That’s why I can’t agree with the bookmakers that Oklahoma is the underdog in the upcoming game. We’ll see an even more confident performance, primarily from the Thunder’s starting roster, than we did in the last game. Bet? Absolutely!

john_entony said:

That’s why I can’t agree with the bookmakers that Oklahoma is the underdog in the upcoming game.

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I think it's the 1st time I see OKC with higher odds (underdog) in a Playoff game in like 3 years WoW... and it's not like they don't dominate anymore- it's pretty wild to have the best record in the league (nb1 Seed) for 3 consecutive seasons* PS. even in regular season games it's rare to see OKC with higher odds... I think this shows more about how people in general start to see the Spurs' potential to be an amazing team, maybe even a dynasty... I wanted to place the bet a few times, but I just couldn't as I'll watch the game and even though I'm not a Spurs' fan, I can't really support OKC lol , I do agree with the analyses and definitely worth trying OKC(-1.5pts) at such high [email protected] // I had selected the OKC (-3.5 pts)@ 2.65 on Unibet and I even had a promotion for this G3 of the Series, an odds reboost +10%... very tempting, but I won't do it haha... I still want the bet to be 'green' for you, so GLGL John 💲💰💸

2 single bets for today and I picked 2 Cup Finals, where IMO there's just too big of a difference between the teams and I expect relatively easy wins for the favorites...

Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic Celtic AH(-1.5)@ 1.55 on Unibet
Bayern Munich - Stuttgart Bayern AH(-1.25)@ 1.65 on Unibet // half stake back if Bayern wins at 1 goal difference...

GLGL all with your bets and have a great weekend!

NBA

New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: New York Knicks (- 1.5) /// 2.20

Last bet won. And that’s my 4th winning bet in a row! De’Aaron Fox came on, but he wasn’t ready. Stephon Castle keeps struggling in this series. And that’s actually pretty worrying. But I still think the series will be tied after the 4th game. We’ll see what Mitch Johnson decides to do, but I expect some changes in the next game that will help San Antonio regain their confidence. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 229-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Knicks on the road will beat Cleveland Cavaliers by 2 points or more in the 3rd game of the series. To be honest, the bookmakers are offering some strange odds. The Knicks are having their best Postseason yet, and it’s strange to see them as underdogs. I tried to figure out how the Cavaliers could change up their game, but I couldn’t find an answer. They lack a lot of character, and the Knicks played with great confidence in the last game. The Knicks will be ready for the high-pressure defense against Jalen Brunson. It’s hard for me understand what Kenny Atkinson can offer in the upcoming game, but he won’t be able to beat the motivated New York again. Bet? Sure!

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs (- 2.5) /// 1.90

Last bet won. This is my 5th winning bet in a row! Cleveland played their worst defensive game of these Playoffs. They showed absolutely no desire to win. As for New York, they’re having their best season of the last 26 years! Yes, the last time the Knicks played in the Finals was in 1999, but I can’t say much about that team since I started following the NBA much later. But yes, of course, I know about the star of that team, Patrick Ewing. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 230-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs at home will beat Oklahoma City Thunder by 3 points or more in the 4th game of the series. The Spurs will come to a critical juncture in this series if they lose in the upcoming game. I believe that tomorrow we’ll be talking about San Antonio as a dynasty, not in the context of losers. I expect to see better offensive play from De’Aaron Fox and Stephon Castle. This is a prerequisite for success in the upcoming game. Bet? Absolutely!

BillyR23 said:

Celtic - Dunfermline Athletic Celtic AH(-1.5)@ 1.55 on Unibet
Bayern Munich - Stuttgart Bayern AH(-1.25)@ 1.65 on Unibet

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The good run continues Celtic won 3-1 (they had 3-0 until close to end of the match, so there wasn't much sweat getting this 'green' bet), while Bayern won 3-0...

For today, I didn't really spend much time analysing the betting offer as the French Open just started and like I've said in this thread a few times- IMO tennis is a sport where you need to watch at least some of the event before placing a bet- so it's best to leave this sport for live betting as it's very tough to be successful with pre-match bets on tennis... I still went for a bet from Serie A:

Hellas Verona - AS Roma Roma AH(-1.25)@ 1.84 on Unibet // half stake back if Roma wins at 1 goal difference

*the hosts already relegated- 19th place with just 21pts, while AS Roma IMO impressed this season and exceeded expectations- currently in 4th place(same nb if points as the 3rd place Milan- 70 pts), a place that will reward promotion to UCL next season... still, Juve and Como are just 2 pts away and the visitors will need to win here not just to hope to get the 3rd place in this last round of Serie A, but also to be sure there won't be an upset and they'll fall in the rankings... so I expect a strong display from AS Roma, most likely with a good start - an early goal will make things much easier to handle and the next goal/s should be just a matter of time

GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday!

ATP - SINGLES, French Open, Gaston to beat Monfils.

NBA

New York Knicks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: New York Knicks (- 2.5) /// 1.90

Last bet won. Actually, in this game, we saw some elite perimeter defense from San Antonio. It took a lot of energy, but the series is now tied. Honestly, it’s hard to understand why Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was named MVP this season. I see an MVP in this series, and it’s not the Canadian. And this is my 6th winning bet in a row! My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 231-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: New York Knicks on the road will beat Cleveland Cavaliers by 3 points or more in the 4th game of the series. To be honest, I don’t see any chance for Cleveland at all. The Knicks will sweep the series, possibly by more than 10 points in this game. But I’m not going to take any risks and will only bet on a 3-point spread. I want to extend my winning streak. I think everything has already been decided in this series, so let’s just enjoy the Knicks’ performance and thank the Cavaliers for a 7-game series against Toronto and Detroit. Bet? Absolutely!

ATP - SINGLES, French Open, Bublik to beat Struff.

Some World Cup Groups special bets ...

New Zealand over 1.5 goals in groupstage @1.63
Qatar under 2.5 goals @2

New Zealand has participated in World Cup twice and although in both times they were eliminated in groupstage then on both occasions they still scored twice in 3 groupgames so considering they are in pretty even group this time around with all participants in Group G (Belgium, Iran, Egypt) didnt even qualify from group in Qatar and/or didnt qualify to the tournament itself then perhaps they can be as productive this time around

As for Qatar then sure they might get fluke goal (or 2) somewhere but since they managed to score staggering 1 goal in their home world cup then surely they arent going to exceed themselves on that front lol ...

NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: San Antonio Spurs (+ 7.5) /// 1.60

Last bet won. And this is my 7th winning bet in a row! Just as I wrote, the Knicks won fairly easily by more than 10 points. But I’m satisfied that it was a win without any nervous moments. Without a doubt, Mike Brown has turned New York into a contender: he’s maximized his players’ offensive strengths and built a very tight defense. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 232-240 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs on the road will not lose to Oklahoma City Thunder by more than 7 points in the 5th game of the series. We’ve already seen how San Antonio plays when the series is tied 2-2. That’s why I expect to see a continuation of the last game, where San Antonio destroyed Oklahoma City. But I’ll play it as safe as possible again, which is what I advise you to do as well. Of course, Oklahoma City is sorely missing Jalen Williams’ energy. But he has a strained left hamstring. And that injury can’t be healed quickly. Even if Jalen Williams does return, it’s unlikely the coaching staff will risk the player’s health when the series is tied. Bet? Absolutely!

BillyR23 said:

Hellas Verona - AS Roma Roma AH(-1.25)@ 1.84 on Unibet

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Very lucky with this one as Roma didn't play as well as I've expected - they had a decent start, but they missed that determination good teams usually have in this important matches/moments in the season (I'm not sure how to describe it in English, but I guess members that follow this sport and watched the game know what I'm talking about); the 2nd half was better though, with the help of a red card received by the hosts... in the end the score was 2-0

I've placed a few bets from Roland Garros for tomorrow (I'll post 2 that I believe are the 'safest' ones) and like usual I went with my favorite bet on Grand Slams Men's side- Over 3.5 Sets * I already had some good success in the 1st Round matches with this bet, but the events I've picked were close to the start and/or live after watching a few games in the 1st set- tough to post here and probably not very useful in this situations... what I can say is that, again most men's matches were close and if you plan to watch an event and you like to have something on the match for 'fun' - this Over 3.5 Sets is the way to go...

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Agustin Tirante Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.45 on Unibet
Joao Fonseca - Dino Prizmic Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.47 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets 💲💰💸

john_entony said:

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: San Antonio Spurs (+ 7.5) /// 1.60

Last bet won. And this is my 7th winning bet in a row! Just as I wrote, the Knicks won fairly easily by more than 10 points. But I’m satisfied that it was a win without any nervous moments. Without a doubt, Mike Brown has turned New York into a contender: he’s maximized his players’ offensive strengths and built a very tight defense.

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What a run, not just this one, but for the entire Playoffs 💲💰💸

* I went for New York Knicks (-3.5 pts)@ 2.02 , not much of a difference * I've thought you made some great points and this bet had way more than 50% chances to be 'green', didn't expect a W at 40 pts tho ... and I guess I like this "3.5" number for all sports haha

john_entony said:

This series is very obvious to me because the Knicks will win it.. Cleveland won’t be able to win more than one game in the Eastern Conference Finals.

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... I remembered this from the post before game 1 - and every game of the Series went as you've expected/predicted (not just the result...), very impressive ... and I'm kinda becoming a Knicks fan lol , maybe if the OKC vs. the Spurs Series goes G7 - like many people expect- they'll have their chances and won't be as big as an underdog as we've thought of all the teams in the East...

PS. let's go Spurs * 45-44 for OKC while I'm writing, in a very close and entertaining game as were all the games from this Series - one of the best I've watched in a while... especially on the defensive end * let's start to play some defense again in NBA regular season too...

Today Uefa Conference League Final

21.00CET

Crystal Palace vs. Rayo Vallecano double chance x/[email protected]
could be a good value bet i think for this final because this game could be tough fight till extra time or penalty shootout, i also prefer to bet
a d[email protected] which is a nice possibility to cash out in 2nd half if watching the game.

for those who like it not too risky i would recommend a goal bet under 3,[email protected] which should be a benchmark for this game, i think there wont be more than 2-3 goalsin 90mins.

Good luck fellas

ATP - SINGLES, French Open,Zverev will win against Makhach.

*SGA with 17 FTs... WoW...

PS. Is Tony Brothers the worst NBA referee in the history of this competition?! Wemby had the worst game of the Series, but the referees and the OKC's bench were the MVPs of the Game 5 (this team is so deep... sigh... and Jalen W. and Ajay M. were out with injuries).

Also, I'll probably post later today a few bets from the French Open... GLGL all with your bets 💲💰💸

*this short is also pretty funny AI is dangerous haha

MLB

Los Angeles Angels @ Detroit Tigers: Los Angeles Angels (+ 2.5) and Detroit Tigers individual total (< 4.5 runs) /// 1.60

Last bet lost. Yes, there was a moment in the game when the odds were even, but Oklahoma, thanks once again to its role players, didn’t give San Antonio a chance to compete in the clutch. And I didn’t see any success from Victor Wembanyama on offense this time, which came as a surprise to me. My betting score is MLB 211-197 in favor of successful, NBA 232-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Los Angeles Angels on the road will not lose to Detroit Tigers by more than 2 runs, and Detroit Tigers will score 4 runs or less in the 2nd game of the series. Yes, there’s a break in the NBA today, so we’re returning to MLB. And today we’re betting on the American League underdogs. Detroit’s offense has been very weak this season. Additionally, Jose Soriano (his ERA is “2.44”), who is having the best season of his career, will be the starting pitcher for Los Angeles! But I don’t recommend betting on the Angels’ victory, since Casey Mize (his ERA is “2.47”) will play as Detroit’s starting pitcher. Therefore, I expect to see a low-scoring game with little offensive actions. As an alternative, you can bet that 7 runs or fewer will be scored in this game. But I still recommend using the bet builder at 888. Bet? Sure!

BillyR23 said:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Thiago Agustin Tirante Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.45 on Unibet
Joao Fonseca - Dino Prizmic Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.47 on Unibet

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Both bets were 'green' Tirante won 3-1, while Fonseca won 3-2... even Nole had another 3-1 win today despite being like 1.10 favorite* just to see how valuable is this bet nowadays at Grand Slams Men's side... also, Nole will play Fonseca in the next round and it will be a very tough match for the player I consider the GOAT, probably the bookmakers will see him favorite- maybe like 1.50 to 2.50... but I see it as a 50-50 match, maybe even with Joao as favorite if the fan support will show up like for the match vs. Prizmic (not very relevant, but the player that just eliminated Nole in Rome...); I'm not going to pick any bet on the winner for this game, but I might go for Over 3.5 Sets * I'll wait to see at what hour the game will be scheduled and on what arena * this things are more and more important when Nole is involved, mostly because of his age...

2 bets on Over 3.5 Sets for today too, this time I've placed the bets on 888 as the odds on this particular bet (Over 3.5 Sets and/or sometimes Both players to win a set), is usually the highest in my country (we still have a pretty limited access to gambling sites):

Hubert Hurkacz - Frances Tiafoe Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.48
Arthur Rinderknech - Matteo Berrettini Over 3.5 Sets@ 1.46

GLGL all with your bets 💲💰💸

ATP - SINGLES, French Open,Tabilo will win against Vashero.

NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs (- 3.5) /// 1.90

Last bet lost. As I said, we didn't see much offensive action. And yes, Detroit scored 4 runs. But, unfortunately, Los Angeles completely failed in offense. Yes, there were a lot of discussions with the referees, and Angels leader Mike Trout was especially active. My betting score is MLB 211-198 in favor of successful, NBA 232-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs at home will beat Oklahoma City Thunder by 4 points or more in the 6th game of the series. I think everyone is expecting to see a 7-game series from these great teams. San Antonio will dominate in the upcoming game and confidently confirm its status as a new dynasty. Bet? Absolutely!