Betting Tips & Predictions

BillyR23

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  • #16,501
john_entony said:
Yes, San Antonio destroyed Oklahoma City and proved once again that they have serious championship ambitions. I loved absolutely everything about this game (except maybe that De'Aaron Fox could have played better on both ends of the court).
This is what happens when referees are relatively fare... and like I've said in more details in a previous post- the people with the argument "the Spurs have more FTs attempts in the Series than OKC" is either not watching the OKC games and/or are biased (again, I'm not a fan of either teams, tbh even tho I like the uniqueness of Wemby - I'm not a big fan of his either...): in like 99.99% of the games OKC is involved, they should have less FTs, while their opponents way more... I've seen an 'insane' stat recently (it was from o popular NBA analyst on ESPN, so it should be legit), SGA fell to the ground in 25 of his 50 something field goals- I've played different sports my entire life (37 yo), you don't have this kind of 'play' if you're not working on it... Adam Silver should really do something about this- I've seen that he was recently asked about this flopping/referees issues... I've liked most of his ideas to fix the current NBA problems, I just hope that for flopping the penalty will be a bit more harsh - maybe even a technical foul, 2 and you're gone!

john_entony said:
Atlanta Braves @ Cincinnati Reds: Atlanta Braves (to win) /// 1.71
PS. thanks for this tip too, this might have been my 1st bet on baseball 💲💰💸 what a run lately (y):cool: , so please find arguments and somehow back the Spurs for G7- Wemby & Co. will need all the help in the World, I might even place a bet on OKC and do it Risto234 way (with Man City IIRC), hoping for the bet to be lost lol... the Knicks will gain like 50M+ new fans if/when OKC reach the Finals...

BillyR23 said:
also, Nole will play Fonseca in the next round and it will be a very tough match for the player I consider the GOAT, probably the bookmakers will see him favorite- maybe like 1.50 to 2.50... but I see it as a 50-50 match, maybe even with Joao as favorite if the fan support will show up like for the match vs. Prizmic (not very relevant, but the player that just eliminated Nole in Rome...); I'm not going to pick any bet on the winner for this game, but I might go for Over 3.5 Sets :)
PS2. I have to mention this Fonseca and Nole game from R3: very good/entertaining match won in 5 Sets by the Brazilian youngster (I mention his nationality because of the Brazilian fans that are just so great, not that much for his opponents I guess haha, I wonder how a match against a French player will be* tbh I'd still go with the Brazilian fans showing a better/lowder support); like I've predicted in the previous post: the bookmakers gave 2.75-1.45 odds (they are doing quite a few 'mistakes' lately), this match was close from the start and both players played well and either deserved to win- it really was a 50-50 event... the Over 3.5 Sets was easily won and because I've watched the game, I went for some live bets too- including a nice one in the deciding set on Fonseca to win* right after he broke back, close to @ 2.40 odds on Unibet when it was 3-2 Nole... my advice: if you really want to increase your chances to win with bets on Tennis, you have to play mostly live bets and put the time in watching events* this sport is way different compared to any other sport/competitions I follow and bet on for 10+ years...
Fonseca live bet
*sry for the Romanian language...

Keep up the good work, have a great weekend and GLGL all with your bets :)
 
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  • #16,502

Over 2.5 Goals​

2,10
Over/Under 2.5 Goals - Paris St-G v Arsenal
 
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  • #16,503
NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: San Antonio Spurs (- 1.5) /// 2.37

Last bet won.
Yes, Atlanta Braves are in top shape right now, and they have an excellent chance of making the Playoffs this season. In terms of offense, Atlanta reminds me a bit of the Milwaukee Brewers. Both teams are excelling in realizing their opportunities. My betting score is MLB 212-198 in favor of successful, NBA 233-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs on the road will beat Oklahoma City Thunder by 2 points or more in the 7th game of the series. I expect a very difficult game. Yes, a lot will depend on the referees’ decisions, but I believe San Antonio will be able to play at the same high level as in the 6th game of the series. Without a doubt, the whole world will be watching this upcoming game, and I’m glad that NBA viewership ratings will go up. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,504
john_entony said:
NBA

San Antonio Spurs @ Oklahoma City Thunder: San Antonio Spurs (- 1.5) /// 2.37
LFG, 111-103 W for the Spurs! thanks @john_entony for another great tip (y):cool:
Spurs  4pts
I've risked it, maybe I was a bit too greedy but the odds for San Antonio Spurs(-4 pts)@ 3.16 on 888 was (IMO) just too good* it was like 2.87 on Unibet at the same time... OKC just didn't want to go away in the 4th Q (the Spurs had 12 pts lead with like 3 minutes left, but SGA & Co. cut it to 6 and it was this relatively small lead with OKC possession a few times...); but it was a great team game from the Spurs and a well deserved win! what a great Series :cool:

BillyR23 said:
PSG to win the UCL trophy (they have very good odds @ 1.70)
Arsenal was very very lucky to reach the penalties, but in the end the far better team managed to win the trophy - well deserved and it's still funny that Mbappe left to win UCL, just to have bad season/s with Real Madrid, while Luis Enrique managed to build such an insanely good team that dominates everyone...

GLGL all with your bets and have a great Sunday 💲💰💸
 
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  • #16,505
MLB

Chicago Cubs @ St. Louis Cardinals: St. Louis Cardinals (to win) and will score (> 2.5 runs) /// 1.95

Last bet won.
I was on edge until Devin Vassell’s dunk with 4 seconds before the end of the game. I would have started rooting for San Antonio if I weren’t a Lakers fan! But I won’t have any favorites in The Finals, so I’ll be able to assess the chances objectively. My betting score is MLB 212-198 in favor of successful, NBA 234-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: St. Louis Cardinals at home will beat Chicago Cubs and score 3 runs or more in the 3rd game of the series. We will make three bets on MLB before the start of The Finals. Today, I suggest you bet on the home St. Louis. The Cardinals have won 9 of their last 15 home games against the Cubs, scoring 3 runs or more in all of those wins. Additionally, Jordan Wicks will be the starting pitcher for Chicago. This starting pitcher is an experimental choice for the Cubs, as Jordan Wicks is a very weak pitcher who was a relief pitcher last year with a rather low ERA of "6.28". Jordan Wicks has played only one game against Pittsburgh this season and completely failed in it, allowing 8 runs over 4.1 innings. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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ATP - SINGLES, French Open, Tiafoe to beat Arnaldi.
 
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  • #16,507
MLB

Miami Marlins @ Washington Nationals: Cade Cavalli will get (> 1.5 runs) /// 1.53

Last bet won.
Jordan Wicks completely failed, getting 4 hits and 3 runs in 2 innings! And overall, Chicago has looked really bad this season. So, as expected, St. Louis won this game fairly easily. My betting score is MLB 213-198 in favor of successful, NBA 234-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 1st game of the series between Washington Nationals and Miami Marlins, Washington's starting pitcher, Cade Cavalli, will get 2 runs or more. I find it hard to call this starting pitcher elite. Yes, he is a decent starting pitcher this season (his ERA is “3.62”), but he quite often allows 2 runs or more. There have been 8 such games out of 12 this season. He has allowed 2 runs or more in 16 out of 23 games throughout his career. Additionally, Cade Cavalli has played 3 games against Miami and has allowed 2 runs in each one. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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WTA - SINGLES, French Open, Svitolina to beat Kostyuk.
 
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  • #16,509
Some more world cup bets ...

South Africa under 3.5 goals @1.58
South Africa under 2.5 points @1.93


Them not making out from groupstage (around 1.60) are probably decent aswell but then again i would rather see them be good enough to fulfil these under lines :unsure:
 
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A bet from the French Open for today (the event starts in ~1 hour), where Fonseca plays his best tennis and has IMO the best fans support possible (even better than the French players):

Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca 2@ 1.47 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
 
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MLB

Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays: Tampa Bay Rays (to win) /// 1.66

Last bet won.
And this is my 3rd winning bet in a row on MLB! Cade Cavalli pitched quite well, even showing some composure in the 1st inning. But he was substituted at the beginning of the 6th inning after allowing a hit. And in baseball, there’s a rule that this hit turns into a run even if the pitcher is substituted. Miami’s offense used their chances perfectly in the 6th inning, and that hit by Cade Cavalli turned into a run. It’s a strange rule, but it really helped us. My betting score is MLB 214-198 in favor of successful, NBA 234-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Tampa Bay Rays at home will beat Detroit Tigers in the 2nd game of the series. This time, I don’t want to complicate my prediction with additional conditions. Jack Flaherty will be Detroit’s starting pitcher in the upcoming game. His ERA is "5.81" this season. I find it hard to understand what happened with him when he was a Los Angeles Dodgers player in the 2023 season, but he completely failed last season with an ERA of "4.64". Jack Flaherty has played 4 games in his career against Tampa Bay, and his ERA is "8.66"! There’s a very high probability he’ll fail in the upcoming game. Tampa Bay is the best home team in the entire League right now and the American League leader. I think we’ll see a very easy win. If you want to take a bit of risk, you can bet that Tampa Bay will win by 2 runs or more (there are very juicy odds there). But a simple bet on a win without any handicaps is enough for me, since I want to be in a good mood before my first bet on the NBA Finals. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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ATP - SINGLES, French Open, Arnaldi to beat Berrettini.
 
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  • #16,513
NBA

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs (- 2.5) /// 1.70

Last bet lost.
I don't know what happened with the Tampa Bay players. I have no explanation. Yes, of course, the Rays' loss was largely the fault of starting pitcher Steven Matz, who allowed 2 home runs in 1.2 innings. What a huge failure! My betting score is MLB 214-199 in favor of successful, NBA 234-241 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs at home will beat New York Knicks by 3 points or more in the 1st game of the series. Congratulations to everyone with the start of the NBA Finals! This season’s decisive series, featuring two incredible teams! But I still think the Knicks have played against teams in these Playoffs that are significantly weaker than San Antonio. Also, the long break might not work in New York’s favor. The Knicks’ players might simply lose their playing rhythm. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,514
BillyR23 said:
Jakub Mensik - Joao Fonseca 2@ 1.47 on Unibet
Yesterday I was a bit salty and I didn't want to write about this bet... I've watched the entire match and I still can't understand what happened... Joao Fonseca is very young (19yo) and can definitely fix this consistency issue, I guess he fooled most of us with his performances here, especially the wins against Nole and Ruud - 2 of the top favorites to win the French Open after Sinner's loss... the fans support was all for Joao- maybe even more than in previous rounds (the commentator even said something like "even the French crowd adopted Fonseca"), but there's nothing else to say than he just didn't show up for this match and to me, as someone that watched all his previous matches, it was a lot about the body language too- for example he showed a lot of emotions in previous rounds, trying to motivate himself after important points etc., while in this match vs. Mensik he pretty much didn't do it at all (not even in the 3rd set when he was up a break twice and even served for the set* IIRC he even had a set point)... very disappointing result as IMO this was a great chance for Fonseca to win the Grand Slam and maybe create a Top 3 with Sinner and Alcaraz, he's nowhere close this 2 players and I don't think he will ever be* maybe at most something like del Potro, winning a Grand Slam in the right circumstances and slowly fade away with a decent tennis career, not what fans of the sport hoped for- I guess it will really be tough to have another similar era with Federer/ Rafa/ Nole/ Murray and a few other pretty good players that might even dominate the current era- like Stan Wawrinka, del Potro, Berdych, Cilic...

PS. Mensik didn't need to do much to win this and tbh his game isn't that good on clay (his favorite surface is hard courts, which is pretty normal considering his style of play that is made for faster courts- aggressive playing style, big 1st serve, good forehand and reliable backhand); Zverev should have an easy path towards the Final and to his 1st Grand Slam title too - he will play the winner of Cobolli vs. Arnaldi semifinal - a dream situation for the German...

As I'm going to watch the Game 1 of the NBA Finals (like John, I'm going to back the Spurs too- LFG Wemby & Co.!!!), I'll go for a bet from Football/ Friendly International - a 'competition' that is treated more seriously nowadays with the changes I've mentioned a while back here regarding the National Teams Rankings* to make it short- not so 'friendly' anymore lol...

South Korea - El Salvador South Korea AH(-2.25)@ 1.75 on 888 // half stake back if South Korea wins at 2 goals...
* the match will be played in USA/ America First Field stadium in Sandy, Utah... Son is playing in MLS and is one of the best players in the league, South Korea has a great squad overall and is preparing for what will be a good WC 2026... a few days ago they've had their 1st 'training match' for World Cup against a similar opponent like El Salvador (I even like more Trinidad & Tobago squad) and it was a 5-0 W * a similar outcome I expect here...

GLGL all with your bets 💲💰💸
 
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  • #16,515
World Cup is one week away so ...

Ivory Coast to concede over 3.5 goals in groupstage @1.91
Kane to be England´s topscorer @1.55
Sorloth to score over 1.5 goals in the tournament @2.50
 
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  • #16,516
MLB

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Arizona Diamondbacks: Justin Wrobleski will get (< 2.5 runs) /// 1.90

Last bet lost.
I have seen something similar in the 1st game of the Eastern Conference Finals. And we all know very well what happened in the next games of that series. Of course, comparing San Antonio and Cleveland isn’t entirely fair, but I was shocked by how easily the Spurs gave up a 14-point lead in the 3rd quarter. But I believe we will see the Spurs completely dominate in the 2nd game of the series. My betting score is MLB 214-199 in favor of successful, NBA 234-242 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: in the 4th game of the series between Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks, Los Angeles starting pitcher Justin Wrobleski will get 2 runs or less. I’ve been following this starting pitcher’s progress this season. Although Justin Wrobleski’s progress began back in the World Series against Toronto Blue Jays, where he played as a relief pitcher (0 runs in 5 innings combined in 4 games). Justin Wrobleski (his ERA is “2.87”) has played 10 games as a starting pitcher this season, and he got 3 runs or more in only 3 of them. This starting pitcher also performs very solidly in away games (he got 3 runs or more in only 1 out of 5 games). Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,517
john_entony said:
Last bet lost. I have seen something similar in the 1st game of the Eastern Conference Finals. And we all know very well what happened in the next games of that series. Of course, comparing San Antonio and Cleveland isn’t entirely fair, but I was shocked by how easily the Spurs gave up a 14-point lead in the 3rd quarter. But I believe we will see the Spurs completely dominate in the 2nd game of the series.
The bet was really good and I totally agree with everything you've said except the Spurs dominating and/or even winning game 2 of the Series... Wemby & Co. might regret this tough loss for some time (they had controlled the game for most of the 1st 3 quarters- with leads around 10pts* like you've mentioned highest was 14 pts in the 3rd Q), the Spurs fans should be embarrassed as IMO they are a big factor for what happened here: Frost Bank Center (Spurs' arena) has a capacity of roughly 19,000 seats and more it's estimated that more than 30% where Knicks' fans!!! WoW... I was checking this info as I've watched the game live and I was surprised to hear more booing than MVP chants when Wemby was shooting FTs in game 1 of NBA Finals at home... I know that the big markets have big fans support in Playoffs, but this is NBA Finals and it's San Antonio... I would never bet anything but on the Spurs victory in Game 2 (I'm 99% sure I'll avoid this event) , but I wouldn't be surprised if the Knicks will be able to steal G2 too * I'm curious if Brunson's knee injury is serious- Jalen said he should be fine for G2, but I was surprised he came back in game 1 and tbh I've thought he might be out for some time...

PS. I've seen some YT shorts with Spurs fans showing up at the Arena and were booed by Knicks fans- how can you allow this to happen in your 'home', especially at such an important moment for this young team?! * again, I hope for Wemby & Co. to win and get back into the Series, but this G2 might not be worth betting on if even the Spurs fans prefer to make some quick money by selling their tickets to the opponents' fans, instead of supporting their team...
 
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  • #16,518
NBA

New York Knicks @ San Antonio Spurs: San Antonio Spurs (- 3.5) /// 1.53

Last bet won.
Justin Wrobleski pitched a perfect 6 innings! Yes, Arizona beat the Dodgers, but Justin Wrobleski allowed 0 runs, and our bet was completely safe throughout the game. My betting score is MLB 215-199 in favor of successful, NBA 234-242 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Antonio Spurs at home will beat New York Knicks by 4 points or more in the 2nd game of the series. I’ve seen San Antonio in many difficult situations during these Playoffs, after which any other team simply wouldn’t have been able to regroup mentally for the next game. And San Antonio has always proven that they know how to overcome adversity. Yes, the Knicks have been nearly perfect in these Playoffs, and it will be very tough at Madison Square Garden, but we’ll see the series tied after two games. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,519
Let's try another bet on a friendly international game:

Brazil - Egypt Brazil AH(-1.25)@ 1.65 on Unibet // half stake back if Brazil wins at 1 goal

* Salah had a bad season with Liverpool and he will leave the club and most likely sign with a Saudi Arabia team, or maybe some team from MLS will come up with a big contract?! what is safe to say is that he isn't one of the best players in the World anymore and Egypt isn't as strong of as team nowadays either... this will be the last warm-up game before World Cup, so we'll probably see a lot of substitutions (maybe even something like 2 teams- 1 for each half) and I see huge difference of value between the 2 squads, also even tho the match will be played in Cleveland- I think most of us know how supportive the Brazilian fans are* we've seen this even in tennis at Joao Fonseca's matches and football is the nb1 sport in Brazil... I expect a win at 2 or more goals for 'the hosts'...

GLGL all with your bets!
 
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MLB

Cleveland Guardians @ Texas Rangers: Cleveland Guardians (to win) /// 2.00

Last bet lost.
Yeah, @BillyR23, you were right. I should have skipped this game, but I didn’t trust my instincts. I just blindly believed San Antonio would win. Now we see that San Antonio just isn’t emotionally ready for The Finals, and the Knicks’ success against Eastern Conference teams shouldn’t have been underestimated. But I wouldn’t be surprised if San Antonio still finds their focus and plays their two best games at Madison Square Garden. That’s why we love the NBA! My betting score is MLB 215-199 in favor of successful, NBA 234-243 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: Cleveland Guardians on the road will beat Texas Rangers in the 2nd game of the series. There isn’t much time left before the game starts, so there won’t be much analysis. The key point is that the Guardians have been playing very consistently and have rarely had a 3-game losing streak (only twice this season). At the same time, they didn’t have any sweeps! Also, Cleveland has won 4 out of 6 games this season when they’ve lost their previous two games. Bet? Absolutely! :cool:;)
 
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MLB

San Francisco Giants @ Chicago Cubs: San Francisco Giants (to win) /// 2.10

Last bet won.
Cleveland easily destroyed Texas. Yes, the Guardians have been playing solid on defense and taking advantage of their opportunities on offense this season. It’s still early to say for sure, but I think we’ll see Cleveland in the Postseason. My betting score is MLB 216-199 in favor of successful, NBA 234-243 in favor of unsuccessful, NHL 10-18 in favor of unsuccessful, NFL 8-12 in favor of unsuccessful.
New bet: San Francisco Giants on the road will beat Chicago Cubs in the 3rd game of the series. The Cubs haven’t won in the last 8 series. They’re in really bad shape. Jameson Taillon (his ERA is "5.13) will be the starting pitcher for Chicago. This is the 10th season of this player’s career, and yes, this year is the worst one. San Francisco lost the last game, but they had a series of 6 straight wins against Chicago before that. I think the Giants’ victory is a good bet at such attractive odds. Bet? Sure! :cool:;)
 
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  • #16,522
World cup
MEXICO vs SOUTH AFRICA
Mexico 2:0
 
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  • #16,523
ATP - SINGLES,'s-Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass,Cilic will defeat Shapavalov.
 
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  • #16,524
Today International friendly match

21.10 CET

France vs. Nothern Ireland (HC 0:2)draw @3.90, i think france will win 2:0!

GL fellas
 
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Today, I'll also go for a bet on a friendly international game, I also like France to win at 2 goals * 2-0, 3-1 at such good odds is worth trying too (y)...

Netherlands - Uzbekistan Netherlands AH(-1.5)@ 1.62 on Unibet

GLGL all with your bets!
 
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